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Aussie Pairs

  • #2,001
  • Jan 18, 2008 4:47am Jan 18, 2008 4:47am
very will be funy if some finance groops goes to bancrupcy
  • #2,002
  • Jan 18, 2008 4:50am Jan 18, 2008 4:50am
with japan , economic sentiment so wk and BOJ concerned about yen strength, i dont think AUD will reach 80.xx , it will reach 90.xx or may be 94.xx, TEch supports that as well.
  • #2,003
  • Jan 18, 2008 4:55am Jan 18, 2008 4:55am
Quoting goop
with japan , economic sentiment so wk and BOJ concerned about yen strength, i dont think AUD will reach 80.xx , it will reach 90.xx or may be 94.xx, TEch supports that as well.
but World economy I think go slow down and some says USA is maybe goes or not in to resetion. I think it is in resetion. Question how deep goes USA.
  • #2,004
  • Jan 18, 2008 5:07am Jan 18, 2008 5:07am
if us goes to recession , dollar will fall further , AUDusd may be range trading,but 80.xx is diff unles another market turmoil. wiat for BUSh speech today,. aud will bounce to 90.xx
  • #2,005
  • Jan 18, 2008 6:39am Jan 18, 2008 6:39am
95.00-20 is still capping for now. We're ranging between the 92.70 and 95.20
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,006
  • Jan 18, 2008 7:12am Jan 18, 2008 7:12am
Anyone looking at AUDNZD?

Any prognostications?
  • #2,007
  • Jan 18, 2008 7:45am Jan 18, 2008 7:45am
audnzd is going crazy but its capped by channel resistance at 11570, s should retreat to 114xx before jumping again
  • #2,008
  • Jan 18, 2008 7:51am Jan 18, 2008 7:51am
Quoting goop
audnzd is going crazy but its capped by channel resistance at 11570, s should retreat to 114xx before jumping again
Yeah I got in at 1.1462 and sold already for 62 pip - too early per usual. I added on the rise, and got a little nervous about giving the profit back, so I locked it down...missed out on an additional 30 ish pips.

I think I am done for the day.
  • #2,009
  • Jan 18, 2008 7:55am Jan 18, 2008 7:55am
I'm not really into Aud/Nzd, traded it a while back when I first started but the spread was killing me. Volatility is great in that pair it seems. Thanks for the headsup I'll check it out.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,010
  • Jan 18, 2008 7:58am Jan 18, 2008 7:58am
Quoting DutchTrader
I'm not really into Aud/Nzd, traded it a while back when I first started but the spread was killing me. Volatility is great in that pair it seems. Thanks for the headsup I'll check it out.
The spread is brutal, but at least the US Dollar is out of the picture. The USD is too much of a wildcard these days, so per the advice of John Jagerson at PFXglobal (recent video the USD dual personality) I tried something different.
  • #2,011
  • Jan 18, 2008 8:01am Jan 18, 2008 8:01am
Quoting TIckerShuffl
The spread is brutal, but at least the US Dollar is out of the picture. The USD is too much of a wildcard these days, so per the advice of John Jagerson at PFXglobal (recent video the USD dual personality) I tried something different.

Yep the USD is a bitch in this volatility.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,012
  • Jan 18, 2008 8:50am Jan 18, 2008 8:50am
Quoting DutchTrader
Yep the USD is a bitch in this volatility.
Jip because some difrent mind resetion and RBP hawkish
  • #2,013
  • Jan 20, 2008 12:08am Jan 20, 2008 12:08am
Dailyfx.com sees AUD weakening big time against USD long-term. The arguments are based on AUD being a high-yielder and therefore a liability, elliot-waves, a slowing world economy, etc...

they see .7600 levels, maybe lower... do you agree?

http://www.dailyfx.com/story/special...699643110.html
  • #2,014
  • Jan 20, 2008 12:14am Jan 20, 2008 12:14am
its not the usd big time or splitted personaility, its just the investors are losing their confidence in the financial system, currencies, like euro, aussie, kiwi are going to lose. cause they have been valued with investor risk.

in the other side, currencies beaten or origins, like yen, usd, swissy, yuan are going to win. of course commodities up too, they are like safe heavens.
  • #2,015
  • Jan 20, 2008 10:17am Jan 20, 2008 10:17am
Quoting rudenstein
Dailyfx.com sees AUD weakening big time against USD long-term. The arguments are based on AUD being a high-yielder and therefore a liability, elliot-waves, a slowing world economy, etc...

they see .7600 levels, maybe lower... do you agree?

http://www.dailyfx.com/story/special...699643110.html
Since the AUDUSD seems to get bogged down with the Carry trade, there is chance of weakness. Also EURAUD has been on a tear and puts pressure on the AUDUSD pair. At current valuations it's hard to get REAL long AUDUSD, but no one knows for sure what will happen.
  • #2,016
  • Jan 20, 2008 11:17am Jan 20, 2008 11:17am
interesting to see what happens nxt wk when fed reduces int rate by .50%, last time it happened audusd went up by 400 pips.....
  • #2,017
  • Jan 20, 2008 11:29am Jan 20, 2008 11:29am
I see AUD entering Bearish territory. Right now it is parked at the 100 EMA, a clear break will send it down to the .86xx area (200 EMA)which is where is it should find some resistance and if that breaks, all bets are off.

All I know is that I stay away from AUD & NZD until I see clear direction with the equity markets. FTSE, DOW, S&P, NIKKIE are all in bear territory. Guess what direction that leads AUD & NZD towards?
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #2,018
  • Jan 20, 2008 1:23pm Jan 20, 2008 1:23pm
Quoting TIckerShuffl
Since the AUDUSD seems to get bogged down with the Carry trade, there is chance of weakness. Also EURAUD has been on a tear and puts pressure on the AUDUSD pair. At current valuations it's hard to get REAL long AUDUSD, but no one knows for sure what will happen.
You mean EUR/AUD is strengthening? The occilation pattern shows a slight bias toward AUD, or?
  • #2,019
  • Jan 20, 2008 1:56pm Jan 20, 2008 1:56pm
Quoting rudenstein
You mean EUR/AUD is strengthening? The occilation pattern shows a slight bias toward AUD, or?
It's neutral. Bullish pennant has formed, but price is sitting right next to a 38.2 Fib line and has been threatening to break for a week now.

If it breaks the 38 Fib, then it's a slight bias towards AUD. If not, then expect a huge breakout upwards.
  • #2,020
  • Jan 20, 2008 2:09pm Jan 20, 2008 2:09pm
Quoting youalreadykn
It's neutral. Bullish pennant has formed, but price is sitting right next to a 38.2 Fib line and has been threatening to break for a week now.

If it breaks the 38 Fib, then it's a slight bias towards AUD. If not, then expect a huge breakout upwards.

Bullish pennant? Isn't it slighly bearish (ie. pointing downward)? Doesn't this mean that the breakout would be more probably to the downside (toward AUD)? If I'm wrong, please tell me!

I agree with the 38.2 level. It needs to break this for further movement toward AUD.
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