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Attachments: DOW - PA, Stops and hedging
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DOW - PA, Stops and hedging

  • #901
  • Jun 16, 2025 6:14am Jun 16, 2025 6:14am
Tick Charts

https://www.google.com/search?q=tick...kJCQapnGg,st:0
The utility of the tick chart (the display on the number of trades, not the size of trades) is still useful, but do not be deceived by equalling the number of trades with the size (number of contracts/shares which truly represents volume. In that sense a true volume even if achievable on indices is a very complex and demands expansive data feed which is more accurate but not perfect
Attachment g
Pleas note that Finviz (bottom chart) displays only NYSE session

Possibly useful though basic explanation
https://thesecretmindset.com/tick-charts/


Tick chart the way I have been using is very basic, let say 500 tick per candle chart displays congestion and M5 to M15 is in an ares/zone of interest, than I reed it as a possibility of entry/exit This is not a prefect and exact art, but it seems to be useful during the active NYSE session
I know that this post is a diversion from what some would consider VSA, though the most basic VSA is to observe tick against the real volume of the exact number of counteracts/shares of the given security.

In the end one has to work with what is available, taking into account that retail traders face many natural disadvantages, and advantages too.
Whatever one does make sure that the scale is tipped in our favour!!! - Being consistently profitable.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #902
  • Jun 16, 2025 6:17am Jun 16, 2025 6:17am
Quoting 2be
Tick Charts https://www.google.com/search?q=tick...kJCQapnGg,st:0...
I find tick charts more useful for intraday trading or scalping, usually during the NYSE session,
trades before NYSE open are based on different things like gaps ans trend.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #903
  • Edited 2:43pm Jun 16, 2025 2:32pm | Edited 2:43pm
Quoting 2be
{quote} I find tick charts more useful for intraday trading or scalping, usually during the NYSE session, trades before NYSE open are based on different things like gaps ans trend.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #904
  • Edited 3:38pm Jun 17, 2025 3:15pm | Edited 3:38pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW MTFs 2025-06-17_211351.png Size: 227 KB




From London open PA went towards the last session close
NYSE open with GAPS which were duly filled
After that PA crossed the last session close zone to the downside, a good indication and DOW ended with a negative day - a very normal type of day, PA has been acting in a way which provided good trading opportunities
The usual things I use came well into play - a good trading day
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #905
  • Jul 13, 2025 11:54am Jul 13, 2025 11:54am
I am away for long periods during this summer, at times in places with very poor internet coverage.
Having a very long break from trading, just reading some books and enjoying different things, jumping between different countries, seeing family and friends.
Wishing all a good summer rest and a good time!
2be
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #906
  • Jul 27, 2025 11:38am Jul 27, 2025 11:38am
Just getting a few days back at home, not long enough to get my old brain into the trading routine, as I am off again.
Every time I am back home after staying in different time zones I always appreciate afresh the positive side of home time zone (south east UK) in respect of trading US indices especially, with occasional DAX trades which agree with my way of organising the trading days, for sure by 14.30 London time I am well awake and ready, finishing at 21.00pm, that is if I choose to trade the whole session, which is a rare occurrence. 8.00am is London open, and I can observe useful things happening prior to the US session open, or trade DAX (XETRA).
When away I usually read few books, trading books included. This time I have returned to Daryl Guppy and All Brooks, just to keep in touch with studying the PA, market behaviour and traders response.
If the current plan holds I hall be back around the 10th September.
Till then I occasionally will check the DOW ticker.
Wishing all a great summer breaks and a lot of fun!!!
2be
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #907
  • Sep 10, 2025 5:25am Sep 10, 2025 5:25am
back from the well extended break, will be returning to trading soon
19 Sept Triple Witching Friday, then run to the New Year scenario.
Quarterly futures provide the possibility of less demanding trading, day trading much faster and more demanding, intend to trade both.
From time to time shall be posting, I only post charts when actually trading.
Have to oversee parts of the IT setup with possibility to add TradingView charting when it becomes available on one of the trading platforms I use.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #908
  • Edited 1:24pm Sep 15, 2025 12:54pm | Edited 1:24pm
DOW - Opening short to the last session close, then longs from the fib channel on M1 to the top of fib channel, and after that I have had to go. Ranging PA. but grabbed good points
Have a look at DOW seasonality chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Study the NYSE session bars on M30

