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The basket of Hybrids; 4 Pairs

  • #41
  • Dec 13, 2007 6:00am Dec 13, 2007 6:00am
ok even so, 15 trades a year with 1% risk with a profit factor of 20 is going to be over 1200% return which would make you the best performing trader ever by a factor of five. why would you be so conservative with your risk when your system wins 20 times what it loses. You would never draw down from your first winning trade even if you risked 10 or 20%. Doesn,t add up dude
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  • #42
  • Edited 10:14am Dec 13, 2007 6:09am | Edited 10:14am
Quoting M.A.C.Doug
ok even so, 15 trades a year with 1% risk with a profit factor of 20 is going to be over 1200% return which would make you the best performing trader ever by a factor of five. why would you be so conservative with your risk when your system wins 20 times what it loses. You would never draw down from your first winning trade even if you risked 10 or 20%. Doesn,t add up dude
This is simple to understand. My trading strategy was built for funds and large accounts (without any margin). Of course we can use a very aggressive MM and make up to 1000% a year but it is not my way. I would rather manage 10 investors accounts (being absolutely sure in a result) then to apply in 10 time more risk...
  • #43
  • Dec 13, 2007 6:26am Dec 13, 2007 6:26am
a profit factor of 20 has the same effect whatever your MM is to achieve it. It is irrelevant whether your system uses margin to achieve it or not. Thats what you quoted was achievable with the way you currently trade and if you are going to persist with that claim we would be best to agree to disagree and move on with your basket of hybrids technique as I still dont quite get how to do it and I would like to learn
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  • #44
  • Dec 13, 2007 6:31am Dec 13, 2007 6:31am
Yeah, I am still confused after reading from the beginning of this thread. I still don't get it. It's something I would like to study and learn if there is a way to do that. The confusing part is that I don't know how to set up the hybrid to commence the portfolio. Is there some kind of step by step instructions that I can learn how to set up the hybrid game plan?

Thanks!
  • #45
  • Dec 13, 2007 6:49am Dec 13, 2007 6:49am
Quoting M.A.C.Doug
a profit factor of 20 has the same effect whatever your MM is to achieve it. It is irrelevant whether your system uses margin to achieve it or not. Thats what you quoted was achievable with the way you currently trade and if you are going to persist with that claim we would be best to agree to disagree and move on with your basket of hybrids technique as I still dont quite get how to do it and I would like to learn
I do not agree, not same effect. In a case when you manage a large account a loss of 10% of its can fly investor into a rage even if you will be able to return loss for next trades. The large account = the conservative MM.
  • #46
  • Dec 13, 2007 6:52am Dec 13, 2007 6:52am
PA of late tells me trading is over for the year, its ugly out there

Merry Christmas everyone. have a nice break, forget the market and go spend some quality time with friends and family. Its been a great year at FF for me. Ive learned alot from all of you so Ill see you all again next year
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  • #47
  • Dec 13, 2007 6:59am Dec 13, 2007 6:59am
Quoting FXHOUND
Yeah, I am still confused after reading from the beginning of this thread. I still don't get it. It's something I would like to study and learn if there is a way to do that. The confusing part is that I don't know how to set up the hybrid to commence the portfolio. Is there some kind of step by step instructions that I can learn how to set up the hybrid game plan?

Thanks!
First of all you have to check your trading strategy. Can it equivalently work with noted 28 pair?
  • #48
  • Dec 13, 2007 7:05am Dec 13, 2007 7:05am
Quoting M.A.C.Doug
PA of late tells me trading is over for the year, its ugly out there

Merry Christmas everyone. have a nice break, forget the market and go spend some quality time with friends and family. Its been a great year at FF for me. Ive learned alot from all of you so Ill see you all again next year
Many thanks, Merry Christmas you too
  • #49
  • Dec 13, 2007 11:39am Dec 13, 2007 11:39am
please explaint your system more. Is this a carry trade basket? what is it?
100% of traders are losers. Just that some win more than they lose!
  • #50
  • Dec 13, 2007 11:40am Dec 13, 2007 11:40am
or is it like trading a cross currency except that u trading multiple crosses?

