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Aussie Pairs

  • #1,301
  • Nov 7, 2007 4:19pm Nov 7, 2007 4:19pm
Wow, another .75% off AJ & NJ only 15 minutes into the new session! Falling knife indeed..
  • #1,302
  • Nov 7, 2007 4:27pm Nov 7, 2007 4:27pm
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Quoting Trader KGB
Wow, another .75% off AJ & NJ only 15 minutes into the new session! Falling knife indeed..

gonna need a decompression camber to get back up from here.

50% fib on Aj seemed to have slowed it a little, should see a small climb before more down

daily pivot is supporting Au for the time being looks like that may see a little up before ore down.
  • #1,303
  • Nov 7, 2007 4:35pm Nov 7, 2007 4:35pm
The safe alternative, Aud/Nzd. Check out the dailies, it turned out to be a bullish engulfing in an uptrend on support. That makes a solid trade opportunity for me. I cant think of any reason not to either, which is why I did. What do you think of the Aussie news at 7:30? Im just calculating in a whipsaw then continuation upwards. Any one have anything different than that?
I dream, therefore I become.
  • #1,304
  • Nov 7, 2007 4:37pm Nov 7, 2007 4:37pm
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Aj - fib gone looks like 102.5 next followed by 9150 on Au.

we wait and see.
  • #1,305
  • Nov 7, 2007 4:39pm Nov 7, 2007 4:39pm
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Quoting mike w
The safe alternative, Aud/Nzd. Check out the dailies, it turned out to be a bullish engulfing in an uptrend on support. That makes a solid trade opportunity for me. I cant think of any reason not to either, which is why I did. What do you think of the Aussie news at 7:30? Im just calculating in a whipsaw then continuation upwards. Any one have anything different than that?

Missed the news, and don't trade it anyway. trend still looks to be intact, so will see were it goes and buy on special offer.
  • #1,306
  • Nov 7, 2007 5:36pm Nov 7, 2007 5:36pm
Dutch Trader,

is it good time to go long now on aud jpy? or i missed the train again

greetings

FXP
  • #1,307
  • Nov 7, 2007 7:02pm Nov 7, 2007 7:02pm
Doing nothing as of now. Just going to wait for London
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,308
  • Nov 7, 2007 10:25pm Nov 7, 2007 10:25pm
Headed to test the 9180 bid zone
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,309
  • Nov 8, 2007 1:01am Nov 8, 2007 1:01am
Anyone read this:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...refer=currency
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,310
  • Nov 8, 2007 1:30am Nov 8, 2007 1:30am
Quoting DutchTrader
Anyone read this:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...refer=currency
He's basing his analysis entirely upon a double top? I wonder if there are any other currency strategist job openings at Shinko Securities Co.. I recall reading a study that showed a double top formation (or any classical TA formation) is statistically insignificant, although the rare exceptions are great to point out in hindsight (the Shinko analyst probably just finished that chapter in his TA handbook). It's funny to see this in Bloomberg, because technical analysis is practically taboo amongst the analyst community, of course it's used, but never spoken of.

Speaking of chart patterns, that EWT guy at DailyFX's did a fine job on AJ. I know you're out of favor with him Dutch (and rightfully so, he's had a lot of banged up calls too). But to his credit, he did call a buy at 102, a hold at 106, and hit his target at 107.70.
  • #1,311
  • Nov 8, 2007 1:35am Nov 8, 2007 1:35am
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Morning all

things seem to have calmed down and found some support. wonder what the london open will do.
  • #1,312
  • Nov 8, 2007 1:35am Nov 8, 2007 1:35am
Quoting Trader KGB
He's basing his analysis entirely upon a double top? I wonder if there are any other currency strategist job openings at Shinko Securities Co.. I recall reading a study that showed a double top formation (or any classical TA formation) is statistically insignificant, although the rare exceptions are great to point out in hindsight (the Shinko analyst probably just finished that chapter in his TA handbook). It's funny to see this in Bloomberg, because technical analysis is practically taboo amongst the analyst community, of course it's used, but never spoken of.

Speaking of chart patterns, that EWT guy at DailyFX's did a fine job on AJ. I know you're out of favor with him Dutch (and rightfully so, he's had a lot of banged up calls too). But to his credit, he did call a buy at 102, a hold at 106, and hit his target at 107.70.
Yeah I was shocked that the guy based his whole analysis on that nebulous formation call. @my dailyfx beef. Yeah that call on AJ was solid. They get it right every now and then. BTW I think we're not going to see a lot of action till the rate decisions go down. What are your thoughts?
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,313
  • Nov 8, 2007 1:45am Nov 8, 2007 1:45am
Quoting DutchTrader
BTW I think we're not going to see a lot of action till the rate decisions go down. What are your thoughts?
I concur, but I imagine I won't be functioning at 7:45am to see it, can't take back-to-back asian/euro sessions on NY time. Aren't you here in NY too, when the heck do you sleep?
  • #1,314
  • Nov 8, 2007 1:47am Nov 8, 2007 1:47am
Quoting Trader KGB
I concur, but I imagine I won't be functioning at 7:45am to see it, can't take back-to-back asian/euro sessions on NY time. Aren't you here in NY too, when the heck do you sleep?
The past few days? Not that much. I'm actually going to crash now and just wake up around the rate decisions I need some rest. See you guys later.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,315
  • Nov 8, 2007 6:14am Nov 8, 2007 6:14am
Did anyone take the ride up off the lows at 9225? Currently above the 9289 buy zone at 9309, Dow futures still in the red so let's see what the NY session brings.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,316
  • Nov 8, 2007 6:23am Nov 8, 2007 6:23am
In at 9238 out at 9288. Nu with AU and AJ. How big of a correlation does this move with the DOW?
  • #1,317
  • Nov 8, 2007 6:24am Nov 8, 2007 6:24am
Quoting Fx717
In at 9238 out at 9288. Nu with AU and AJ. How big of a correlation does this move with the DOW?
All the high yielders move in correlation with the DJIA
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,318
  • Nov 8, 2007 8:49am Nov 8, 2007 8:49am
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
I'm Back for the afternoon, and what a steady day it has been. hopefully things have calmed down and I look to place my buy's.

Any views on good points, i'm looking for a test below 104 and 9250 to pick them up on the way up.
  • #1,319
  • Nov 8, 2007 9:02am Nov 8, 2007 9:02am
Quoting MPP
I'm Back for the afternoon, and what a steady day it has been. hopefully things have calmed down and I look to place my buy's.

Any views on good points, i'm looking for a test below 104 and 9250 to pick them up on the way up.
Sounds good to me
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,320
  • Nov 8, 2007 10:57am Nov 8, 2007 10:57am
Itching to get in now, maybe premature? Guess I'll wait and see.
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