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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #6,541
  • Mar 18, 2008 7:01am Mar 18, 2008 7:01am
Big day today! And that guys expression was priceless.
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Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea
  • #6,542
  • Mar 18, 2008 7:13am Mar 18, 2008 7:13am
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Quoting Plutonite
Big day today! And that guys expression was priceless.
says it all really
  • #6,543
  • Mar 18, 2008 7:23am Mar 18, 2008 7:23am
Quoting cesarnc
As the credit crunch worsens, the Federal Reserve is becoming more imaginative in its tactics. Wall Street is now betting on a full-point cut in interest rates, to 2%, when the Fed meets Tuesday.

This is something to watch: how will the markets react to negative interest rates (inflation discounted).

Here in Brazil, analysts are calling for drop in the commodities. End of speculative action, start of the selloff due to US recession and, possibly, global slowdown...

Out to the gym to short some pounds
Hail Cesarnc ! Can't see how global commodities can be manipulated for long, as in 'supply and demand'. I am off to buy some commodity stocks v soon

I should go long on hops as they are used to make beer and everyone stays totally ratted through recessions as they are depressed - and some stay drunk through bull markets too because they have made so much money.

The only Bush who is in favour right now is anheiser busch but I just sold mine to buy Goldman at 142. If I don't make 50% in 2 years I will show my bottom in the co-op window !


Back to currencies - after the rates statement, if he does chop big style then the usd is deader than eliot spitzer's current sex life
  • #6,544
  • Mar 18, 2008 7:39am Mar 18, 2008 7:39am
Quoting allserene
Hail Cesarnc ! Can't see how global commodities can be manipulated for long, as in 'supply and demand'. I am off to buy some commodity stocks v soon

I should go long on hops as they are used to make beer and everyone stays totally ratted through recessions as they are depressed - and some stay drunk through bull markets too because they have made so much money.
That's a good idea. Ethanol is about to go commodity, too. I guess it's a short at entry for the same reason. Refineries going Rum instead of fuel ethanol :

Actually commodities are going up via inflation hedging and speculators jumping in the bandwagon, although I can't tell the proportion. I think those hedges could spark a selloff.

No commodity expert here, just paying attention to them since there are so volatile lately.
  • #6,545
  • Mar 18, 2008 7:47am Mar 18, 2008 7:47am
Quoting Plutonite
Big day today! And that guys expression was priceless.
Revisited
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  • #6,546
  • Mar 18, 2008 8:00am Mar 18, 2008 8:00am
Quoting cesarnc
Revisited
I love how they are all laughing like hey this is no problem whatsoever. As long as we got our whores.
Just Trade It
  • #6,547
  • Mar 18, 2008 8:28am Mar 18, 2008 8:28am
Quoting Big Wave Rider
I love how they are all laughing like hey this is no problem whatsoever. As long as we got our whores.
I love how optimistic GW is with his green tie.
Carpe Divitiae
  • #6,548
  • Mar 18, 2008 8:31am Mar 18, 2008 8:31am
Quoting Big Wave Rider
I love how they are all laughing like hey this is no problem whatsoever. As long as we got our whores.
Yeah... Maybe they were just told "$2 a share hauhauhauhauhauha And the fucking employees hold 30% of them.. ahuahuahuahuahauhauhaua" in this picture...
  • #6,549
  • Mar 18, 2008 8:35am Mar 18, 2008 8:35am
We must admit, the power of the optimism in the financial market is astonishing.

Now hear this

- "Goldman Sachs profit declines 53%, less than estimate, after writedown"

And this is GOOD NEWS
  • #6,550
  • Mar 18, 2008 8:37am Mar 18, 2008 8:37am
Quoting cesarnc
We must admit, the power of the optimism in the financial market is astonishing.

Now hear this

- "Goldman Sachs profit declines 53%, less than estimate, after writedown"

And this is GOOD NEWS
Yeah. I liked the Lehman headline too...
Makes ya wanna puke.
M.a.n.i.p.u.l.a.t.i.o.n.
Carpe Divitiae
  • #6,551
  • Mar 18, 2008 8:49am Mar 18, 2008 8:49am
Quoting fsiltd
I love how optimistic GW is with his green tie.
Green = $$$'s , they all probably shorted Bear Sterns Stock before the announcement.
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #6,552
  • Mar 18, 2008 8:52am Mar 18, 2008 8:52am
Quoting Ash
thought it would have come down a notch or two with yesterdays rally. Thanks for letting us know.
It is today. Right now @ 29.31
  • #6,553
  • Mar 18, 2008 8:54am Mar 18, 2008 8:54am
Quoting Ash
The highest it has ever gone is around 32????
Nope, it was in the mid 40's in '98 and again in '02.
  • #6,554
  • Mar 18, 2008 8:58am Mar 18, 2008 8:58am
Market is soaring on expectation of a big cut. By the time it comes, markets will selloff on priced-in action...

I love this game
  • #6,555
  • Mar 18, 2008 8:59am Mar 18, 2008 8:59am
Green tie is for St Paddy Day and guy in the circle is Christopher Cox :, Head of SEC. He is not allowed to smile, can't afford the $5500/hour rate.
  • #6,556
  • Mar 18, 2008 9:01am Mar 18, 2008 9:01am
Here is the Fear Index - VIX today:
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Click to Enlarge Name: VIX.PNG Size: 25 KB
  • #6,557
  • Mar 18, 2008 9:07am Mar 18, 2008 9:07am
Quoting cesarnc
We must admit, the power of the optimism in the financial market is astonishing.

Now hear this

- "Goldman Sachs profit declines 53%, less than estimate, after writedown"

And this is GOOD NEWS

good news for me - bought em yesterday at 142 and they are 162.5 right now...

These will be the survivors and the collapse of their competitors is super for them in a 2 year time bracket

Know what you mean though - if these are the stars then it makes me feel sad for the rest...

and Bear ? I know what it's like to get fired at 9.10am and be home at 9.15am with no company car anymore and watching your share options expire as they aren't vested yet...buying a 200 dollar car and sat in the house wearing 2 coats and the heating off (for a year) - those days are gone but I feel for the Bear Sterns folks - they have it all to come and so do a lot of others.

I climbed out of that hole in the 90's and I am rampant now - but there were some awful human disasters and suicides too... It's so sad to watch it unfold again

The taller they are, the harder they fall
  • #6,558
  • Mar 18, 2008 9:18am Mar 18, 2008 9:18am
Quoting cesarnc
Market is soaring on expectation of a big cut. By the time it comes, markets will selloff on priced-in action...

I love this game
I think you are right. Lets see what happens. I actually sold earlier, it better come back down!
Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea
  • #6,559
  • Mar 18, 2008 9:19am Mar 18, 2008 9:19am
Quoting cesarnc
Market is soaring on expectation of a big cut. By the time it comes, markets will selloff on priced-in action...

I love this game
Me too. First you bake it into the cake, Then you eat the MF'er like there's a pack of wolves chasing you.
Just Trade It
  • #6,560
  • Mar 18, 2008 9:20am Mar 18, 2008 9:20am
I have sympathy for many at BSC but they also were trying to get into the big leagues with Goldman and Merrill and took on far too much risk. "Get too close to the fire and you will get burned". Same as Drexel Burnham 2 decades ago.
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