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  • #5,601
  • Mar 18, 2008 12:49pm Mar 18, 2008 12:49pm
that is more scary xxDavid... it was already done and made the bubble worse... and now they repeat the mistake and make the bubble even worse? I think the next bubble explosion is going to be a big bang... a disaster... many people will die.. as greenspan says. Rich people don't care because there are a lot of people in the world.
  • #5,602
  • Mar 18, 2008 12:54pm Mar 18, 2008 12:54pm
Quoting xxDavidxSxx
I don't see a thread on eur/aud.
EURAUD

EURUSD

Not much of a difference, just no loser dollar to mess things up.

Little testy today, Mr. Professional?
  • #5,603
  • Mar 18, 2008 12:54pm Mar 18, 2008 12:54pm
Quoting emda
that is more scary xxDavid... it was already done and made the bubble worse... and now they repeat the mistake and make the bubble even worse? I think the next bubble explosion is going to be a big bang... a disaster... many people will die.. as greenspan says. Rich people don't care because there are a lot of people in the world.
Last time it was done? That was just for starters. And early. Nothing was going to happen $ pos. until after Feb.(slowest month of the year)
Now is just the right time to give another kick. Its spring time. People will go out and spend more than last 2 months. So news will look better. That will continue to snowball in the $ direction. Tax return bonus coming along with low low interest rates could trigger more new home buying since the dollar will be looking little bit pos. The increase in new home buying will be a big kick in $ pos direction.

But thats ok only less than 5% will recognize the turn when it comes. Cann't say I didn't try.
  • #5,604
  • Mar 18, 2008 12:54pm Mar 18, 2008 12:54pm
xxDavid,
This mechanism of retail economy has been working so far. The USA has been building a financial pyramid by having China, Japan and the rest invest in the enormous government debt. However, as soon as foreign investments drop (and they will given the dollar depreciation) and there is nothing to cover the $60bln monthly trade deficit and noone to cell more government bonds to the whole system will collapse like a carton-biult house.

As far as the EUR/USD is concerned, technically it will have to test 1.4850 area before breaking through 1.60
"Luxury is one of the basic needs", (c), Don Corleone
  • #5,605
  • Mar 18, 2008 12:56pm Mar 18, 2008 12:56pm
http://img183.imageshack.us/img183/8...wsshortaq9.gif
Quoting TIckerShuffl
EURAUD

EURUSD

Not much of a difference, just no loser dollar to mess things up.

Little testy today, Mr. Professional?

Yea I've noticed that and been taking advantage of it
  • #5,606
  • Mar 18, 2008 1:01pm Mar 18, 2008 1:01pm
Quoting Firstboss
xxDavid,
This mechanism of retail economy has been working so far. The USA has been building a financial pyramid by having China, Japan and the rest invest in the enormous government debt. However, as soon as foreign investments drop (and they will given the dollar depreciation) and there is nothing to cover the $60bln monthly trade deficit and noone to cell more government bonds to the whole system will collapse like a carton-biult house.

As far as the EUR/USD is concerned, technically it will have to test 1.4850 area before breaking through 1.60
You speak as if the USA will crash. Not gonna happen. There will be a time when we look back and say" remember how people "thought" the $ was crashing. Now look at it"
USA is here to stay and how low the $ goes is just a prime entry for long and to get rich on the $ recovery.

And for the euro$ to reach 1.4850, it will have to trend in that direction. It just left 1.5800. Your talking a 1000 pip trend. You going to buy dips durring that whole down trend?
  • #5,607
  • Mar 18, 2008 1:13pm Mar 18, 2008 1:13pm
perhaps some advices for me to learn and study more, anything, thanks ^^
Money often costs too much...
  • #5,608
  • Mar 18, 2008 1:18pm Mar 18, 2008 1:18pm
weekly pivot 1.5547 euro$ A weekly close below there will be bearish on a weekly scale. Then the next week breaks the low of the previous is confirmation.
  • #5,609
  • Mar 18, 2008 1:32pm Mar 18, 2008 1:32pm
Why you are talking about trend changing?
Today's convulsions on markets was just a correction, becouse some economists expected 100 pips rate cut. Fundamental situation didn't become better, i think it's worse than was before.
Last day's usd sells were not more than speculations before fed cutting with expecting on 100 rate cut.
Fundamental >> tachnical My ICQ# 318501111
  • #5,610
  • Mar 18, 2008 1:47pm Mar 18, 2008 1:47pm
A bearish taste now for this pair on Daily chart. Short term points south for a retrace. Long term still heads up for new highs, its just a matter of when.
  • #5,611
  • Mar 18, 2008 2:00pm Mar 18, 2008 2:00pm
Quoting AlexeyN
Why you are talking about trend changing?
Today's convulsions on markets was just a correction, becouse some economists expected 100 pips rate cut. Fundamental situation didn't become better, i think it's worse than was before.
Last day's usd sells were not more than speculations before fed cutting with expecting on 100 rate cut.
You have to read all my posts.

