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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #5,621
  • Jan 15, 2008 7:28am Jan 15, 2008 7:28am
whatever we want , i think we must see 101.65 in this quartal year
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdyen_monthly.GIF Size: 34 KB
"..buy gossips, sell facts.."
  • #5,622
  • Jan 15, 2008 7:52am Jan 15, 2008 7:52am
pls can you tell me the input for your macd and i guess bolliger bands too.Thanks
  • #5,623
  • Jan 15, 2008 8:05am Jan 15, 2008 8:05am
Quoting alnames
pls can you tell me the input for your macd and i guess bolliger bands too.Thanks
macd:
12 , 26 , 9

BB: period :20 , only light green:100 , multiple : 2,0

Regards.
"..buy gossips, sell facts.."
  • #5,624
  • Jan 15, 2008 9:23am Jan 15, 2008 9:23am
Quoting liujiangshi
Now, I feel no good.
Maybe I drink some beer.
The best way is waiting.
But you want to deal.You can buy usd/jpy in 107.20.


dude

what are you thinking? no one expecting U/J to recover any time soon? why do you want to go long?!!!!! can you plz just let me know, base on what?

look at the data is coming out! look at the DOW index, all are pointing down. 107.50 area was holding U/J now is brroken and was very clear on H1 , a triangle was forming and at 8:30 AM today it broke, you still wanna go long?
  • #5,625
  • Jan 15, 2008 9:40am Jan 15, 2008 9:40am
longing this thing for long term. decided to take it long every 100 pips down....

just waiting for bush plan to carry traders explode of excitement then send this thing to the sky again. and profits come big into pocket.

Mr.Fukutu must be angry and probably soon put to work the yen dumping team. japan economy is not doing so good to allow this yen and make things worse.
  • #5,626
  • Jan 16, 2008 5:30am Jan 16, 2008 5:30am
101.25 area seems to be the next level of support. If there was a bounce at or above the Nov 26 low around 107.20 I would be bullish. I'm looking to sell.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy.jpg Size: 153 KB
  • #5,627
  • Jan 16, 2008 7:34am Jan 16, 2008 7:34am
fkatebi:
Based on dollar is now at a new low of the past few decades, the situation now seems to see dollar will get weak, but in the long run the United States is strong, then have a strong dollar, in order to cope with the United States is now the world status. I look at the issue based on the long-term, short-term I do not mind too much, and the recent usd/jpy fell down , but it does not mean dollars will die another day.
My name is liujiangshi. {Links Removed}
  • #5,628
  • Jan 16, 2008 3:19pm Jan 16, 2008 3:19pm
this is end of correct ? or this is begin ?
im a next short from 107.30
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"..buy gossips, sell facts.."
  • #5,629
  • Jan 17, 2008 5:48am Jan 17, 2008 5:48am
Quoting liujiangshi
fkatebi:
Based on dollar is now at a new low of the past few decades, the situation now seems to see dollar will get weak, but in the long run the United States is strong, then have a strong dollar, in order to cope with the United States is now the world status. I look at the issue based on the long-term, short-term I do not mind too much, and the recent usd/jpy fell down , but it does not mean dollars will die another day.

well, in long term i would say i agree with you but not any time soon. moer bad news from financial market and housing market and of course retail sales could cause another rate cut and the UJ will go more south that's for sure. like the same thing happened after 2001/2002 and UJ went to double digit and recovery started in 2005, look at your monthly chart it's very clear. i persoanly think 2008 is bad for USA.

good luck anyways
  • #5,630
  • Jan 17, 2008 6:33am Jan 17, 2008 6:33am
In the short term, the dollar is now in a disadvantageous position, but for us to do forex, clever analysis is the most important. Although the dollar has been weak, but we have to consider there is a change in the yen also may be weak.The recent strong yen during this period of time. Today, I recommend buying the list is still usd/jpy at 106.60
My name is liujiangshi. {Links Removed}
  • #5,631
  • Jan 17, 2008 11:32am Jan 17, 2008 11:32am
I wouldn't buy USD/JPY until some fundamentals change. Namely COT report and the Equity Market comparison. I can see it falling to and finding some support at 102.60 based on the 1999 and 2005 lows. My plan is to do nothing for a while or sell on a pull back on the descending trend line starting in June 07.
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  • #5,632
  • Jan 17, 2008 3:24pm Jan 17, 2008 3:24pm
ssherwood76 i'm 100% agree with You
"..buy gossips, sell facts.."
  • #5,633
  • Jan 21, 2008 12:48pm Jan 21, 2008 12:48pm
me too. The trend has already been formed.
  • #5,634
  • Jan 21, 2008 12:49pm Jan 21, 2008 12:49pm
IT's very easy to play with forex just follow the trend, but be careful with your stop loss
  • #5,635
  • Jan 21, 2008 2:48pm Jan 21, 2008 2:48pm
Waiting for reaching up to 106.75 area then going short.

Hope wont break through the trendline...
http://img144.imageshack.us/img144/1338/93387591ol1.gif
  • #5,636
  • Jan 21, 2008 4:53pm Jan 21, 2008 4:53pm
Quoting young_wu
Waiting for reaching up to 106.75 area then going short.

Hope wont break through the trendline...
http://img144.imageshack.us/img144/1338/93387591ol1.gif
i am right there in the position you are, targeting 107 but the price action is scary ....
what if suddenly there is an usd selloff??? take notice how ej has gone down to hell.
but uj has been buffered by usd strength.
  • #5,637
  • Jan 22, 2008 2:32am Jan 22, 2008 2:32am
Did you saw that candle stick ? It shot right up with 70 pips in no time, what caused that ?
  • #5,638
  • Jan 22, 2008 2:53am Jan 22, 2008 2:53am
Quoting Pirin
Did you saw that candle stick ? It shot right up with 70 pips in no time, what caused that ?
I think it was the comments out by German Economics Minster Glos - 3:37am "expectations for turmoil to calm, Germany not directly hit by US woes"
  • #5,639
  • Jan 24, 2008 8:28pm Jan 24, 2008 8:28pm
Hey is anyone going long on this pair. Honestly I kinda want to go long especially with my system telling me to do so, But looking at fundamentals it sure looks like its going further down maybe to 104???
"Don't work for your money, but let money work for you."
  • #5,640
  • Jan 24, 2008 10:07pm Jan 24, 2008 10:07pm
This seems to be turning downward on the smaller time frames. Perhaps resistance will hold.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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