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Aussie Pairs

  • #721
  • Aug 17, 2007 10:42am Aug 17, 2007 10:42am
Currenty long gunning for 89.75 looking to close above 91, maybe 92
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #722
  • Aug 17, 2007 10:55am Aug 17, 2007 10:55am
AJ making a cup with handle
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: charts.jpg Size: 26 KB
Just Trade It
  • #723
  • Aug 17, 2007 10:56am Aug 17, 2007 10:56am
plus a head and shoulder
Just Trade It
  • #724
  • Aug 17, 2007 11:05am Aug 17, 2007 11:05am
oops, I always get the inverted h&s mixed up, its still one shoulder away from completion.
Just Trade It
  • #725
  • Aug 17, 2007 11:08am Aug 17, 2007 11:08am
92 is the fibo retracement level from the initial rally
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #726
  • Aug 17, 2007 2:30pm Aug 17, 2007 2:30pm
Quoting DutchTrader
I hope you didn't do that
Unfortunatly I did at about 97 and was stopped out for a quick 70 p loss!! But the weather is excellent,
If we aren't supposed to eat animals..... why are they made out of meat??
  • #727
  • Aug 17, 2007 10:43pm Aug 17, 2007 10:43pm
posible to run in 89 area before going up
  • #728
  • Aug 17, 2007 10:43pm Aug 17, 2007 10:43pm
posible to run in 89 area before going up boj desiction
  • #729
  • Aug 18, 2007 4:54am Aug 18, 2007 4:54am
The BoJ is under unprecedented pressure from Australia and New Zealand to raise rates, but they won't so this carry trade will continue. I don't know if the liquidity has been eased to the level where we'll see a large run up but if we do I'm ready

Quoting kariunas13
posible to run in 89 area before going up boj desiction
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #730
  • Aug 18, 2007 3:30pm Aug 18, 2007 3:30pm
Quoting DutchTrader
The BoJ is under unprecedented pressure from Australia and New Zealand to raise rates, but they won't so this carry trade will continue. I don't know if the liquidity has been eased to the level where we'll see a large run up but if we do I'm ready
Ditto mate, let's see that frog dance! LOL

I got bounces off monthly trend lines everywhere (aud/usd, eur/jpy); and if not the pair closed above monthly trend anyhow(aud/jpy, chf/jpy) . Just comes down to how greedy/risky you want to be as to how tight your stops are I guess.

Here's what I make of the charts now.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud_usd2.jpg Size: 56 KB
  • #731
  • Aug 19, 2007 1:06pm Aug 19, 2007 1:06pm
Any short and long term thoughts on the EurAud? It seems the Australian economy is showing signs of weakness? Interesting comments in the link below.

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=42326
  • #732
  • Aug 19, 2007 1:31pm Aug 19, 2007 1:31pm
Quoting goodthings
Any short and long term thoughts on the EurAud? It seems the Australian economy is showing signs of weakness? Interesting comments in the link below.

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=42326
Commodities prices always slow down in August. Aud is going to be fine, the NZD is garbage.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #733
  • Aug 19, 2007 2:22pm Aug 19, 2007 2:22pm
Quoting DutchTrader
Commodities prices always slow down in August. Aud is going to be fine, the NZD is garbage.
You seem pretty sure about the garbage . But that is my thought too. Now I am thinking eurnzd or jpynzd or both. I know this is aussie thread so I will end nzd talk here. Thanks
  • #734
  • Aug 19, 2007 2:39pm Aug 19, 2007 2:39pm
Quoting DutchTrader
The BoJ is under unprecedented pressure from Australia and New Zealand to raise rates, but they won't so this carry trade will continue. I don't know if the liquidity has been eased to the level where we'll see a large run up but if we do I'm ready
I don't think that there is a chance rates to go up right now
go go go
  • #735
  • Aug 19, 2007 3:26pm Aug 19, 2007 3:26pm
Quoting @40
I don't think that there is a chance rates to go up right now
I agree, but that might not be enough to keep the carry trade from being on hold for a bit.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #736
  • Edited 6:22pm Aug 19, 2007 4:06pm | Edited 6:22pm
Down 100 pips again, so it looks like a deeper correction is taking place in the Aud pairs. Is anyone with me?
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #737
  • Aug 19, 2007 8:52pm Aug 19, 2007 8:52pm
may be. must see the other indexes
go go go
  • #738
  • Aug 19, 2007 9:58pm Aug 19, 2007 9:58pm
currently 92.00 is capping the market, let's see what London says
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #739
  • Aug 19, 2007 10:11pm Aug 19, 2007 10:11pm
AUDUSD

AUDUSD is in down trend. The fall from 0.8662 extended to as low as 0.7675. Further fall towards 0.7600 is expected after consolidation. Near term resistance is at the down trend line from 0.8662 to 0.8504, and as long as the trend line resistance holds, down trend will continue.
If I Go Broke Trying Then I Will die happy.
  • #740
  • Aug 20, 2007 7:06am Aug 20, 2007 7:06am
AJ still up, long, long.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
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