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Aussie Pairs

  • #1,821
  • Jan 11, 2008 8:59am Jan 11, 2008 8:59am
Quoting DutchTrader
117
You really think so ? I was thinking that the weak dollar may lead to risk aversion and investments in bonds, which would affect all carry trades in a negative way.
  • #1,822
  • Jan 11, 2008 9:00am Jan 11, 2008 9:00am
Quoting Pirin
You really think so ? I was thinking that the weak dollar may lead to risk aversion and investments in bonds, which would affect all carry trades in a negative way.
Once the US cuts are factored in the carry will go forward. Japanese investors need yield, and the Aud economy appears, emphasis on appears, robust.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,823
  • Jan 11, 2008 9:17am Jan 11, 2008 9:17am
Quoting DutchTrader
Once the US cuts are factored in the carry will go forward. Japanese investors need yield, and the Aud economy appears, emphasis on appears, robust.
Thanks for the explanation, that will make me sleep better. And how did you came with exactly 117 ? May be I should move my TPs in that case ...
  • #1,824
  • Jan 11, 2008 9:18am Jan 11, 2008 9:18am
Quoting DutchTrader
117
117? I have doubts even on the 100 level.
  • #1,825
  • Jan 11, 2008 9:18am Jan 11, 2008 9:18am
Quoting Pirin
Thanks for the explanation, that will make me sleep better. And how did you came with exactly 117 ? May be I should move my TPs in that case ...
If you do a fibo extension, iirc you'll come to around 117.50 I think, I could be wrong. Let me check.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,826
  • Jan 11, 2008 12:30pm Jan 11, 2008 12:30pm
So ... it broke out of the 1h channel, are there any bulls in AJ ?
  • #1,827
  • Jan 11, 2008 12:36pm Jan 11, 2008 12:36pm
Quoting Pirin
are there any bulls in AJ ?
I'd be more interested in finding out how many short sentiments out there as any further rallies would consolidate the upward bias.
Just trying to make some dollars and sense...
  • #1,828
  • Jan 11, 2008 12:39pm Jan 11, 2008 12:39pm
I was expecting some retracement today, but what happened has overcome my expectations, I'm considering of even stopping the loss, what do you mind ?
  • #1,829
  • Jan 11, 2008 1:00pm Jan 11, 2008 1:00pm
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
This ones for BWR
having looked at the 100 and 200 would i be correct in thinking that Aj has a bearish sentiment on the 4h and 1h, and AU has a bullish feel to it now that the 4h is crossing up.

regards

MPP
  • #1,830
  • Jan 11, 2008 1:11pm Jan 11, 2008 1:11pm
Quoting MPP
This ones for BWR
having looked at the 100 and 200 would i be correct in thinking that Aj has a bearish sentiment on the 4h and 1h, and AU has a bullish feel to it now that the 4h is crossing up.

regards

MPP
MPP, are those simple moving averages that you are using ?
  • #1,831
  • Jan 11, 2008 1:41pm Jan 11, 2008 1:41pm
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Quoting Pirin
MPP, are those simple moving averages that you are using ?
EMA's HLC/3
  • #1,832
  • Jan 11, 2008 2:00pm Jan 11, 2008 2:00pm
Quoting MPP
EMA's HLC/3
Would you be so kind to post it on the thread, that was a pretty good call that you made yesterday.
  • #1,833
  • Jan 11, 2008 2:21pm Jan 11, 2008 2:21pm
I just can't believe it, the data that came out was supreme, what is happening with the aud, where is this short sentiment coming from ?
  • #1,834
  • Jan 11, 2008 2:22pm Jan 11, 2008 2:22pm
Quoting Pirin
I just can't believe it, the data that came out was supreme, what is happening with the aud, where is this short sentiment coming from ?
Dow -292
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,835
  • Jan 11, 2008 2:24pm Jan 11, 2008 2:24pm
But that should be pushing the aud/usd up right ? Can someone explain it to me because there is nothing about it in my macroeconomics book. It seems I have some correlation problems.
  • #1,836
  • Jan 11, 2008 2:28pm Jan 11, 2008 2:28pm
Quoting Pirin
But that should be pushing the aud/usd up right ? Can someone explain it to me because there is nothing about it in my macroeconomics book. It seems I have some correlation problems.
A/U is basically being dragged down by A/J
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,837
  • Jan 11, 2008 2:57pm Jan 11, 2008 2:57pm
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Quoting Pirin
Would you be so kind to post it on the thread, that was a pretty good call that you made yesterday.
check out Big Wave Riders - Diary of a mad surfer thread, he's using EMA/SMA in his trading, i use them for S&R points along with fib's and pivots. Hakuna Matata is another big user of them.

in brief plot them on a 4h and 1h chart and look at how they react.

regards

MPP
  • #1,838
  • Jan 11, 2008 4:05pm Jan 11, 2008 4:05pm
Quoting MPP
check out Big Wave Riders - Diary of a mad surfer thread, he's using EMA/SMA in his trading, i use them for S&R points along with fib's and pivots. Hakuna Matata is another big user of them.

in brief plot them on a 4h and 1h chart and look at how they react.

regards

MPP
Ok I'll check it out, thanks.
  • #1,839
  • Jan 11, 2008 4:12pm Jan 11, 2008 4:12pm
AJ is being dragged down by GJ am wondering how low are we are going on AJ and how low we are going to go on AU. I am aiming for 0.9350 pretty soon but AJ could pose a problem getting there
  • #1,840
  • Jan 11, 2008 7:07pm Jan 11, 2008 7:07pm
Quoting MPP
This ones for BWR
having looked at the 100 and 200 would i be correct in thinking that Aj has a bearish sentiment on the 4h and 1h, and AU has a bullish feel to it now that the 4h is crossing up.

regards

MPP

Yes they are bearish on those time frames (100 is below 200) but the price is above those ma's so it's a conflicting signal. On the daily TF we have the 100 and 200 fused together, the 8 wants to go past the 13 BUT price bounced off of the daily triangle, again a conflicting signal. And on the weekly TF we have a bullish candle that bounced off of the 100 but the 8 is below the 13 and both are pointed down, so in short no matter what TF you look at you have both bullish and bearish signals that are not only conflicting but confusing. So my after my insightful analysis I would have to say that were are not in a trend but rather in a range. Hopefully all of this will get sorted out on Monday.
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