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Aussie Pairs

  • #1,401
  • Nov 11, 2007 2:02pm Nov 11, 2007 2:02pm
Quoting Trader KGB
Bloomberg shows 9115 as the close on Friday, and Oanda confirms the selloff gap, 75 pips! Going to be an interesting Asian session.. AJ at 99.70 or so.
Shouldn't that gap be filled, KGB? Or will these prices jjust not be printed as the selloff continues?
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,402
  • Nov 11, 2007 2:17pm Nov 11, 2007 2:17pm
Quoting DutchTrader
Shouldn't that gap be filled, KGB? Or will these prices jjust not be printed as the selloff continues?
Similar thing happened on 10/22. A big weekend gap down marked the low, was a huge buying opportunity, yes the one I didn't take (the ultimate low wasn't hit until 6am est the following Monday, I have better alerts in place now). A gap down is a gap down, those prices don't have to be filled.
  • #1,403
  • Nov 11, 2007 2:23pm Nov 11, 2007 2:23pm
Quoting Trader KGB
Similar thing happened on 10/22. A big weekend gap down marked the low, was a huge buying opportunity, yes the one I didn't take (the ultimate low wasn't hit until 6am est the following Monday, I have better alerts in place now). A gap down is a gap down, those prices don't have to be filled.
I see, the reason I asked is because I remember how it bouned back before.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,404
  • Nov 11, 2007 4:31pm Nov 11, 2007 4:31pm
This thing might not bounce till another 1000 pips in the 80s
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,405
  • Nov 11, 2007 5:17pm Nov 11, 2007 5:17pm
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Quoting DutchTrader
This thing might not bounce till another 1000 pips in the 80s
I see the gaps being closed, not because gaps get closed that can take days, but because were due a 5sma retracement on the daily's for both AU and AJ, i expect it will be a part rise to the 5sam but slow enough that the 5sma can play catchup. of to bed as nothing looks tradable till the morning, have a goodnight (session)
  • #1,406
  • Nov 11, 2007 5:20pm Nov 11, 2007 5:20pm
Quoting MPP
I see the gaps being closed, not because gaps get closed that can take days, but because were due a 5sma retracement on the daily's for both AU and AJ, i expect it will be a part rise to the 5sam but slow enough that the 5sma can play catchup. of to bed as nothing looks tradable till the morning, have a goodnight (session)
Where is the 5sma? I don't have my charts up?
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,407
  • Nov 11, 2007 9:42pm Nov 11, 2007 9:42pm
Well AJ blew through the 61.8 fib/200-day sma/Oct 22 low like there's no tomorrow. Wonder which hedge funds are de-levering this evening.. Goldman's Global Alpha for a second time around?
  • #1,408
  • Nov 11, 2007 9:46pm Nov 11, 2007 9:46pm
Quoting Trader KGB
Well AJ blew through the 61.8 fib/200-day sma/Oct 22 low like there's no tomorrow. Wonder which hedge funds are de-levering this evening.. Goldman's Global Alpha for a second time around?
Well according to Goldman all is well *insert eye roll*

I'm actually looking for a 700 pip drop again
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,409
  • Nov 11, 2007 9:46pm Nov 11, 2007 9:46pm
Getting some follow thru in aussie land..hehe
Check Mate GAME OVER
  • #1,410
  • Nov 11, 2007 10:20pm Nov 11, 2007 10:20pm
Looks like we're in a consolidation mode prior to the London session.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,411
  • Nov 12, 2007 1:41am Nov 12, 2007 1:41am
Looks like a european bounce, well so much for that. Back to our regularly scheduled programming
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,412
  • Nov 12, 2007 1:46am Nov 12, 2007 1:46am
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Morning DT
did you get your charts up?
  • #1,413
  • Nov 12, 2007 1:48am Nov 12, 2007 1:48am
Quoting MPP
Morning DT
did you get your charts up?
Nope. My windows powered PC is garbage, I'm on my mac now on a beta platform. Total suckage. The only saving grace is that I had a rough idea of where S/R was
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,414
  • Nov 12, 2007 1:55am Nov 12, 2007 1:55am
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Quoting DutchTrader
Nope. My windows powered PC is garbage, I'm on my mac now on a beta platform. Total suckage. The only saving grace is that I had a rough idea of where S/R was

AU daily 5sma is at 9170, but will drop as the price hangs around, AJ is around 103 so a long way up from here.

there is quite a lot of points it need to pass through to get there though.
the 4h 5sma is only aorund 50 - 60pips higher in both pairs so that should be seen fairly soon.

it's right pain when you can't see the charts, i tend not to trade unless i already have points i was aiming for.
  • #1,415
  • Nov 12, 2007 4:57am Nov 12, 2007 4:57am
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Quoting MPP
AU daily 5sma is at 9170, but will drop as the price hangs around, AJ is around 103 so a long way up from here.

there is quite a lot of points it need to pass through to get there though.
the 4h 5sma is only aorund 50 - 60pips higher in both pairs so that should be seen fairly soon.

it's right pain when you can't see the charts, i tend not to trade unless i already have points i was aiming for.

4H 5sma retracement complete. no strong signals in either direction so price may range until dailies catch up.
  • #1,416
  • Nov 12, 2007 6:34am Nov 12, 2007 6:34am
Anyone able to jump in? Got in at 9145 half out at 8843 one still open. Sweeet!
  • #1,417
  • Nov 12, 2007 6:45am Nov 12, 2007 6:45am
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Quoting Fx717
Anyone able to jump in? Got in at 9145 half out at 8843 one still open. Sweeet!
Goes against the grain for me big time - trade aainst the trend. should learn to take some of the trades short signals from 9250 AU and 104.75, that would have been sweet. still good buying opertunies just around the corner.

target look to be

8760 AU
93.5 AJ

not much in the way of these areas.
  • #1,418
  • Nov 12, 2007 6:52am Nov 12, 2007 6:52am
Seeing if I can ride it down short term to gather some pips. I think a little bit more, then like you said good buying opps around the corner!
  • #1,419
  • Nov 12, 2007 7:03am Nov 12, 2007 7:03am
I don't see a bounce, I really don't. We will likely test the August lows from the looks of it.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,420
  • Nov 12, 2007 7:37am Nov 12, 2007 7:37am
Quoting DutchTrader
I don't see a bounce, I really don't. We will likely test the August lows from the looks of it.

i think the same way, that we will test the August or lower... hope God give us wisdom were to quit

greetings

FXP
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