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Daily/Intraday Momentum Analysis

  • #1,101
  • Nov 26, 2007 9:28pm Nov 26, 2007 9:28pm
Quoting HeavensGate
What is God's name was that massive move from?
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p....z0&refer=home
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #1,102
  • Edited 9:32pm Nov 26, 2007 9:31pm | Edited 9:32pm
Quoting HeavensGate
What is God's name was that massive move from?
i don't know if divergence caused the up move but this might have:

This is the cause of the pop:-

Abu Dhabi Invest Authority To Buy $7.5bln Of Citi Equity Units
,which is being interpreted as good news for the financial sector and equity markets, placing downward pressure on risk aversion........ence was the reason bcuz like m2b said it has been building for a while but this may have something to do with it;

(per ladybird)
TRIALS THAT SHAKE SOME, CONFIRM OTHERS!
  • #1,103
  • Nov 26, 2007 9:34pm Nov 26, 2007 9:34pm
Quoting karmostaji
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p....z0&refer=home
Karmo,
nice to see you here. i wonder y you didnt join us here earlier.was nice trading alongside you on d last thread Aus.

Very strong news,dats y we shld always trade with stop losses. Bro, where do you see price by london
  • #1,104
  • Nov 26, 2007 10:17pm Nov 26, 2007 10:17pm
Wow.. Just saw that move.. I'm still expecting the price below 223.30 before NY start.. and further down. If you planning go short wait for a 15min short trade. Markets are expected tp be extremely volatile today.
  • #1,105
  • Nov 26, 2007 10:22pm Nov 26, 2007 10:22pm
Quoting auslanco
Wow.. Just saw that move.. I'm still expecting the price below 223.30 before NY start.. and further down. If you planning go short wait for a 15min short trade. Markets are expected tp be extremely volatile today.
Actually.. I think 220 (or 119) is very possible today and especially since this last move happened... so I'm building up shorts for now and moving SL into profit
  • #1,106
  • Nov 26, 2007 10:35pm Nov 26, 2007 10:35pm
I think it's still bullish for now, so I don't think now's the best time to short.. the price is on its way to hit 50.0% on fibs (223.80) if it broke it then 38.2% (223.38) and we'll see what happens then..
  • #1,107
  • Edited 10:48pm Nov 26, 2007 10:36pm | Edited 10:48pm
Quoting auslanco
If a 1hr bar forms above the daily 5sma (close) then the uptrend will continue. Other wise it will reverse.

1 hr bar did form above the daily 5sma today which assumes a trend
continuation.

However Daily momentum, 3 hr, 1 hr 30 min were all pointing down
at day's end.

With opposing indications, I am not sure if this means we shall have another volatile, but
ranging, day.
  • #1,108
  • Nov 26, 2007 10:38pm Nov 26, 2007 10:38pm
Price touched the 4H 50EMA and also performed a virtual double-top from the high back on November 22, around 225.60. This latest move appears to be more than just a news spike. It has shattered the recent downtrend of lower highs by crashing through 224.81 with a vengeance. The 4H and 1H have room to move up before reaching OB status, and the Daily is just coming up out of OS status. Daily and 12H Momentum is super bullish. It seems to me that the bullish signals are outweighing the bearish signals. Aus and MoForce, please show me what you guys are seeing that is causing you to lean bearish for the remainder of the day. What am I missing? Thanks.

M2B
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,109
  • Nov 26, 2007 10:58pm Nov 26, 2007 10:58pm
Quoting my2buoys
Price touched the 4H 50EMA and also performed a virtual double-top from the high back on November 22, around 225.60. This latest move appears to be more than just a news spike. It has shattered the recent downtrend of lower highs by crashing through 224.81 with a vengeance. The 4H and 1H have room to move up before reaching OB status, and the Daily is just coming up out of OS status. Daily and 12H Momentum is super bullish. It seems to me that the bullish signals are outweighing the bearish signals. Aus and MoForce, please show me what you guys are seeing that is causing you to lean bearish for the remainder of the day. What am I missing? Thanks.

M2B
The price just bounce from the 5sma(High) channal.. which was suppose to reach yesterday. This bounce should take us down to Daily 5sma(close). That will pave the way for daily 10C MoM to push the price for a further dip .. This is Just an opinion based on the daily Mom on MT4(daily start at 1700EST).
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  • #1,110
  • Nov 26, 2007 11:04pm Nov 26, 2007 11:04pm
aus when will u start shorting?
  • #1,111
  • Nov 26, 2007 11:08pm Nov 26, 2007 11:08pm
Quoting Adwa
aus when will u start shorting?
15min strategy short signal
  • #1,112
  • Nov 26, 2007 11:10pm Nov 26, 2007 11:10pm
Quoting winterwhite
1 hr bar did form above the daily 5sma today which assumes a trend
continuation.

However Daily momentum, 3 hr, 1 hr 30 min were all pointing down
at day's end.

With opposing indications, I am not sure if this means we shall have another volatile, but
ranging, day.

Yes, it did. The high for the day is Daily 5sma(high).. we have reached that level already. How ever I dont rule out another test of the daily high before possible reversal.
  • #1,113
  • Nov 27, 2007 2:01am Nov 27, 2007 2:01am
Aus, I Pmed u. Sorry if I offended u in any way. Keep up the good work.
  • #1,114
  • Nov 27, 2007 2:06am Nov 27, 2007 2:06am
Good Morning guys.
Hi Aus
Missed the Long trade this morning. Slept off an hour before it happened.
What do you see about the market now? To me, price bouncing off daily pivot. Waiting for 1hr bar to form below Gann to go short.
What do you see about this?
  • #1,115
  • Nov 27, 2007 2:12am Nov 27, 2007 2:12am
charts were updated to the blog for this session.
  • #1,116
  • Nov 27, 2007 2:13am Nov 27, 2007 2:13am
Quoting forexnovice
Aus, I Pmed u. Sorry if I offended u in any way. Keep up the good work.

What did I miss

No offence taken bro
  • #1,117
  • Nov 27, 2007 2:18am Nov 27, 2007 2:18am
Quoting auslanco
charts were updated to the blog for this session.
Bro, is the blog background black or am i missing something on my browser, its really hard to read there
congrats on that blog , really awesome stuff
  • #1,118
  • Nov 27, 2007 2:18am Nov 27, 2007 2:18am
Quoting auslanco
charts were updated to the blog for this session.
please can you post here because i cant open the blog site it is banned here is China
Thanks
  • #1,119
  • Nov 27, 2007 2:22am Nov 27, 2007 2:22am
Aus, I asked U regarding momentum in this post http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=1080, U choose not to answer...maybe assuming it as my impertinence or something....Anyway forget about it & Keep those momentum posts flowing with momentum (pun intended). Ya Rock
  • #1,120
  • Nov 27, 2007 2:27am Nov 27, 2007 2:27am
Quoting juliekhan
please can you post here because i cant open the blog site it is banned here is China
Thanks


Large fall expected according to the Daily Momentum..
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