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Aussie Pairs

  • #2,041
  • Feb 5, 2008 5:32pm Feb 5, 2008 5:32pm
Quoting DutchTrader
Your old pal is short since pre Dow open, still expecting a test of 95.27 on the daily, although the hourly 200ma held for now.
Nice trade, looks like you made your number just now.
  • #2,042
  • Feb 5, 2008 5:38pm Feb 5, 2008 5:38pm
Quoting Trader KGB
Nice trade, looks like you made your number just now.
Took 'em long enough : I'm expecting a bounce and then a retest in London
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,043
  • Feb 6, 2008 3:36am Feb 6, 2008 3:36am
Back to the 100 ma for a test
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,044
  • Feb 6, 2008 8:37am Feb 6, 2008 8:37am
96.37 on the 4hr is my target. Long from 95.48
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,045
  • Feb 6, 2008 7:55pm Feb 6, 2008 7:55pm
AJ down 100+ pips in last four hours, AU - 45. Well, no shit it'll be a tough year for the economy - who was expecting Chambers to argue there?
  • #2,046
  • Feb 6, 2008 7:58pm Feb 6, 2008 7:58pm
Bounce off the 100ema.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,047
  • Feb 7, 2008 11:35am Feb 7, 2008 11:35am
AJ +200 since 8am, I wonder how much steam this has left, anyone in on this ride?
  • #2,048
  • Feb 7, 2008 11:58am Feb 7, 2008 11:58am
I think 's time to short right now - running out of steam
  • #2,049
  • Feb 7, 2008 12:09pm Feb 7, 2008 12:09pm
Quoting treuzelen
I think 's time to short right now - running out of steam
I have the same feeling, but counter-trend trading is dangerous. Just look at EURUSD, judging by the other threads, that ensnared more than a few counter-trenders hoping for a bottom at 1.4500..
  • #2,050
  • Feb 7, 2008 12:37pm Feb 7, 2008 12:37pm
Quoting Trader KGB
I have the same feeling, but counter-trend trading is dangerous. Just look at EURUSD, judging by the other threads, that ensnared more than a few counter-trenders hoping for a bottom at 1.4500..
longin every 100 pips down can be a smart strategy.....
already started at 1,4475...
hoping to see 1,4350 to take more risky stance.....
not going to bet all the account equity, but...

in my opinion usd is also in trouble.... of course market is scared about ecb declarations but.

usa findamentals still remain more weak than europe ones. .
at least they are not cutting rates, and usa is....
+ not bellieving rate cuts has avoided a recession in usa and they wont....
  • #2,051
  • Feb 7, 2008 1:49pm Feb 7, 2008 1:49pm
Quoting Trader KGB
I have the same feeling, but counter-trend trading is dangerous. Just look at EURUSD, judging by the other threads, that ensnared more than a few counter-trenders hoping for a bottom at 1.4500..
If you notice on the 4hr one of the ma's is capping trade around 96.20ish iirc
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,052
  • Feb 7, 2008 2:01pm Feb 7, 2008 2:01pm
Quoting DutchTrader
If you notice on the 4hr one of the ma's is capping trade around 96.20ish iirc
I went short on UJ after it completed a headfake upside break on the pennant and reversed at the monthly pivot. AJ was a better target short though, that pair just flies..
  • #2,053
  • Feb 22, 2008 3:38pm Feb 22, 2008 3:38pm
So we finally look like we'll get a close above the 100ema on the daily, which should open up the way to 100.97 and eventually 103.85. Unless housing tanks that is.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,054
  • Feb 22, 2008 6:00pm Feb 22, 2008 6:00pm
Quoting DutchTrader
So we finally look like we'll get a close above the 100ema on the daily, which should open up the way to 100.97 and eventually 103.85. Unless housing tanks that is.
I'm showing the 100ema on AJ's daily at ~97.72, and a close above that last Friday. Did you mean a different MA?
  • #2,055
  • Feb 22, 2008 6:11pm Feb 22, 2008 6:11pm
KGB,

Weird. I have it at 98.96 on the daily. 100ema
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,056
  • Feb 22, 2008 6:45pm Feb 22, 2008 6:45pm
Quoting DutchTrader
KGB,

Weird. I have it at 98.96 on the daily. 100ema
That is bizarre. I thought maybe you have Sunday candles in your chart, so I tried another MT4 demo with them, and it only lowers the 100ema. Here's a common source we can check. It shows the 100ema on the AJ daily at 97.77.

It's really bizarre that GFT's platform is giving you a difference of over 100 pips, I would definitely question either their data or calculation method. Check other MAs too, you've mentioned a few others over the past few months that puzzled me based upon what I was seeing.

When it comes to major MA touches/crosses, I always check at least two data sources and/or charting platforms. Relying on the accuracy of one data source/platform cost me dearly on a particularly ill-fated trade. Unfortunately, FX data is so fractured amongst sources that it makes it a necessity.
  • #2,057
  • Feb 23, 2008 1:28pm Feb 23, 2008 1:28pm
Quoting Trader KGB
That is bizarre. I thought maybe you have Sunday candles in your chart, so I tried another MT4 demo with them, and it only lowers the 100ema. Here's a common source we can check. It shows the 100ema on the AJ daily at 97.77.

It's really bizarre that GFT's platform is giving you a difference of over 100 pips, I would definitely question either their data or calculation method. Check other MAs too, you've mentioned a few others over the past few months that puzzled me based upon what I was seeing.

When it comes to major MA touches/crosses, I always check at least two data sources and/or charting platforms. Relying on the accuracy of one data source/platform cost me dearly on a particularly ill-fated trade. Unfortunately, FX data is so fractured amongst sources that it makes it a necessity.
What do you have on the weekly? I have 94.70 yeah I did contact someone in support about this. Honestly I've had no problems but it could develop into one of course. Thanks for the headsup.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,058
  • Feb 23, 2008 2:35pm Feb 23, 2008 2:35pm
Quoting DutchTrader
What do you have on the weekly? I have 94.70 yeah I did contact someone in support about this. Honestly I've had no problems but it could develop into one of course. Thanks for the headsup.
94.80 and 94.78 on two different MT4 feeds for the weekly. Those seem in line. Anything +/- ~10 pips on 2 years worth of data is within the standard of error I'd say. >100 pips difference in the daily instance is cause for concern. Let me know what GFT says, I'm curious what the issue was.
  • #2,059
  • Feb 23, 2008 2:37pm Feb 23, 2008 2:37pm
Quoting Trader KGB
94.80 and 94.78 on two different MT4 feeds for the weekly. Those seem in line. Anything +/- ~10 pips on 2 years worth of data is within the standard of error I'd say. >100 pips difference in the daily instance is cause for concern.

Thats what I have, I have 94.77 on the weekly which is the TF I really trade off the most. Thanks for the headsup. If you see me say something way the fuck off let me know
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,060
  • Feb 23, 2008 2:44pm Feb 23, 2008 2:44pm
Quoting DutchTrader
If you see me say something way the fuck off let me know
Haha, will do. Normally I would just roll my eyes & think "oh that crazy Dutch, what the hell is he talking about?!"
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