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EURUSD

  • #3,301
  • Dec 17, 2007 4:57am Dec 17, 2007 4:57am
Quoting semar
don't know how much i can resist to this downtrend...
We just hit the 38.2 Fib on the uptrend. I'm buying small here in anticipation of some weak US news sending the pair back up.
  • #3,302
  • Dec 17, 2007 6:35am Dec 17, 2007 6:35am
I am out the short market for a +210 pips win.

I am now +9% up this month.
Not bad, but it can better....
Trainee at UBS Investment Banking
  • #3,303
  • Dec 17, 2007 7:31am Dec 17, 2007 7:31am
helllo everyone.

For now i am waiting for possible buy positions, but first i would like to see EURO to go a little bit lower around 1,4300 if you watching 2h chart. Other pairs you can check here, nice trading, grega

2h chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur-usd1 [].gif Size: 58 KB
  • #3,304
  • Dec 17, 2007 7:33am Dec 17, 2007 7:33am
Quoting money
helllo everyone.

For now i am waiting for possible buy positions, but first i would like to see EURO to go a little bit lower around 1,4300 if you watching 2h chart. Other pairs you can check here, nice trading, grega

2h chart
Attachment
I am also buying, but I think we already hit our low.
  • #3,305
  • Dec 17, 2007 7:44am Dec 17, 2007 7:44am
Quoting falcon232
I am also buying, but I think we already hit our low.
Maybe you right, but i am not 100%, i will wait olny because did not achive my fibonacci levels yet. Anyway i am ready for bulllllllllllllllll
  • #3,306
  • Dec 17, 2007 7:51am Dec 17, 2007 7:51am
People playing scalp in this market or can we count on a few days of recovery? I was just about to flip short, long the dollar, but I can't get myself to long the USD.
  • #3,307
  • Dec 17, 2007 7:53am Dec 17, 2007 7:53am
Quoting TIckerShuffl
People playing scalp in this market or can we count on a few days of recovery? I was just about to flip short, long the dollar, but I can't get myself to long the USD.
Getting long the dollar now doesn't make sense. There was some surprising strong data, and the reaction from that has been priced in the market. The US would have to keep surprising us for the dollar to keep going up, but it won't.
  • #3,308
  • Dec 17, 2007 8:30am Dec 17, 2007 8:30am
hmm...I can't make heads or tails of this market.

Ever since Bernanke sold those "bonds" to international banks to help liquidity (bonds that compete with US treasuries), the market has been chaos.
  • #3,309
  • Dec 17, 2007 8:42am Dec 17, 2007 8:42am
There are more odds that the Euro go up from here than to go down, well it is my fundies thoughts
  • #3,310
  • Dec 17, 2007 9:10am Dec 17, 2007 9:10am
I think US will still be high until the end of this week
  • #3,311
  • Dec 17, 2007 9:11am Dec 17, 2007 9:11am
next target 4260, after a nasty 50-80 pip rabge around tge current levels

Best wishes

Ceco Ku4ev
  • #3,312
  • Dec 17, 2007 10:44am Dec 17, 2007 10:44am
Hi guys,

I've been punishing every retrace with a short. Man that worked out well. Just capped 92pips over the last few hours. Market is getting crazy though. Almost as if all the big players are out and only speculators are moving the pair up and down erratically. This pair goes any where near 1.4390 and am shorting again
  • #3,313
  • Dec 17, 2007 10:47am Dec 17, 2007 10:47am
I'm going to keep buying small just above the 38.2 Fib of 1.4340.
The question is... what US data will shed any more light on the optimism from the CPI numbers last week? Anything this week? If not, we could see 1.4 before the Euro recovers (but it will!).
  • #3,314
  • Dec 17, 2007 10:56am Dec 17, 2007 10:56am
Am mainly worried about Wednesday. German PPI, Ifo index and Trichet is speaking! He's one hawkish dude... Might be getting annoyed that all his hawkish comments are having no effect on Euro. He might go overboard on Wed.. A bit risky. Am gonna keep scalping 10-15 pip trades on the short side, but deffintely get out of the market early on Wed. Not gonna trade ahead of Trichet
  • #3,315
  • Dec 17, 2007 10:59am Dec 17, 2007 10:59am
Quoting falcon232
I'm going to keep buying small just above the 38.2 Fib of 1.4340.
The question is... what US data will shed any more light on the optimism from the CPI numbers last week? Anything this week? If not, we could see 1.4 before the Euro recovers (but it will!).

Philly fed and PCE will probably move this pair decisively I reckon. Comes out Thu and Fri. Could set the tone for year-end dollar party!!! And we are all invited
  • #3,316
  • Dec 17, 2007 4:58pm Dec 17, 2007 4:58pm
I shorted at 1.4392 and should have taken profit at 1.4385 but got too greedy. Did you guys catch that Ascending triangle pattern? As soon as I saw it I got out of the short and into a long. Sure enough it poped about 15 pips and then retraced. Managed to break-even from my short loss. Wooh, close one.

Not sure where to go from here. Need another tech signal to get back in. Finally the bulls and bears seem to be equal in numbers. Too bad, was hoping the trend would continue.
  • #3,317
  • Dec 18, 2007 1:48pm Dec 18, 2007 1:48pm
Ok I think that's as low as we're going unless big money comes in again and pushes it down. I admit that perhaps we won't go to 1.4300....H4 looks like we're on an uptrend unless something drastic happens. Comments/opinions anyone?
  • #3,318
  • Dec 18, 2007 1:53pm Dec 18, 2007 1:53pm
Quoting renegade7
Ok I think that's as low as we're going unless big money comes in again and pushes it down. I admit that perhaps we won't go to 1.4300....H4 looks like we're on an uptrend unless something drastic happens. Comments/opinions anyone?
I don't see an uptrend on the 4 hour at all. I see consolidation, which is absolutely normal after we see a big drop. We got to the 1.43 area already. The daily had a doji on it, although I wouldn't trade it after such a big drop as it could have come about because of the retracement being done at the day's end.
I dream, therefore I become.
  • #3,319
  • Dec 18, 2007 2:05pm Dec 18, 2007 2:05pm
I'd favour a further drop to 1.4150 50% fib. eurodollar likes 50-fib.
TRADE FOR SWAP
  • #3,320
  • Dec 18, 2007 2:11pm Dec 18, 2007 2:11pm
Quoting mike w
I don't see an uptrend on the 4 hour at all. I see consolidation, which is absolutely normal after we see a big drop. We got to the 1.43 area already. The daily had a doji on it, although I wouldn't trade it after such a big drop as it could have come about because of the retracement being done at the day's end.
17th DEC 8:00
to
18th DEC 8:00

You also have a triangle if you connect 17th DEC 4:00 to 18th DEC 12:00

I agree it's ranging now, but I think it's going to break otu upside soon.
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