Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles | Page 744 | Forex Factory

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Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

  • #14,861
  • May 13, 2026 6:13pm May 13, 2026 6:13pm
Quoting 7iv3
30M BTC Nice cheeky 50% retracement of the local move up Watching for an improvised 4H midpoint/FP5 formation approx 73.5k of the whole move up since 29th March ala a potential higher TF reverb {image}
As mentioned
I do not do Bitcoin
but do find you posts interesting
So here is another example of my
K I S S Method
30 min Gbp Usd
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  • #14,862
  • May 14, 2026 4:37am May 14, 2026 4:37am
Several AUDUSD trades over the past few days, all taken in conjunction with MML levels
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  • #14,863
  • May 14, 2026 6:39am May 14, 2026 6:39am
Quoting tmpascoe
Several AUDUSD trades over the past few days, all taken in conjunction with MML levels {image}
Very neat I must say
  • #14,864
  • May 15, 2026 5:00am May 15, 2026 5:00am
Spectral analysis for ES - SP500 mini futures

1. Composite shows a peak - BEARISH
2. cyclic RSI shows bull fatigue - BEARISH
3. Harmonic oscillator shows bearish divergence - BEARISH
4. Murrey Math shows 8/8 daily, 8/8 weekly - BEARISH
5. Hurst stacked channels are bunched at the top and 256 is rolling over - BEARISH
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  • #14,865
  • May 15, 2026 5:23am May 15, 2026 5:23am
Quoting tmpascoe
Spectral analysis for ES - SP500 mini futures 1. Composite shows a peak - BEARISH 2. cyclic RSI shows bull fatigue - BEARISH 3. Harmonic oscillator shows bearish divergence - BEARISH 4. Murrey Math shows 8/8 daily, 8/8 weekly - BEARISH 5. Hurst stacked channels are bunched at the top and 256 is rolling over - BEARISH {image} {image}
Terry
Thank you
Not sure if the word means
A War
or A Race Horse

My
Kiss Method
its all I have ?
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  • #14,866
  • Edited 10:33am May 15, 2026 8:39am | Edited 10:33am
1D BTC

Improvised composite. Props to Terry
Good job bud...
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  • #14,867
  • May 15, 2026 3:26pm May 15, 2026 3:26pm
1D BTC.

Improvised Bear Div approach where Price may print a LH in July 2026 followed by a plunge and a Bull Div formation in approx Q4 where Price may print LL in October 2026 followed by expansion/potential bottom
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  • #14,868
  • May 15, 2026 11:34pm May 15, 2026 11:34pm
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I get the same, lower high late June/early July down to lower low or perhaps double bottom mid October.
  • #14,869
  • May 16, 2026 5:12am May 16, 2026 5:12am
Quoting 7iv3
30M BTC Nice cheeky 50% retracement of the local move up Watching for an improvised 4H midpoint/FP5 formation approx 73.5k of the whole move up since 29th March ala a potential higher TF reverb {image}
4H BTC.

4H improvised midpoint based on current 512 trajectory (Red circle) at 73.5k. Price climbing Asc 1X1 since 6th Feb 2026
If 512 is highlighting the actual midpoint region then I'll anticipate Price doubling into approx 90k region
Nice to also see a series of FP4s printing above one another since 6th Feb 2026, indicating potential trajectory, so anticipating another leg up once this small correction completes
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  • #14,870
  • May 16, 2026 5:44am May 16, 2026 5:44am
Quoting 7iv3
30M BTC Nice cheeky 50% retracement of the local move up Watching for an improvised 4H midpoint/FP5 formation approx 73.5k of the whole move up since 29th March ala a potential higher TF reverb {image}
30M BTC.

Update and sublime Edge-band interactions
Hurst would say "Robust, but not bad"
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  • #14,871
  • May 16, 2026 6:08am May 16, 2026 6:08am
A short lesson on using volume profile for anyone interested.

let's say I want to go long if price breaks past the blue horizontal line, so where do I place my stop loss (red line) to be "safe" from liquidity grabs?

when going long, tier 1 players will look for sell orders to fill their positions (red bars) so how far down are they willing to drive the price to fill their orders?
When they drive the price down it costs them money so they will only drive into areas where there's lots of sell orders. If I've just gone long price is now above the blue line, you can see below that there's a big stack of sell orders the tier 1 could use. They'll drive price into that to fill their orders but it's less likely they would drive into the red line (my stop) because there's not many orders there.

Down lower is even safer, but as in all trading every decision is a compromise. Placing my stop down their may be safe but it gives me a much larger R multiple and therefore increases the distance price needs to travel to get a good return on my trade
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  • #14,872
  • May 16, 2026 6:11am May 16, 2026 6:11am
Quoting 7iv3
{quote} 30M BTC. Update and sublime Edge-band interactions Hurst would say "Robust, but not bad" {image}
You're starting to sound like ParisBoy now :-)
  • #14,873
  • May 19, 2026 4:34am May 19, 2026 4:34am
1D CFG

Sublime reaction at improvised time
Gann wrote about Time being important so decided to work towards identifying regions of time where different unrelated calculations seem to converge
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  • #14,874
  • May 19, 2026 5:33am May 19, 2026 5:33am
Quoting 7iv3
1D CFG Sublime reaction at improvised time Gann wrote about Time being important so decided to work towards identifying regions of time where different unrelated calculations seem to converge {image} {image} {image}
Amazing Charts my friend
Can I ask
Do you trade manual or by other means ?
  • #14,875
  • May 19, 2026 6:16am May 19, 2026 6:16am
Quoting OAPDave
{quote} Amazing Charts my friend Can I ask Do you trade manual or by other means ?
Always been manual as found majority systems, scripts and techniques are garbage especially if just using a few/on their own.
Eventually there may be scope for API/Bot (Automation of some sort), as knowledge and experience grows along with technological advances which may likely take time
  • #14,876
  • May 19, 2026 7:00am May 19, 2026 7:00am
GBPUSD short - it's a slow grind but I'm expecting to see a more rapid decline that I hope covers a few more pips for the second half of the move.

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  • #14,877
  • May 19, 2026 7:13am May 19, 2026 7:13am
1D BTC

Gann spoke of what an Astronomer does, so decided to pursue the art of Astronomy (in its most basic form), whilst avoiding Astrology
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  • #14,878
  • May 19, 2026 3:20pm May 19, 2026 3:20pm
Quoting 7iv3
{quote} Always been manual as found majority systems, scripts and techniques are garbage especially if just using a few/on their own. Eventually there may be scope for API/Bot (Automation of some sort), as knowledge and experience grows along with technological advances which may likely take time
Thanks for your reply
Appreciated
  • #14,879
  • May 20, 2026 4:49pm May 20, 2026 4:49pm
1D S&P500

Improvised composite hinting a High building here followed by a Low early July 2026
Waiting for a Red Dot to print here and a potential Green Dot in early July 2026
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  • #14,880
  • Edited 6:45pm May 20, 2026 6:20pm | Edited 6:45pm
Quoting 7iv3
1D S&P500 Improvised composite hinting a High building here followed by a Low early July 2026 Waiting for a Red Dot to print here and a potential Green Dot in early July 2026 {image} {image}
My
K I S S Method
How I would see it ?

ps
If I had a Squared Chart and NO Sunday Bar
I could perhaps have a go at TIME

Terry is the man for this as he has it well sorted on Tradeview
I have MT4 hence one hand tied behind my back
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