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EURUSD & GOLD

  • #2,221
  • Apr 24, 2026 4:09pm Apr 24, 2026 4:09pm
Where is the liquidity? One method, valid for larger TFs.

We look at the Change from Open interest; if Change (in parentheses) increases, that's where the money is.

Standard Treasuries do not have a monthly maturity in May; they have quarterly months: Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec.
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  • #2,222
  • Apr 26, 2026 8:31pm Apr 26, 2026 8:31pm
gold seasonals
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  • #2,223
  • Apr 26, 2026 8:33pm Apr 26, 2026 8:33pm
DXY
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  • #2,224
  • Apr 26, 2026 8:59pm Apr 26, 2026 8:59pm
Quoting Gelubrin
Where is the liquidity? One method, valid for larger TFs. We look at the Change from Open interest; if Change (in parentheses) increases, that's where the money is. Standard Treasuries do not have a monthly maturity in May; they have quarterly months: Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec. {image} {image}
which currency pair is extremely sensitive to usd and oil

the same currency pair acts as signal for gold movement
  • #2,225
  • Apr 26, 2026 9:10pm Apr 26, 2026 9:10pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} which currency pair is extremely sensitive to usd and oil the same currency pair acts as signal for gold movement
this currency has absolute authority to bend gold price at times
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  • #2,226
  • Apr 26, 2026 9:55pm Apr 26, 2026 9:55pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote}this currency has absolute authority to bend gold price at times {image}
In the case of an energy shock caused by oil, the currency of the country that imports 90% of its oil is strongly affected and in combination with the USD forms one of the three major currency pairs.

If the initial shock accelerates towards a global crisis, traders take refuge in gold.

Happy with the answer?
  • #2,227
  • Apr 26, 2026 10:25pm Apr 26, 2026 10:25pm
Quoting Gelubrin
{quote} In the case of an energy shock caused by oil, the currency of the country that imports 90% of its oil is strongly affected and in combination with the USD forms one of the three major currency pairs. If the initial shock accelerates towards a global crisis, traders take refuge in gold. Happy with the answer?
perfect
  • #2,228
  • Apr 27, 2026 12:20am Apr 27, 2026 12:20am
Quoting Gelubrin
{quote} In the case of an energy shock caused by oil, the currency of the country that imports 90% of its oil is strongly affected and in combination with the USD forms one of the three major currency pairs. If the initial shock accelerates towards a global crisis, traders take refuge in gold. Happy with the answer?
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  • #2,229
  • Apr 27, 2026 12:40am Apr 27, 2026 12:40am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote}{image}
i just used a 100% oil importing country data to book 0.13% profit in gold
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  • #2,230
  • Apr 27, 2026 3:33am Apr 27, 2026 3:33am
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  • #2,231
  • Apr 27, 2026 8:26pm Apr 27, 2026 8:26pm
The logic is this:
A weaker yen makes oil, gas, food more expensive and hits households. 160 has become the “intervention zone.

Credibility. If USD/JPY easily crosses 160, speculators can push towards 162–165, testing the Ministry of Finance. That is why “verbal interventions” appear: warnings that they will take “decisive actions”. The BoJ does not intervene directly on its own in FX; the Ministry of Finance decides on the intervention, and the BoJ executes the operations.

Yesterday was just a small test. https://www.forexfactory.com/news/13...de-oil-futures

Soon we will see 2-3 big red candles of D1.
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  • #2,232
  • Apr 27, 2026 9:16pm Apr 27, 2026 9:16pm
using rsi of usdjpy

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using rsi of oil

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who is more effective in reading usd movement ?
  • #2,233
  • Apr 27, 2026 9:40pm Apr 27, 2026 9:40pm
good reading
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/13...ve-most-in-may
  • #2,234
  • Apr 27, 2026 10:09pm Apr 27, 2026 10:09pm
Quoting PatienceFx
using rsi of usdjpy {image} using rsi of oil {image} who is more effective in reading usd movement ?

Are we trying a script with the rsi14 average on the major pairs to use on xauusd? In the next period because I work at a wooden construction many hours of the day.
  • #2,235
  • Apr 27, 2026 10:46pm Apr 27, 2026 10:46pm
Quoting Gelubrin
{quote} Are we trying a script with the rsi14 average on the major pairs to use on xauusd? In the next period because I work at a wooden construction many hours of the day.
anythint that happens in iran war is reflected in price of oil so no need to run to other sources

rsi on oil on a gold chart gives me actionable reading of news both war AND US ECONOMY
  • #2,236
  • Apr 27, 2026 10:48pm Apr 27, 2026 10:48pm
so i know exactly what button to press and when
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  • #2,237
  • Apr 28, 2026 12:11am Apr 28, 2026 12:11am
so collecting money on the table becomes easy
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  • #2,238
  • Apr 28, 2026 12:14am Apr 28, 2026 12:14am
reason for drop https://www.forexfactory.com/news/13...he-way-the-fed
  • #2,239
  • Apr 29, 2026 2:39pm Apr 29, 2026 2:39pm
So the big boys knew/know data about:
-preparations for intervention 10 months ago;
-the blockade may last for months;
-the price of gasoline will increase even more;
-the federal interest rate will increase in June.

As a result, they continue to buy USD.
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  • #2,240
  • Apr 29, 2026 2:47pm Apr 29, 2026 2:47pm
Quoting Gelubrin
So the big boys knew/know data about: -preparations for intervention 10 months ago; -the blockade may last for months; -the price of gasoline will increase even more; -the federal interest rate will increase in June. As a result, they continue to buy USD. {image} {image} {image} {image} {image} {image}
If what you are saying is true. This is not a level playing field. What use is out TA? Except TAing on insider market trading?
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
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