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Waiting at the Riverband

  • #2,701
  • Nov 17, 2025 8:34pm Nov 17, 2025 8:34pm
another m30 eg sell confirmation / m3 riverbank ce. done for asia.
keep on monitoring whether there will be a h1/m30 eg sell conf or a eg buy conf with the h4 eg buy.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,702
  • Nov 18, 2025 12:17am Nov 18, 2025 12:17am
london open. appears that the drop is slowing down.
there was a m30 eg buy conf but better to wait for close above the eg sell.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,703
  • Nov 18, 2025 1:05am Nov 18, 2025 1:05am
the up move to continue until there is a m15 cmp eg sell conf around h1/m30 eg sell.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,704
  • Nov 18, 2025 1:31am Nov 18, 2025 1:31am
[quote=Inthebox;15474821]Had this marked up at level of 4h support, did not come into discount so did not enter. London session
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  • #2,705
  • Nov 18, 2025 1:34am Nov 18, 2025 1:34am
Would you consider this one if it broke above the upper line then came back down into discount for a buy?
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  • #2,706
  • Nov 18, 2025 1:36am Nov 18, 2025 1:36am
Caught this buy last night after 4h EG, Asia session
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  • #2,707
  • Nov 18, 2025 1:59am Nov 18, 2025 1:59am
Quoting Pyre
Would you consider this one if it broke above the upper line then came back down into discount for a buy? {image}
trade entry options are pullback and breakout.
yes can for pullback entry.
earlier there was a breakout entry. it was a rather strong one.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,708
  • Edited 3:01am Nov 18, 2025 2:09am | Edited 3:01am
Recently busy day job,
did not trade asia and ff and lo start,
maybe kind of late entry and trade,
or i fomo
small scalp for day high , not signal ,just my analysis
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PA Return Today: 5.3%
  • #2,709
  • Nov 18, 2025 2:57am Nov 18, 2025 2:57am
Quoting LeongPuiy
Recently busy day job, did not trade asia and ff and lo, maybe kind of late entry and trade, or fomo small scalp for day high , not signal ,just my analysis {image}
i cant trade asia and ff /Lo start recently,
this is after LO start , late entry and cmp set up,
Closed 1 70 pips and 1 move stop to 40 pips ,
if hit then gain 30 pips, my target is day high.
Will be focus more at NY session this week.
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PA Return Today: 5.3%
  • #2,710
  • Nov 18, 2025 3:16am Nov 18, 2025 3:16am
Quoting Inthebox
another m30 eg sell confirmation / m3 riverbank ce. done for asia. keep on monitoring whether there will be a h1/m30 eg sell conf or a eg buy conf with the h4 eg buy. {image}
i am also done with europe. going out for appointment.
have not seen any m15 eg sell conf reversal. seeing a h4 eg buy to sell move. trade well.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,711
  • Nov 18, 2025 3:51am Nov 18, 2025 3:51am
First trade of the day
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  • #2,712
  • Nov 18, 2025 6:46am Nov 18, 2025 6:46am
I tried shorting to 15mins discount and gave my profit back to the market, this is a reminder I must follow the trend no matter what no counter trend. So sad just looking for another setup to go on break even for the day
  • #2,713
  • Nov 18, 2025 7:16am Nov 18, 2025 7:16am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} i am also done with europe. going out for appointment. have not seen any m15 eg sell conf reversal. seeing a h4 eg buy to sell move. trade well. {image}
indeed a h4 eg buy to eg sell move.
new york open with m30 eg buy conf / m5 riverbank conf.
possible daily eg buy to eg sell move if there is no h1/m30 eg sell conf.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,714
  • Nov 18, 2025 11:11am Nov 18, 2025 11:11am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} have not seen any m15 eg sell conf reversal. seeing a h4 eg buy to sell move. trade well. {image}
am I right in thinking that if you had seen a engulfing bearish after the move up that it would have been a sell signal to ride it back down?

can I also ask what you mean by buy to sell move? Is that the same as above?

thanks,
  • #2,715
  • Nov 18, 2025 5:47pm Nov 18, 2025 5:47pm
Quoting Pyre
{quote} am I right in thinking that if you had seen a engulfing bearish after the move up that it would have been a sell signal to ride it back down? can I also ask what you mean by buy to sell move? Is that the same as above? thanks,
can I also ask what you mean by buy to sell move?
price moves from one engulf to another engulf.

1. the daily chart below shows daily eg sell drop to eg buy back up to eg sell.
likewise for h4 and h1. all the way to the smallest time frame like m1.
2. however during these moves, there are roadblocks coming from 1 or 2 time frames lower.
the opposite h1 engulf blocks the h4 engulf move. the opposite h4 engulf blocks the daily engulf move.

am I right in thinking that if you had seen a engulfing bearish after the move up that it would have been a sell signal to ride it back down?
yes. provided the bearish engulf is a valid and tested one. and there is no opposite roadblock to impede the down move.

you can go to my thread mtf engulf/engulf fail to learn more. watch the 2 videos in post 1.
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...lf-engulf-fail
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,716
  • Nov 18, 2025 6:05pm Nov 18, 2025 6:05pm
encountered a tested bearish h1 road block, corresponding to m3 riverbank conf.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,717
  • Nov 18, 2025 6:26pm Nov 18, 2025 6:26pm
we all heard a lot about price action.
but what actually is price action? how to read price action?
can anyone answer that?
it took years for me to understand.
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,718
  • Nov 18, 2025 6:44pm Nov 18, 2025 6:44pm
Quoting Inthebox
we all heard a lot about price action. but what actually is price action? how to read price action? can anyone answer that? it took years for me to understand.
HH /HL
LH / LL
and what else?
PA Return Today: 5.3%
  • #2,719
  • Nov 18, 2025 6:51pm Nov 18, 2025 6:51pm
Quoting Inthebox
we all heard a lot about price action. but what actually is price action? how to read price action? can anyone answer that? it took years for me to understand.
we come down to a small time frame, reading the m5 price action.
i am using engulfing and riverbank pattern to read price action.
we all know that there is no such thing as 100%. but these come close enough for me.
from a tested bullish engulf to bearish engulf move.
we are in a bearish h4 engulf, yet why price is moving up?
more lower time frames than m5 explanaton coming later.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,720
  • Nov 18, 2025 6:57pm Nov 18, 2025 6:57pm
Quoting Inthebox
we come down to a small time frame, reading the m5 price action. i am using engulfing and riverbank pattern to read price action. we all know that there is no such thing as 100%. but these come close enough for me. from a tested bullish engulf to bearish engulf move. more lower time frames than m5 explanaton coming later. {image}
I didnt trade now.just observation.
just smoke and take a look.
what i see from 4H it still in bearish structure,
but lower than 4H , they are bullish , i think 4110-4095 will be test 4H high, if break then more bullish , if hold may another drop.
the bullish push from weekly support ytd.
and the Thursday drop from weekly resistance.
Weekly uptrend, daily neutral but still bull side more

i may wrong.
i know why before i lose back,
i always too focus cmp without check what happens at left
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