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Golden-Cross Trading-Idea

  • #941
  • Dec 16, 2025 7:39pm Dec 16, 2025 7:39pm
Quoting AnthonyT
Posting a poor choice for it drive the lessons home with brutal reality. {image} In hindsight the reasons it was poor are clear, but at the time not so. The mind (and trading) is a great servant but a terrible master. Still in the learning lane and much to absorb and implement, so let's take that (and hope) it's a lesson learnt and that one pays closer attention to the long term signals and direction of the slope, as SwingMan has clearly articulated on many occasions. Now back to the study!

EURJPY is at an all-time high and last week was a big candle. That was a push higher but be prepared for a pull-back.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EJ MN all time high 17-12-2025 9-22-13 am.png Size: 51 KB


IF I am taking a counter-trend trade against a trending market type the Weekly, the risk to reward is seldom favourable. I need to see at least a risk-to-reward potential of 1 to 3 minimum. Trading with tight stop loss is not a good idea.

Yesterday was also Euro PMI data release so we expect some volatility.

I favour more trading with risk-to-reward 1 to 3 and the win rate is only 40% to make some money over medium to long term.

EJ R:R 1:3 example

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EJ DailyEA RR 1to3 Apr2020 to Apr2024 17-12-2025 9-29-16 am.png Size: 9 KB

...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #942
  • Dec 17, 2025 5:43am Dec 17, 2025 5:43am
Quoting AnthonyT
Posting a poor choice for it drives the lessons home with brutal reality. {image} In hindsight the reasons it was poor are clear, but at the time not so. The mind (and trading) is a great servant but a terrible master. Still in the learning lane and much to absorb and implement, so let's take that (and hope) it's a lesson learnt and that one pays closer attention to the long term signals and direction of the slope, as SwingMan has clearly articulated on many occasions. Now back to the study!

IF you are trading today, then this H1 trade would be nice +3R profit.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPY dec17 H1 3R trade 17-12-2025 7-06-39 pm.png Size: 61 KB



...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #943
  • Dec 17, 2025 6:38am Dec 17, 2025 6:38am
Hi friend,
I see many indicators, so which version is being used? Is it version 8.2?
  • #944
  • Dec 17, 2025 7:43am Dec 17, 2025 7:43am
Quoting Kakilima
Hi friend, I see many indicators, so which version is being used? Is it version 8.2?
Thanks for visting this thread and your interest in Golden Cross Trading idea.

Please check this Post #670

Hope this helps.
  • #945
  • Dec 17, 2025 8:17am Dec 17, 2025 8:17am
Quoting ENoris
{quote} Thanks for visting this thread and your interest in Golden Cross Trading idea. Please check this Post #670 Hope this helps.

thanks
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 32 KB
  • #946
  • Dec 17, 2025 9:02am Dec 17, 2025 9:02am
Quoting Kakilima
thanks...
Very nice, but also show the pair and timeframe!
  • #947
  • Dec 17, 2025 9:08am Dec 17, 2025 9:08am
Quoting SwingMan
{quote} Very nice, but also show the pair and timeframe!
is it okay to open(TP) like this, when the trend is bullish? hit TP 2 and then the price going up again? any suggest?

Risk Reward 1:3
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 45 KB
  • #948
  • Dec 17, 2025 9:17am Dec 17, 2025 9:17am
Quoting Kakilima
{quote} thanks {image}
Please check these posts on how to save the chart:

Post#340
Post#482
Post#839

When I first started posting charts in this thread a few months ago, I was also posting charts the same way you have above. While reading George (SwingMan)’s posts, I learned the correct way to save and post charts.

If the chart is clear and includes all the relevant information, others can easily see everything, which makes it much easier for them to analyze and comment.
  • #949
  • Dec 17, 2025 9:23am Dec 17, 2025 9:23am
Quoting Kakilima
...is it okay to open(TP) like this, when the trend is bullish? hit TP 2 and then the price going up again? any suggest? Risk Reward 1:3 ...
Maybe yes, maybe no...

The Golden Cross idea isn't necessarily suitable for scalping on the M5 chart.
In any case, without the other indicators posted in the link by @Noris, one can't perform a proper analysis in the sense of Golden Cross trading idea.
  • #950
  • Edited 4:30pm Dec 17, 2025 12:54pm | Edited 4:30pm
What a Marvelous performance by XAGUSD

Its the power of trading higher time frames using Golden Cross Trading Method by SwingMan

Even the H4 chart alone is enough, but for better confirmation, a higher time frame (D1) is also advisable

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAGUSDDaily.png Size: 38 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAGUSDH4.png Size: 25 KB

W1: Long
D1: Long
H4: Long
H1: Long

On H4 alone, it gave so many opportunities, marked with red vertical lines. Place STOP orders when the signal appears, no need to fall into the trap of Analysis Paralysis.

