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Aussie Pairs

  • #1,561
  • Dec 3, 2007 7:41pm Dec 3, 2007 7:41pm
Quoting DutchTrader
GDP forecast might need some tweaking indeed. The data was very soft, and we're hovering around the usual 8750 again.
Thanks. I think I'll leave my AU Short open till tommorrow morning and see how the NY session takes this.
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #1,562
  • Dec 3, 2007 8:18pm Dec 3, 2007 8:18pm
We're going to test the 8683
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,563
  • Dec 4, 2007 6:13am Dec 4, 2007 6:13am
Hi guys,

Someone here think that the Australian leave untouch the Interest rate at 6.75% . I want to know your opinion. Thanks.

Best regards,

Giovanni.
  • #1,564
  • Dec 4, 2007 6:38am Dec 4, 2007 6:38am
Quoting Spawn
Hi guys,

Someone here think that the Australian leave untouch the Interest rate at 6.75% . I want to know your opinion. Thanks.

Best regards,

Giovanni.
Hey there Giovanni,

On the news tonight they said that they don't think that they will cut them this month but they may cut them early next year.

GP
"You Can Make Money Or Excuses But You Can't Make Both!"
  • #1,565
  • Dec 4, 2007 6:47am Dec 4, 2007 6:47am
Quoting Globalprofits
Hey there Giovanni,

On the news tonight they said that they don't think that they will cut them this month but they may cut them early next year.

GP
Hi GP,

Thanks a lot. This information is accurate and reliable? Thanks again.

Regards,

Giovanni.
  • #1,566
  • Dec 4, 2007 6:59am Dec 4, 2007 6:59am
Quoting Spawn
Hi GP,

Thanks a lot. This information is accurate and reliable? Thanks again.

Regards,

Giovanni.
ABC LateLine Business show here in the land of OZ!

GP
"You Can Make Money Or Excuses But You Can't Make Both!"
  • #1,567
  • Dec 4, 2007 7:13am Dec 4, 2007 7:13am
Quoting Globalprofits
ABC LateLine Business show here in the land of OZ!

GP
Ok GP, from now you are my personal newswireman!!!
  • #1,568
  • Dec 4, 2007 4:52pm Dec 4, 2007 4:52pm
So the RBA holds, with slightly dovish/neutral statement calling into question any hikes. Im assuming the most pronounced movement will be on the EUR/AUD
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,569
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:02pm Dec 4, 2007 5:02pm
Interesting that triangle support line - it was overhead resistance 3 times on the way down, since it broke on 11/28, it's come back into play as support for the 5th time now.

We'll see what happens when GDP gets released in a little bit.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #1,570
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:04pm Dec 4, 2007 5:04pm
Quoting DutchTrader
So the RBA holds, with slightly dovish/neutral statement calling into question any hikes. Im assuming the most pronounced movement will be on the EUR/AUD
hmm...considering the rate steady and semi neutral statements, I would think that aud would hold its ground with the economy hot and interest rates still strong. What do you think is the reason for the weakness of the aud?
  • #1,571
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:07pm Dec 4, 2007 5:07pm
Do you think that we will see AUD/USD fall to 0,8370 after a negative GDP q/q is released ?
  • #1,572
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:08pm Dec 4, 2007 5:08pm
Quoting MMTom
Do you think that we will see AUD/USD fall to 0,8370 after a negative GDP q/q is released ?
wow..that would be a genormous drop IMOm but what makes you think the GDP numbers will be negative?
  • #1,573
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:09pm Dec 4, 2007 5:09pm
Quoting Trader KGB
Interesting that triangle support line - it was overhead resistance 3 times on the way down, since it broke on 11/28, it's come back into play as support for the 5th time now.

We'll see what happens when GDP gets released in a little bit.
8684 was where it bounced just now after the RBA statement. Interesting indeed.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,574
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:11pm Dec 4, 2007 5:11pm
Should have originally posted to this thread...

A look back at AUD pair behavior in... (Sept/Aug/Oct/Nov/Dec)

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=59101


have a look and comment

rudenstein
  • #1,575
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:13pm Dec 4, 2007 5:13pm
Quoting DutchTrader
8684 was where it bounced just now after the RBA statement. Interesting indeed.
Hmm..
Two different ECNs show it fell to 8696. Be careful, looks like GFT is running the stops on clients only.
  • #1,576
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:20pm Dec 4, 2007 5:20pm
Quoting cheese
wow..that would be a genormous drop IMOm but what makes you think the GDP numbers will be negative?
I can't be sure that it will be negative but the enormous negative trade balance (-3,0B) and the retail sales (-0,2%) are two major factors by the determination of the GDP. I also don't know if the FED is actually really going to cut rates, but if not, the 0,8370 level AUD/USD seems possible, because both Fibo retracements (61,8 %) of the weekly and monthly chart is there. But I really have no idea, I'm noob, don't trust what I am saying, I'm just saying what I think.

P.S. With "negative" GDP I meant negative compared to the 0,9 % from the previous period.
  • #1,577
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:41pm Dec 4, 2007 5:41pm
Quoting Trader KGB
Hmm..
Two different ECNs show it fell to 8696. Be careful, looks like GFT is running the stops on clients only.

actually 8684 was from Bloomberg newswire. I have 8696
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,578
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:48pm Dec 4, 2007 5:48pm
Quoting MMTom
I can't be sure that it will be negative but the enormous negative trade balance (-3,0B) and the retail sales (-0,2%) are two major factors by the determination of the GDP. I also don't know if the FED is actually really going to cut rates, but if not, the 0,8370 level AUD/USD seems possible, because both Fibo retracements (61,8 %) of the weekly and monthly chart is there. But I really have no idea, I'm noob, don't trust what I am saying, I'm just saying what I think.

P.S. With "negative" GDP I meant negative compared to the 0,9 % from the previous period.
, I don't everyone was expecting a 0.25 pt cut but now market sentiment is leaning more towards 0.50pts.

Only time will tell.
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #1,579
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:49pm Dec 4, 2007 5:49pm
Quoting DutchTrader
actually 8684 was from Bloomberg newswire. I have 8696
I also had 8696 with MB Trading.
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #1,580
  • Dec 4, 2007 5:58pm Dec 4, 2007 5:58pm
So the question is .... EUR/AUD or AUD/USD ?
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