Things came nicely together, though patience as usual paid well
On ranging day like that play on lower TFs is of good utility

Resume:
PA before the NYSE open and during the NYSE session
Gaps
MA5 trigger channel MA5 Smoothed, MA5 Smoothed shift 5 (crosses of MA5 in relation to EMA34, and EMA200)
Fib 100EMA channel
there are other things explained in earlier posts too
good trading to all
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #909
  • Edited 3:50am Sep 16, 2025 3:39am | Edited 3:50am
little appetite for useful "activity" before the NYSE open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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DOW 3rd Fridays marked with vertical lines in quarterly sequence starting the Triple Witching Fridays
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Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #910
  • Edited 9:30am Sep 16, 2025 9:09am | Edited 9:30am
Quoting 2be
little appetite for useful "activity" before the NYSE open {image} DOW 3rd Fridays marked with vertical lines in quarterly sequence starting the Triple Witching Fridays {image} {image}
Shorted DOW, M1 and other TFs in agreement!!!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Done for awhile
The fib channel on M1 pretty useful
all aligned well with other TFs
Preparation paid well, trade duration - under 60 minutes
Good positive points, multiple entry position, just have a look at the span of the move, buckets of points
Now the initial move has happened, I shall do other things for a while.

MTFs charts below
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Screaming SHORT!!!! on M15 as well
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Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #911
  • Edited 5:16pm Sep 16, 2025 5:04pm | Edited 5:16pm
NYSE session bar - third in a row inside bar
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we shall see the PA after London open followed by NYSE session tomorrow
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #912
  • Sep 17, 2025 6:09am Sep 17, 2025 6:09am
WRB - 11 Sept
Triple Witching Fri is coming
End of the year rally perspective

FOMC rate and statement coming today - a lot of possibilities for larger moves, contrarian or otherwise
Have a look at the historic data

Tomorrow I have a thanksgiving service to attend for a friend who accomplished in a good fashion this worldly pilgrimage.
Shall be trading lightly if at all.
The coming Monday shall be more normal trading for me, DOW Dec 25 futures will be well active alongside of DOW cash.
Good trades to all!
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #913
  • Edited 1:52pm Sep 29, 2025 1:31pm | Edited 1:52pm
NYSE session and few hours before the NYSE open - move down on the DOW and move up on Gold - intermarket movement of capital, temporary but useful
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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DOW is my main instrument I trade, starting trading gold as well, much to learn and relearn again, I used to trade gold long time ago alongside fx and indices.

It is useful IMHO to observe the flow of available capital ( usually marginal in size compared to the static amount logged into various securities for a longer term), at times DOW and Gold travel in opposite directions, for a short time, today is a good example, before the NYSE open DOW went up, gold went up, if they are in contradistinction, one has been telling something!
Gold was actively traded, DOW was being "prepared" by MM for the busy NYSE session, since useful gaps on the DOW!

John Murphy book - Intermarket analysis - shares some light on the foundation of this type of analysis, the book is a bit old. 1990 and 2004 and I count crypto as additional class of market assets, global stocks/Indices , Bonds, Commodities and Currency, so I look at five types of assets instead of four proposed by John Murphy.
The main thing I take into account is that proportionally small amount of capital is free, unallocated and flashes around the world and between different instruments and different classes of instruments, assets. This is particularly useful for intraday and intraweek trading, although John Murphy advocates much longer TFs.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Gold DOW m30 2025-09-29_160718.png Size: 160 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #914
  • Sep 29, 2025 1:56pm Sep 29, 2025 1:56pm
Quoting 2be
NYSE session and few hours before the NYSE open - move down on the DOW and move up on Gold - intermarket movement of capital, temporary but useful {image} {image} DOW is my main instrument I trade, starting trading gold as well, much to learn and relearn again, I used to trade gold long time ago alongside fx and indices. It is useful IMHO to observe the flow of available capital ( usually marginal in size compared to the static amount logged into various securities for a longer term), at times DOW and Gold travel in opposite directions, for a short...
Closed long on DOW 46300 Long positions taken in accordance with M30 things coming together, during the NYSE session, after Fri D pivot has been achieved.
So long before the NYSE open, short to the last session close gap and to the D pivot, reversed to long side .now I am flat.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #915
  • Oct 1, 2025 9:14am Oct 1, 2025 9:14am
Quoting 2be
{quote} Closed long on DOW 46300 Long positions taken in accordance with M30 things coming together, during the NYSE session, after Fri D pivot has been achieved. So long before the NYSE open, short to the last session close gap and to the D pivot, reversed to long side .now I am flat.
On DOW gap to the last session closed, longs have worked well
MM have a great day playing on US situation, so grab what you can and try to keep it