Read the thread, reread it, and if it’s still unclear, reread it again until you fully understand the concept. You need to study this method, test it and then trust it.
Its already a simple method and there is no need to overcomplicate it, by adding more indictaors.

New members are lucky, as this thread has less than 50 pages but contains a wealth of information, Golden Nuggets from George aka (SwingMan).

Start with a demo account (do at least 20 trades). Once you feel comfortable, move on to a small real account.

Its important to adjsut the settings of indicator smGoldenCross Trend_v2.2 so that the panel in the top left is displayed as it will help you show the trend of the higher time frame , current time frame and lower time frame without sitching the chart back and forth.
In the recents posts I have noticed that many members both (senior and new) are not using that feature , which I believe is the core concept (HEART) of this Golden Cross Method by SwingMan.

Best of luck and wishing everyone loads of PIP$
  • #951
  • Dec 17, 2025 4:51pm Dec 17, 2025 4:51pm
Quoting SwingMan
{quote} Maybe yes, maybe no... The Golden Cross idea isn't necessarily suitable for scalping on the M5 chart. In any case, without the other indicators posted in the link by @Noris, one can't perform a proper analysis in the sense of Golden Cross trading idea.

it''s more high risk in lower time frame, i will used in higher time frame

thanks for sharing your idea
  • #952
  • Dec 18, 2025 5:32am Dec 18, 2025 5:32am
Missed the entry on my preferred H4 time frame but saw a good entry on the H1.
The system provides opportunities if one is patient, and adheres to the rules.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 66 KB
  • #953
  • Dec 18, 2025 8:05am Dec 18, 2025 8:05am
And a 2nd trade on the H1. Came close to being stopped out on large candle but sufficient room.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPJPY 20251218.PNG Size: 72 KB
  • #954
  • Dec 18, 2025 12:50pm Dec 18, 2025 12:50pm
Hi all,
First of all, I want to thank you all for sharing useful information in this thread. Through Trading Made Simple and Trading Made Simple (R), I came across this topic—special thanks to Swingman and Enoris for their contributions.
I’ve taken the time to read through this thread multiple times and have decided to share some trades I made based on what I’ve learned. Since I’m still not completely sure whether I’m on the right track, I’d really appreciate your opinions on these trades.
I’m fairly new to forex trading, so I know I still make mistakes. By sharing them here, I hope to learn from your feedback and improve.

I tried to include my steps in the screenshots, but again (just for long trades):
1. Look at higher TFs -> should be LONG
2. Spot a crossover highlighted with a blue (or sometimes pinkish colour for me, idk why)
3. Spot a blue arrow pointing up on the slope indicator
4. Optional: look for an uptrend MA (this was in 2 out of 3 examples the case)
5. Set a buy stop at numbers shown top right (for me I'm still struggling with TP, but for now I put it around the bar high of entry bar)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trade3example.PNG Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: trade2example.PNG Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: trade1example.PNG Size: 37 KB
  • #955
  • Edited 1:50pm Dec 18, 2025 1:19pm | Edited 1:50pm
Quoting jakehh
...I tried to include my steps in the screenshots, but again (just for long trades): 1. Look at higher TFs -> should be LONG 2. Spot a crossover highlighted with a blue (or sometimes pinkish colour for me, idk why) 3. Spot a blue arrow pointing up on the slope indicator 4. Optional: look for an uptrend MA (this was in 2 out of 3 examples the case) 5. Set a buy stop at numbers shown top right (for me I'm still struggling with TP, but for now I put it around the bar high of entry bar)...
Keep it up!

A quick note regarding the last trade for "GPBUSD D1":

Near the upper Dochian Channel, especially the first 6 bars, one should cautiously make long trades and consider possible short (reversal!) trades.

The slope indicator is also pointing downwards, which is another warning signal for long trades.

Checking the uptrend moving average should be mandatory, not optional.
A statistical explanation can be found at the end of an older post of mine:
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...7#post15439057

In the first two charts, one can observe that the distance between two crossovers (arrows) is 8 bars.
Generally, the distance is almost always 6-8 bars.
In the last chart, there are more than 8 bars away from the last crossover, so statistically, one would expect an arrow pointing in the opposite direction.
  • #956
  • Edited 3:03pm Dec 18, 2025 2:49pm | Edited 3:03pm
Quoting SwingMan
{quote} Keep it up! A quick note regarding the last trade for "GPBUSD D1": Near the upper Dochian Channel, especially the first 6 bars, one should cautiously make long trades and consider possible short (reversal!) trades. The slope indicator is also pointing downwards, which is another warning signal for long trades. Checking the uptrend moving average should be mandatory, not optional. A statistical explanation can be found at the end of an older post of mine: https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...7#post15439057 In the first...

I appreciate your quick response, this really helps me so thanks!

