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  • #3,781
  • Jan 19, 2008 6:50pm Jan 19, 2008 6:50pm
watch 4588 break. Euro, I know you can do it.
  • #3,782
  • Jan 19, 2008 7:01pm Jan 19, 2008 7:01pm
Quoting TIckerShuffl
USD will be to Euro like the PESO is to USD...in 10 years.

I kid=.:

Typing on the Wii internet browser...sry to be short
Peso will soon be as valuable as USD ... LOL
  • #3,783
  • Jan 20, 2008 3:04am Jan 20, 2008 3:04am
Quoting acidguy

not strong dollar, less foreignes wishing to buy usa assets.
overall its not good the weak dollar, current usa industry cannot support even a little piece of the country, it depends so much in financials and foreigners.
..........
I don't agree
week USD($) help foreign people to buy American Goods with less prise
it can help USA government to solve their Economic problems with good export
  • #3,784
  • Jan 20, 2008 3:18am Jan 20, 2008 3:18am
Quoting richson
I don't agree
week USD($) help foreign people to buy American Goods with less prise
it can help USA government to solve their Economic problems with good export
yes, thats true but when you put in 2 sides.

usa income in the financials assets, like bonds, treasuries, debt.
and you put in the other side what usa phisically sells to the world, which are exports you are going to see the huge huge gap.

of financial offseting exports big times....
so the depreciating dollar and the rate cuts make less atractive usa assets as investors like china and japan, receive less.

thats the point and i even commented on the post you disgreesed.

usa can be still a winner and a more powerful nation but probably start to change economic fundamentals to a more productive or export based america, and quickly cause time is running out as debt threatens solvency.

if you still dont bellieve, take a look in bloomberg how this is a concern even for big financial dogs and even ben.
it has received overexpure this subject lately in the news.
  • #3,785
  • Jan 20, 2008 2:03pm Jan 20, 2008 2:03pm
Quoting richson
I don't agree
week USD($) help foreign people to buy American Goods with less prise
it can help USA government to solve their Economic problems with good export
With weak dollars, the Americans can't afford to take trips to Europe and other exotic places ...
  • #3,786
  • Jan 20, 2008 2:32pm Jan 20, 2008 2:32pm
Quoting mry2001
watch 4588 break. Euro, I know you can do it.
USD is overdone imo. Rate cuts is 100 % sure, President Bush's injection of 145 billion is a not enough to move anything on the market, the dollar is way overpriced for a reason that I must admit is unknown for me (I blame mostly the US Treasuries) but I remain strongly bullish on the EUR/USD pair, have not made a serious buy order on it though. I would appreciate a 1KT opinion on this pair.
  • #3,787
  • Jan 20, 2008 6:32pm Jan 20, 2008 6:32pm
Quoting mry2001
watch 4588 break. Euro, I know you can do it.
it did it
  • #3,788
  • Jan 20, 2008 6:42pm Jan 20, 2008 6:42pm
Quoting Pirin
USD is overdone imo. Rate cuts is 100 % sure, President Bush's injection of 145 billion is a not enough to move anything on the market, the dollar is way overpriced for a reason that I must admit is unknown for me (I blame mostly the US Treasuries) but I remain strongly bullish on the EUR/USD pair, have not made a serious buy order on it though. I would appreciate a 1KT opinion on this pair.
No, do not follow a 1KT's opinion on this pair. You will be confused and lose money.
  • #3,789
  • Jan 20, 2008 7:40pm Jan 20, 2008 7:40pm
i c support on 1,4545
  • #3,790
  • Jan 20, 2008 9:20pm Jan 20, 2008 9:20pm
We've seen the bottom to the dollar since November; Ever since the Canadian dollar stopped kicking the US dollar's arse. Fed fund futures are indicating significant cuts down the road and yet the dollar is reacting positively. Doesn't the chart of the Eur/Usd look bearish? An inability to make a new swing high. A double top. I think its bearish.
  • #3,791
  • Jan 20, 2008 9:28pm Jan 20, 2008 9:28pm
Quoting acidguy
when you sum what usa really produce "physically" and what consume you are going to tens x times a gap. usa depends on the strong dollar.

not strong dollar, less foreignes wishing to buy usa assets.
overall its not good the weak dollar, current usa industry cannot support even a little piece of the country, it depends so much in financials and foreigners.
or the other option, start to low the american living standard big.

