Disliked{quote} Hi, those black lines are just quarter levels — not candle-closure levels. {image}Ignored
Be kind and trade safe Y'all!
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- #92,302
- Dec 9, 2025 5:16am Dec 9, 2025 5:16am
- Joined Jun 2024 | Status: Still Learning | 2,834 Posts
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Big news tomorrow y'all, 2pm Florida time. Lets hope Jerome Powell gets it right and lowers our fed fund rate, that could send the USD soaring up against the JPY. Hold off on any big buy trades until 5pm tomorrow, You can sell anytime and get paid 3x swap. I'm pretty sure they time that release on purpose.
Don't blindly trade the print, wait to see how the market reacts first. Trade safe y'all!
Don't blindly trade the print, wait to see how the market reacts first. Trade safe y'all!
Be kind and trade safe Y'all!
- #92,306
- Dec 9, 2025 6:20am Dec 9, 2025 6:20am
- Joined Jun 2024 | Status: Still Learning | 2,834 Posts
Im only Long Target : 156,05 -156,43 -156,86{image} {image}
- #92,311
- Dec 9, 2025 8:46am Dec 9, 2025 8:46am
{quote} Nice! Could you give me a brief explanation of price and volume behavior, how you are trading this?
Okay, let's analyze a classic rule: Buy Low, Sell High! Now, observe the behavior of PA with volume. In PVSRA a color is assigned when the variation in tick volume is very large, indicating MM activity.
Now, it's about understanding how and where volumes are increasing to try to deduce what the MMs might be trying to do. If colored bars consistently appear at the tops and the price retraces to the Dragon (50 EMA) with high activity and then rises again with gray candles, or if colored bars consistently appear above the Key Levels, we know that the most likely scenario is the formation of short positions. For an bullish trend, volume should come from below the Key Levels on retracements, and not increase as the price rises. This is based on the analysis of multiples TFs and the conclusion that they all share the same pattern. We never know how far MMs will move the price, but we can analyze the PA with volume and try to piece together the puzzle to understand their intentions, but I could be wrong and they could rise hundreds of pips before actually turning bearish, it's impossible to know, so I continue my risk mgmt as long as the PVSRA supports my position...
In the attached image, notice how the volume increases above the KeyLevels, then rises without notable volume, and at the next KeyLevel continues repeating the pattern of increasing volume at the top. It's not just because the market reacts at these key levels, it's also because they build their positions at them, and the most logical thing for a bullish trend would be for the higher volume to come from the lowers.
- #92,314
- Dec 9, 2025 9:27am Dec 9, 2025 9:27am
- Joined Jun 2024 | Status: Still Learning | 2,834 Posts
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- #92,317
- Dec 9, 2025 9:36am Dec 9, 2025 9:36am
- Joined Jun 2024 | Status: Still Learning | 2,834 Posts
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- #92,318
- Dec 9, 2025 9:38am Dec 9, 2025 9:38am
{quote} Very interesting, and thank you for explaining to me. I also use volume, even though everyone says I'm crazy, or it doesn't work in forex, or tick volume is almost a reliable as real volume, yeah whatever ding-dong. My apologies, but I'm going to have to get back with you on this, because my wife has me putting furniture together, but please keep us informed and posting your analysis. We need all the help we can get. Thank you again.