Market will do its dance and I shall be doing things in my garden, the fire pit and so on... --- ... , ... --- ... ,by all means avoid sending that message if you can!!!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW Gold M30 03 2025-10-01_150255.png Size: 188 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #916
  • Edited 10:25am Oct 8, 2025 8:37am | Edited 10:25am
shorted DOW over 200 points earned
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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all was there gaps and so on
trade duration under 15 Minutes
515 closed the the remining shorts

Done for a while on DOW and Gold
Starting to like Gold trading a lot
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #917
  • Edited Nov 6, 2025 3:27am Nov 5, 2025 4:14pm | Edited Nov 6, 2025 3:27am
Started to trade Nasdaq as well
Below DOW and NASDAQ M30 sessions comparison
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Bottom charts are M5 and M1

Also started to trade Gold
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Gold MTFs 2025-11-05_222638.png Size: 228 KB

MTFs gearing
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #918
  • Nov 6, 2025 3:33am Nov 6, 2025 3:33am
Quoting 2be
Started to trade Nasdaq as well Below DOW and NASDAQ M30 sessions comparison{image} {image} Bottom charts are M5 and M1 Also started to trade Gold{image} MTFs gearing
On DOW I have been using the PA before the US open, basically treading gaps, very efficient way to get good points.
Currently I am accessing if that same is good for NASDAQ, it is good when these swings are large enough, otherwise continue with the trend.

Gold is a different matter, time I trade gold is from London Open to the US close. Of course not all the time, just taking trend related se ups.
I do not execute trades on MT4, use other methods for that.

My signature displays Stochastics colours selectively organised on the TFs I use, Daily, H4 and M30 are very significant to me.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #919
  • Nov 26, 2025 4:41am Nov 26, 2025 4:41am
Quoting 2be
{quote} On DOW I have been using the PA before the US open, basically treading gaps, very efficient way to get good points. Currently I am accessing if that same is good for NASDAQ, it is good when these swings are large enough, otherwise continue with the trend. Gold is a different matter, time I trade gold is from London Open to the US close. Of course not all the time, just taking trend related se ups. I do not execute trades on MT4, use other methods for that. My signature displays Stochastics colours selectively organized on the TFs I use,...
Not much changed, for scalping I am using short TFs with added trendlines and some other adjustments to time scalping entries/exits as the PA dictates, majoring on DOW, a fast moving security
Below is a third Fridays chart with Thanksgiving Thursdays marked as well, I also use Average seasonality, posted on previous occasions
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW Daily 3rd Fris 2025-11-26_103127.png Size: 73 KB
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #920
  • Dec 8, 2025 12:01pm Dec 8, 2025 12:01pm
DOW MTFs WRB the last session close ect
WRB and fibs, I have drawn fibs to illustrate, usually I see the harmony without physically drawing the fibs. years of chart exposure
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW MTF Fibs 2025-12-08 153137.png Size: 339 KB

Few weeks ago I have added MACD to DOW charts, on short TF and for scalping they are very useful
I also closely monitor VIX USD index and Bitcoin while trading DOW



Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW M5 to M1 fibs 2025-12-08 172214.png Size: 179 KB

went both ways shorts aimed at fib levels, will consider longs above 750 levels, with caution if at all
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
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