so instead of saying eurusd*usdjpy = eurjpy,

u are doing eurgbpjpy = eurusd*eurgbp*usdjpy?? (3 pairs)
100% of traders are losers. Just that some win more than they lose!
  • #51
  • Dec 13, 2007 10:32pm Dec 13, 2007 10:32pm
Quoting Mr demark
or is it like trading a cross currency except that u trading multiple crosses?

so instead of saying eurusd*usdjpy = eurjpy,

u are doing eurgbpjpy = eurusd*eurgbp*usdjpy?? (3 pairs)
Please see the top of the thread. A currency is never used twice or more in hybrid pairs.
  • #52
  • Edited 9:44am Dec 14, 2007 8:46am | Edited 9:44am
All positions were closed near current price levels. I think I have already enough clearly described my hybrid method so that please see the
total result for two weeks: (deposit 100K) profit 13.16K or 13.16%, profit factor 30.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #53
  • Dec 14, 2007 9:57am Dec 14, 2007 9:57am
If you have any questions please ask me. I will still be here for some days
  • #54
  • Dec 14, 2007 9:59am Dec 14, 2007 9:59am
Please let me know when you have your own website up and running. If you are going to publish a book to teach about the hybrids method. I would be interested to purchase your book.

Thanks!
  • #55
  • Edited Dec 15, 2007 2:11am Dec 14, 2007 10:09am | Edited Dec 15, 2007 2:11am
Yes I have a website (daily signals for major pairs), but I suppose it will be not correct to write about it here.
I have finished an article about my trade strategy (will be published in spring) and currently I am working at the
new one about the hybrid method so that you will be able to read about my system in detail in some months.
  • #56
  • Dec 14, 2007 12:08pm Dec 14, 2007 12:08pm
Sounds good... please send me a private message with your website address. Thank you very much.
  • #57
  • Dec 14, 2007 1:27pm Dec 14, 2007 1:27pm
Hi Aleksey, could you also pm me your website address, many thanks.
  • #58
  • Dec 14, 2007 4:04pm Dec 14, 2007 4:04pm
Quoting Aleksey
All positions were closed near current price levels. I think I have already enough clearly described my hybrid method so that please see the
total result for two weeks: (deposit 100K) profit 13.16K or 13.16%, profit factor 30.
sure enough, but all of your winning trades risked more than they gained, some of them risked nearly 4 times its profit
a losing month will do alot of damage with this money management. If your system fails it will clean you out in no time
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  • #59
  • Edited Dec 15, 2007 6:46am Dec 14, 2007 8:44pm | Edited Dec 15, 2007 6:46am
Quoting M.A.C.Doug
sure enough, but all of your winning trades risked more than they gained, some of them risked nearly 4 times its profit
a losing month will do alot of damage with this money management. If your system fails it will clean you out in no time
Taking into account written below you will understand that it is not so.

First, all my positions was long term but I was changing they to show hybrid dynamics for short timeframe (two weeks). I usually
hold them in a market from 5 days to 2 months and my profit usually is comparable with risk or is more in some times than risk.
I was applying my interpolated signals here (main in force, daily + auxiliary, H6) because my exact signals (daily) happen 15-20 times a year for a pair.
For example my last exact signal of EURUSD was: Sell=1.4762 5.12.2007, Stoploss=1.5007, Destinations=1.4400,1.4100.

Secondly, my stoploss (risk) is triggered very seldom - one time for 30-40 trades, protecting my account only from strong movement
when I have not enough time for reaction.

By the way by using this hybrid approach we will never have a losing month. I can write exact mathematical waiting of this
event (a month without loss). This is 94% and was calculated on base of my system's signals for 20-year history of hybrid pairs.
  • #60
  • Edited Dec 15, 2007 5:25am Dec 14, 2007 9:57pm | Edited Dec 15, 2007 5:25am
Quoting FXHOUND
Sounds good... please send me a private message with your website address. Thank you very much.
Quoting kiwisteve
Hi Aleksey, could you also pm me your website address, many thanks.
I am sorry but the website will work with 14th of January, taking a brake for Christmas, New year and some renovation.
I let you know its address when it works.
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