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Aussie Pairs

  • #1,961
  • Jan 16, 2008 2:48am Jan 16, 2008 2:48am
Quoting Trader KGB
Indeed. Looks like $/CAD just ran all the stops on the recent 1.0206 high but failed at the December high & gave it all back. Let's see if the double top holds for now (speaking of, that Mizou Bank guy was spot on with his double top call on AJ @ 107 back in Oct, I should have given him more credit).
Yeah sometimes they're right. For now I see some consolidation on the daily, then a dive to the 200 ema. From there all bets are off.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,962
  • Jan 16, 2008 2:49am Jan 16, 2008 2:49am
Quoting USDSEK
Dutch,
when you calculate pivots for the daily chart, which numbers do you use?
Weekly(H/L/C)?
I don't really calculate them, I use my plaftorm software to do it for me. I use the fibos a lot more mostly on higher time frames daily/weekly/monthly
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,963
  • Jan 16, 2008 2:53am Jan 16, 2008 2:53am
Quoting Ash
I agree. I expect them to be lowering interest rates at their next meeting also.

Got 212 pips on AUD/CHF last night. Letting my NZD/CHF ride.
Very nice!!
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,964
  • Jan 16, 2008 2:56am Jan 16, 2008 2:56am
Quoting DutchTrader
I don't really calculate them, I use my plaftorm software to do it for me. I use the fibos a lot more mostly on higher time frames daily/weekly/monthly
Ok,thanks.
There are no certainties only oppurtunities.
  • #1,965
  • Jan 16, 2008 4:06am Jan 16, 2008 4:06am
I see 92.93 as a form of "temporary" support until more bad news from the U.S sends this thing down to the 200 ema and possibly beyond.

We don't need no water let the MF'er burn.....Burn MF'er Burn
Just Trade It
  • #1,966
  • Jan 16, 2008 4:07am Jan 16, 2008 4:07am
Opps chart. AJ weekly
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: charts.gif Size: 21 KB
Just Trade It
  • #1,967
  • Jan 16, 2008 4:13am Jan 16, 2008 4:13am
EUR/AUD and other EUR/xxx pairs still moving up. Since when did the Euro become the Yen?
  • #1,968
  • Jan 16, 2008 4:14am Jan 16, 2008 4:14am
Big ,
Is it 25-50-100-200 EMA ?
Red line Pivot?
There are no certainties only oppurtunities.
  • #1,969
  • Jan 16, 2008 4:19am Jan 16, 2008 4:19am
Quoting USDSEK
Big ,
Is it 25-50-100-200 EMA ?
Red line Pivot?
8 ema
13 sma
100 ema
200 ema

Details are in my journal "Diary of a mad surfer".

pivot line is the last low.
Just Trade It
  • #1,970
  • Jan 16, 2008 4:22am Jan 16, 2008 4:22am
Tx m8,
is it in trading systems or journals?
There are no certainties only oppurtunities.
  • #1,971
  • Jan 16, 2008 4:24am Jan 16, 2008 4:24am
Quoting USDSEK
Tx m8,
is it in trading systems or journals?
Journals
Just Trade It
  • #1,972
  • Edited 4:52am Jan 16, 2008 4:32am | Edited 4:52am
Quoting Big Wave Rider
I see 92.93 as a form of "temporary" support until more bad news from the U.S sends this thing down to the 200 ema and possibly beyond.

We don't need no water let the MF'er burn.....Burn MF'er Burn
Thats damn skippy, Captain!! Guess the Jpy bulls figured "why wait, lets meet at the 200 ema already"
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,973
  • Jan 16, 2008 4:52am Jan 16, 2008 4:52am
Quoting Big Wave Rider
I see 92.93 as a form of "temporary" support until more bad news from the U.S sends this thing down to the 200 ema and possibly beyond.

We don't need no water let the MF'er burn.....Burn MF'er Burn

Thanks for pointing out everything. I shorted AJ, NJ and EJ last night. Over 500 pips so far.
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #1,974
  • Jan 16, 2008 6:40am Jan 16, 2008 6:40am
AUD/USD is a rollercaster today.
Seems like the market can't make up it's mind about direction...
There are no certainties only oppurtunities.
  • #1,975
  • Jan 16, 2008 7:48am Jan 16, 2008 7:48am
Quoting Subdude
Hmm, home loans are through the roof... sounds awfully familiar, just can't point my finger on where I've seen that recently. Oh, right.
No one else is selling homes, so Australia stands out. Australia already had their housing meltdown in 2003, so it's not bad news if that is what you are implying.
  • #1,976
  • Jan 16, 2008 11:59am Jan 16, 2008 11:59am
I am interested in longing AUD/CAD since there is a big pull back in the daily trend. We know AUD/USD fell over 200 pips yesterday. This is very unusual being the daily range of AUD/USD is often around 70 pips. USD/CAD broke through the December highs but I realize the daily candle isn't closed yet and could just end up being a wick. Any thoughts?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,977
  • Jan 16, 2008 1:04pm Jan 16, 2008 1:04pm
As youalreadykn pointed out, EUR/AUD is an excellent risk aversion indicator. This is mos tlikely due to the fact the it is one of the carry trading pairs with a low interest rate differential (bit more than 2%). So investors don't have much insentive to hold on to the AUD side during high risk times, since the return insentive is low compared to other carry pairs with larger interest rate differentials (NZD/JPY).

Currently, the EUR/AUD has been channeling since december toward the AUD (which may surprise many given the economic climate). A clear breaking of this channel would suggest general carry trade happiness.

rudenstein
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,978
  • Jan 16, 2008 1:56pm Jan 16, 2008 1:56pm
Quoting youalreadykn
I'm willing to bet that the EUR/xxx pairs all drop through the rest of the week after today since today's movements were overdone.
The drop started 12 hours after I thought it would, but it's happening. EUR/AUD down over 200 pips from the high, EUR/GBP down over 100 pips from the high, EUR/NOK down over 300 pips from the high.
  • #1,979
  • Jan 16, 2008 2:00pm Jan 16, 2008 2:00pm
Quoting youalreadykn
The drop started 12 hours after I thought it would, but it's happening. EUR/AUD down over 200 pips from the high, EUR/GBP down over 100 pips from the high, EUR/NOK down over 300 pips from the high.

HEHE I was going to quote you on this... you beat me to it. Very true. When I read that the first time yesterday, it rang true. Good call.
  • #1,980
  • Jan 16, 2008 9:19pm Jan 16, 2008 9:19pm
In in at 88. All their data can't be disputed...can it?
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