i bet right now usa is in 2 sides, save the american people for now and blow up the economy far worse in some months.

or make american people pay its mistakes, leave the irresponsables without support, let many banks go to bankrrupcy, stocks to deflate. some companies go bankrupt. and clean out the system of garbage but usa can have a new starting after the storm.

but what is happening now is far worse for usa, lowering interest rates and creating more debt, more refinancing, is not going to please many investors around the world. when the help package get drained.
the problem is going to be higher, and the world will look concerned usa fiat irresponsable policy.

remember devaluation in countries like south america has been accompanied with growth cause they do not depend on the currency. usa scenario is differente. totally. so a dollar collapse will make usa collapse, default, and other things more.

i did not creat this, maybe the american dream financed with debt and more debt???
sad is all the people in the world who has not part on the american irresponsable consumer are going to pay as well.

when i read Mr.Ben is going to put quantities from $800 to $1600 in the american consumers, what an irresposabilty, is not usa already broke? why they keep creating more fiat and sending waves of inflation everywhere....

my words are harsh but are tue. so what can i do...
Bush wants to give americans 800/1600 only to have them pay it back later in lost tax revenues. It's a disaster.
  • #3,792
  • Jan 20, 2008 9:29pm Jan 20, 2008 9:29pm
but strangely the usd is rallying, anyone want to take eu long?
  • #3,793
  • Jan 20, 2008 9:30pm Jan 20, 2008 9:30pm
Still long will add when I see fit. No worries - yet
  • #3,794
  • Jan 20, 2008 9:37pm Jan 20, 2008 9:37pm
probably this can be a great opportunity but not see any support there.

also the gloom and doom of subprime spreading in europe is making hard to know where the euro is going.
will be the 2008 usd?
  • #3,795
  • Edited 10:33pm Jan 20, 2008 10:12pm | Edited 10:33pm
ok joined, the pair reacted to 1.4529 probable support from november.

from 1.4535, [email protected], [email protected] trailing stop 25. lets see how it goes...
but if europe ppi is lower than forecast that could be a big hit to euro. and if i am positive territory, will close that trade fast.

http://i28.tinypic.com/207l5q1.gif

  • #3,796
  • Jan 21, 2008 12:06am Jan 21, 2008 12:06am
Quoting acidguy
but strangely the usd is rallying, anyone want to take eu long?
That is very strange. But I am still continuing to short the position of EUR/USD until the pair hits near the 1.4300 to 1.4325 area. Being short until this point is met, is excellent because it is near critical support. We have a small amount of fundamental data this week, so due to this unusual rally, I believe the EUR/USD will go down and touch this support level at least once. From this point, I am still debating whether to go long on this pair to 1.5000. It seems we have minor suppot around 1.4500 which may slow us down to the 1.4325 area.
"Don't work for your money, but let money work for you."
  • #3,797
  • Jan 21, 2008 12:47am Jan 21, 2008 12:47am
  •  CWH
  • | Joined Feb 2007 | Status: United We Buy, Divided We Sell | 249 Posts
Day by day, I've been waiting for 1.5 since December last year..||

***
"If, at first, you don't succeed, try, try, try again" - Winston Churchill
  • #3,798
  • Jan 21, 2008 1:03am Jan 21, 2008 1:03am
lol, -0.1???

that probably make easier things for ecb and cut rates. euro is looking bad...
so after all there is not rate increase, not 1.50 near
  • #3,799
  • Jan 21, 2008 2:54am Jan 21, 2008 2:54am
Hey guys, I am new fairly new to forex, still trading a demo acc. what do you think of my chart and would it be fair to say we are going short to 1.4418 area?
any criticism would be appreciated
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #3,800
  • Jan 21, 2008 3:17am Jan 21, 2008 3:17am
Although the PPI for Germany was slightly negative, that doesn't mean that the ECB will cut rates, 2007 has been a great year for the EU-Zone and inflation rose to 3,1 % (The ECB's goal is to keep it not higher than 2 %). There was a little pullback of the GDP for the last 2 quarters, but it remained stable over 2,5 % . Unemployment has been dropping since early 2005. And for the first time in history the EUR is going to have higher interest rates than the USD, taking the stability of the EUR into consideration, the higher rates will bring enough bulls to boost it far more than 1.50. That's my opinion.
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