Large cycle rolls over, this wasn't the land cycle, but was pehaps its mid cycle correction
Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles
- #14,703
- Jan 31, 2026 5:39pm Jan 31, 2026 5:39pm
Bitcoin has not broken (closed below) the weekly VTL. We have 17 hours for price to move above 104K - if it does that the weekly cycle is still intact. {image} {image} {image}
Hurst's methods give you structure you can follow to make the tough decisions.
Bitcoin bounce incoming. 1. Bullish divergence on triple RO confluent with a trough signal. 2. at the bottom bound of the current channel 3. at the zero line of the MML{image}
Bitcoin bounced off the orange CMA flip line. A break below that line will see the orange cma turn down too, then it'll all be down
- #14,712
- Feb 11, 2026 5:42pm Feb 11, 2026 5:42pm
If the dot is the high level focal point, and I suspect it is, then a drop to 50k is in order for the 256 cma. The 512 cma suggests the same thing but also shows the likelihood of a few months of consolidation around that level. 
- #14,713
- Feb 17, 2026 4:20am Feb 17, 2026 4:20am
If the dot is the high level focal point, and I suspect it is, then a drop to 50k is in order for the 256 cma. The 512 cma suggests the same thing but also shows the likelihood of a few months of consolidation around that level.{image} {image}
How about this one?
- #14,715
- Feb 17, 2026 8:36am Feb 17, 2026 8:36am
I believe this was Hurst's original method before he started teaching his course. No money to be made from this method, it's too simple, but he could make a small fortune teaching that course.
The "flaw" is that CMA's are offset by half their cycle length so they are not at the current bar. Determining where the cycles are now is where the experienced CMA traders excel.
- #14,717
- Edited 6:00pm Feb 18, 2026 5:42pm | Edited 6:00pm
Not comfortable being long here. Will reduce my US stock positions when an opportunity presents. 
The FP Price Path Multi indicator createss 10 hypothetical CMA's then calculates where price would need to be for each of those to pass through the focal point (white dot). So the yellow line is a rough price path that would make each of those CMA's pass through the focal point.
The FP Price Path Multi indicator createss 10 hypothetical CMA's then calculates where price would need to be for each of those to pass through the focal point (white dot). So the yellow line is a rough price path that would make each of those CMA's pass through the focal point.
- #14,719
- Feb 18, 2026 5:59pm Feb 18, 2026 5:59pm
I place the focal point at the 256/128 CMA cross, that's an important point. You can anticipate where that will be several days before it happens because the 256 changes direction slowly, then place your focal point and the FP price Path Multi will draw the line where price needs to go if 10 hypothetical CMAs passed through that point. 
256 CMA is too far away from crossing the 128 at the moment but I've placed the focal point close to where I think the cross will likely occur. 
With the expected channels in place and the possible price path in place you get a reasonable picture of where prices are likely to go.
This is another way of combining CMA's, channels and cycles to improve your chances of success.
256 CMA is too far away from crossing the 128 at the moment but I've placed the focal point close to where I think the cross will likely occur.
With the expected channels in place and the possible price path in place you get a reasonable picture of where prices are likely to go.
This is another way of combining CMA's, channels and cycles to improve your chances of success.
- #14,720
- Feb 18, 2026 6:10pm Feb 18, 2026 6:10pm
I don't use the CMA projections that are in my CMA Ch indicator. I prefer to draw channels from the full/half cycle crosses of CMA's to where I suspect the next cross will occur. You can see that in this image. I've found that method to be very accurate. 