Attachments: NFP Sweepstakes

NFP Sweepstakes

#21
Oct 4, 2007 9:01pm Oct 4, 2007 9:01pm

clockwork71
| Commercial User | Joined May 2007 | 7,685 Posts

I am taking 77k.

For the same reasons as Mr. Trend. Lucky, lucky.....sevens.

#22
Oct 4, 2007 9:29pm Oct 4, 2007 9:29pm

Darkstar
| Membership Revoked | Joined Nov 2005 | 1,429 Posts

320k... cuz I think we'll get a massive revision of last months number.

#23
Oct 4, 2007 9:33pm Oct 4, 2007 9:33pm

merlin
Joined Mar 2004 | Status: Magic Man | 3,220 Posts

holy shit this might be the first ever NFP thread that will not have market order complaints

Relax and be happy.

#24
Oct 4, 2007 9:36pm Oct 4, 2007 9:36pm

merlin
Joined Mar 2004 | Status: Magic Man | 3,220 Posts

Quoting philmcgrew

Disliked

too high

Ignored

Relax and be happy.

#25
Oct 4, 2007 9:59pm Oct 4, 2007 9:59pm

billflet
Joined Mar 2007 | Status: It's all just noise. | 1,681 Posts

Quoting merlin

Disliked

holy shit this might be the first ever NFP thread that will not have market order complaints

Ignored

That's how this whole thing started isn't it? Something about giving one of your arms?

#26
Oct 4, 2007 10:40pm Oct 4, 2007 10:40pm

Trader KGB
Joined Apr 2007 | Status: Trader | 1,842 Posts

Quoting billflet

Disliked

122k--

Ignored

I feel like this is an episode of The Price is Right.. I'm going with 123k.

#27
Oct 4, 2007 11:31pm Oct 4, 2007 11:31pm

johnedoe
| Membership Revoked | Joined Dec 2005 | 2,298 Posts

97k .....because I know nothing about fun duh mentels.....

Same Whore .... Different Dress

#28
Oct 5, 2007 3:15am Oct 5, 2007 3:15am

Orion602
Joined Apr 2004 | Status: Trader | 98 Posts

+63k
and revision down to -10k

lets see

#29
Oct 5, 2007 3:23am Oct 5, 2007 3:23am

de123
Joined Sep 2006 | Status: Trader | 2,272 Posts

+112 vs -12...

its just money

#30
Edited 5:41am Oct 5, 2007 3:25am | Edited 5:41am

Plutonite
Joined Mar 2007 | Status: we are stardust, we are golden | 1,364 Posts

Quoting de123

Disliked

+112 vs -12...

Ignored

I love these numbers, I really do. People can be so creative, unlike OTHERS

*gives mean look to some nice-number lamers above*

Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea

#31
Oct 5, 2007 6:02am Oct 5, 2007 6:02am

smjones
Joined Mar 2006 | Status: THANK YOU MERLIN,TWEE and FF Team | 4,603 Posts

I went back and looked at the last 6 months of NFP and ADP and in all but one month, the change of the NFP was the same direction as the ADP.

So using a percentage of ADP change , if this month holds true. the NFP could be about 110k. I know I already posted earlier, but I did not statistically pay attention. LOL

#32
Oct 5, 2007 6:09am Oct 5, 2007 6:09am

NewstraderFX
| Commercial User | Joined Sep 2006 | 1,007 Posts

23,000 NFP

#33
Oct 5, 2007 6:30am Oct 5, 2007 6:30am

smjones
Joined Mar 2006 | Status: THANK YOU MERLIN,TWEE and FF Team | 4,603 Posts

Another thing I noticed is, when ADP and NFP do not agree on direction, the EU and the GU will move in the opposite direction of normal.
As an example, In June when ADP was 97act and 115 est and the NFP was 157 act and 135 est. The Eu and Gu would normally move inversly to the larger NFP number, but instead it moved the opposite to NFP and was inverse to ADP. This has held true for every ADP,NFP combination this year that moved in opposite directions.

#34
Oct 5, 2007 7:09am Oct 5, 2007 7:09am