I only don't fully understand how you see that the first two charts have a distance of around 8 bars. Chart 2 is very clear, but chart 1 only has this 8 bar distance earlier on the chart. Not at the time my trade was set, by then there was only 1 bar distance to the last down arrow (like it was also on chart 3).

Am I wrong?
  • #957
  • Dec 18, 2025 3:36pm Dec 18, 2025 3:36pm
Quoting jakehh
... I only don't fully understand how you see that the first two charts have a distance of around 8 bars. Chart 2 is very clear, but chart 1 only has this 8 bar distance earlier on the chart. Not at the time my trade was set, by then there was only 1 bar distance to the last down arrow (like it was also on chart 3). Am I wrong?
I only mentioned what can generally be considered statistically when the two opening/closing averages cross.

You shouldn't consider what you see on the right side of chart 2.

Statisticaly, if you ignore the "noise" of the small (1-3) bar intervals, you can observe sequences of 6-8 bar intervals before new arrows appear.
At the beginning of an upward period with MA(C) above MA(O), a lot can happen, but after 8 bars, there's a higher probability of a downward period.
  • #958
  • Dec 19, 2025 11:21am Dec 19, 2025 11:21am
Another day for XAGUSD (New ATH)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAGUSDH4.png Size: 42 KB
  • #959
  • Edited 12:34pm Dec 19, 2025 11:23am | Edited 12:34pm
Hello Everyone,

I joined Forex Factory in March 2025, and from that day until where I am now in my forex journey, I sincerely want to thank George (SwingMan).

George has selflessly shared his methods, indicators, and EAs, and that generosity has made a real difference in my trading journey.

Over the last few months I have passed few Prop firm funded accounts, even though I have not been very active. I truly believe this would not have been possible without the knowledge and tools shared by George.

I want to clearly repeat this again
I am not an expert, neither in trading experience nor in coding, I am still learning, I make mistakes every day and try to learn from my mistakes. I do not have enough screen time due to the nature of my job, and recently, health issues have made this even more challenging. (this is the reason I love dashboards as they reduce my screen time).

Whatever I have learned comes from studying this thread, the code openly shared by George (SwingMan) and with the help of AI. Nothing more than that.
All the credit goes to him.

Sometimes I feels I am repeating myself again and again, I only do this to let the new members know that, if I can do this, then they can also do it. (it depends upon the dedication, goals , study time, ..................)

There is no need to complicate things. Keep it simple, stay consistent, and trust the process.

I have taken so much from this thread, and I truly hope I can give something back, even if it is small. When ever I get some time I try that.

In my previous posts, I requested senior programmers and coders in this theard that come and visit and on the forum to collaborate with George to further enhance this idea. I also mentioned that if cost is involved, I am willing to bear part of it to help turn George’s wonderful idea into a complete and powerful system (Dashboard + Trading EA).

My plan was to share this in the New Year (2026), but thought to share it now, might be some can find it helpful.

I have created this simple dashboard based on the indicator (smGoldenCross Slope_2.1) mainly for my own use.

I have also attached a small user guide and posted some charts , please study them, play aroungd with the settings of the indicator. It has helped me a lot, and I genuinely hope it will help others too.

Please do not ask me for the code and explanations (health wise I am not in a postion to answer queries and have tried to explain every thing in the attached PDF, its self explanatory)

I will share the source with George, and if he wishes, he can release it as it is or release an enhanced version (improve it further, correct any mistakes or bugs, and enhance it in his own way.)

This is just a small token of appreciation compared to what I have learned from George through his posts in this thread and other Forex Factory threads.

Best of luck and wishing everyone loads of PIP$.
Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 smGoldenCross SlopeDash_v1.0.ex4   33 KB | 254 downloads
File Type: pdf User Guide - smGoldenCrossSlope Dash.pdf   722 KB | 408 downloads
  • #960
  • Dec 19, 2025 6:36pm Dec 19, 2025 6:36pm
Quoting ENoris
Hello Everyone, ... I have created this simple dashboard based on the indicator (smGoldenCross Slope_2.1) mainly for my own use. I have also attached a small user guide and posted some charts , please study them, play aroungd with the settings of the indicator. It has helped me a lot, and I genuinely hope it will help others too... . {file} {image}
Brilliant work @ENoris and many thanks for sharing. I wasn't going to look at my laptop at all today, but had to respond after FF app "pinged" my mobile.

Downloaded and read the pdf file, and the contents are simplicity and brilliance rolled into one. I have used dashboards before and, from the documentation, this one appears the next level up on previous ones. I look forward to now downloading and engaging with the dashboard to experience its potential.

Again, many thanks to SwingMan for creating this thread and sharing the system so selflessly. This thread truly stands out far and beyond any experienced to date, and it's the result of George and contributors such as yourself.

To everyone, keep this discussion going and build on it positively and true to the kernel of idea of the OP.
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