It has to start somewhere. I was projecting higher moves too. But that don't mean it will. Every one thinks it will eventually move higher. Thats all the more reason for it to turn now. Because when is the majority ever right? Not often, and its a safer bet to bet against the majority. I was posting this 2 month move up before it happened in Feb., and people swore it couldn't.
There has to be more things happen as I state in other post. People have to go out and spend money and buy houses. Period. Thats is what it takes to turn this market. What does it take to get people to spend there hard earned money? Irresistible interest rates. "A deal you can't refuse". Monthly payments will be low and will accommodate people that usually wouldn't be able to. Then they know this and take advantage of it. And the monthly reports reflect this, and more people spend more money.
Its a buyers market right now, and they'll almost give you a house. Now is the time to get the best deals and the lower interest rate gets it kick started.
This is just the beginning. Not saying the euro$ has topped (would be nice though). I am saying there is a point in the economy that will trigger the events to get it turned around. This could trigger consumer spending, and new home buying. Those 2 things will make the $ go up and make other related factors start looking better and snow ball in $ direction. It starts with a mear flake.
  • #5,612
  • Mar 18, 2008 2:20pm Mar 18, 2008 2:20pm
david, thanks for info, looking forward to see your post, best of luck
Money often costs too much...
  • #5,613
  • Mar 18, 2008 2:37pm Mar 18, 2008 2:37pm
At Fibo

http://keefermedia.com/content/EURAUSSIE.jpg
  • #5,614
  • Mar 18, 2008 2:57pm Mar 18, 2008 2:57pm
Well TIckerShuffl what are u trying to say? lots indicators pointing to ? I didn't know that u trade with them.

It's a good break, earned correction, for the $ that it will make some good dips to buy euro. That's all.
  • #5,615
  • Mar 18, 2008 3:13pm Mar 18, 2008 3:13pm
All depends on Treasuries and US Stocks, for any sustained upside in USD.

That EURAUD is droppping like a rock still, as AUDUSD rallies and EURUSD sags.

1.56 is just too high for me to go long on EURUSD. 1.5550 almost guarantee at this point, IMO

Will it bounce or not? NOt a time to be speculating...could be painful.
  • #5,616
  • Mar 18, 2008 3:14pm Mar 18, 2008 3:14pm
Ticker,

Your euro$ fibo is pulled upside down. 100 should be at the bottom. FYI

Your indicaters are turned bear and far from over sold. This move will continue.
It was expected so just enjoy it. And watch that weekly pivot. Past 6 weeks I raked it in on bounces. Its due to break and blow it out some time. That would lead to a bigger correction/short term trend change.
  • #5,617
  • Mar 18, 2008 3:16pm Mar 18, 2008 3:16pm
Quoting TIckerShuffl
All depends on Treasuries and US Stocks, for any sustained upside in USD.

That EURAUD is droppping like a rock still, as AUDUSD rallies and EURUSD sags.

1.56 is just too high for me to go long on EURUSD. 1.5550 almost guarantee at this point, IMO

Will it bounce or not? NOt a time to be speculating...could be painful.
I don't care what tresuries and stocks are doing. Neither does the american consumer. That won't trigger spending and new home sales.
  • #5,618
  • Mar 18, 2008 3:21pm Mar 18, 2008 3:21pm
We can't forget about Jobs and Consumer debt beyond their homes. All the banks and Govt. have done is bailed out the banks. The people still have yet to be bailed out. You're short?

EDIT: FIBO held just the way I drew it FYI
  • #5,619
  • Mar 18, 2008 3:27pm Mar 18, 2008 3:27pm
Someone confirm this:

It appears we've just posted a Gartley pattern on the Euro at 1.5613.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euro_gartley.JPG Size: 76 KB
  • #5,620
  • Mar 18, 2008 3:38pm Mar 18, 2008 3:38pm
well hard to say.

if u take the big impulse from 1.45 shure is not.
if u take from 1.5274 level it could be. fibo 61.8 it will be around 1.55. It will be a hell of a ride if u try to short right now.

just my opinion,
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