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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #91,661
  • Nov 4, 2025 6:27am Nov 4, 2025 6:27am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} {image} {image}
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  • #91,662
  • Nov 4, 2025 7:55am Nov 4, 2025 7:55am
Entered 153.5 don’t mind seeing drawdown to 154.0 I’m liking this red day. Pullback atleast before continuing up. Idk what the news on Friday will do. Either rebound for drawdown or tank. If I get 2 red days in a row now I’ll be able to set break even and use Friday volume to re enter close to the 50% mark of the above range so like 154.25 because next week might be the opposite of Friday direction.

Actually idk what’s going to happen
  • #91,663
  • Nov 4, 2025 9:19am Nov 4, 2025 9:19am
Quoting Lecedric
Entered 153.5 don’t mind seeing drawdown to 154.0 I’m liking this red day. Pullback atleast before continuing up. Idk what the news on Friday will do. Either rebound for drawdown or tank. If I get 2 red days in a row now I’ll be able to set break even and use Friday volume to re enter close to the 50% mark of the above range so like 154.25 because next week might be the opposite of Friday direction. Actually idk what’s going to happen
I am young, still learning, I dare not advise anyone. I see, I predict, then I act like that... And I feel light, comfortable. No more restraint.
You act as you perceive.
  • #91,664
  • Nov 4, 2025 9:38am Nov 4, 2025 9:38am
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  • #91,665
  • Nov 4, 2025 9:45am Nov 4, 2025 9:45am
Quoting Rafa745
{quote} Hi dear can you share this indicators please?
You can go to Master Mntiwana's profile. If you wonder what the indicator is... Just ask him.
  • #91,666
  • Nov 4, 2025 10:59am Nov 4, 2025 10:59am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} I am young, still learning, I dare not advise anyone. I see, I predict, then I act like that... And I feel light, comfortable. No more restraint. You act as you perceive.
I really have a strategy. Now that I’ve gotten away from fundamentals. Do i need to refine my strategy and put it on paper yes. I’ve looked at this pair and have traded it for a few years now. It’s getting easier for me to recognize what I’m looking for. The problem was always TIMING! still have to get better but thanks to Dave I’ll say it every time, I’ve learned things. Thanks to you as well. I love to use you for confluence. I really appreciate this thread as it makes it severely less lonely . I’m driving usually while making these posts. Sorry so sloppy.
I would be a perma bear but the way the monthly looks we are consolidating when I zoom out meaning there isn’t a real bias. That makes it hard for me as Lowe time frames and in short term is easier. Everyone wants to catch the big move no? I love how you can hedge but hate that I can’t. There’s gotta be a way and I need to learn it. That’s what makes this fun for me. I’m profitable so far this year demoing. I know easier done this way but I’ll take it as hope for when I load up a few thousand soon. If we break out and talks of intervention. I’ll easily play that UJ movement up. It just goes up then boom news is used to tank it. Also I need to know when to take profits as that really hurt me my most recent loss. Winners turned losers can’t happen ever. That’s because of what I understand as cost averaging.
  • #91,667
  • Nov 4, 2025 3:09pm Nov 4, 2025 3:09pm
Quoting ThaoAnh
{image} {image}
Hi
I can see you have a sell position
do you mind me asking you
what is your target ?
thanks
  • #91,668
  • Nov 4, 2025 5:40pm Nov 4, 2025 5:40pm
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  • #91,669
  • Nov 4, 2025 6:14pm Nov 4, 2025 6:14pm
Quoting Lecedric
{quote} I really have a strategy.
Risk management has saved me more than once. Half of the time, I can't pick a trade to save my life, so I learned to always start small 0.01, if the trade goes against me and "never comes back", I've only forfeited a couple of dollars. If it goes my direction and I have a target, I start stacking, but I look to be out of that trade, as soon as it hits my target. I hope this helps.
Be kind and trade safe Y'all!
  • #91,670
  • Nov 4, 2025 6:45pm Nov 4, 2025 6:45pm
Quoting FloridaMan
{quote} Risk management has saved me more than once. Half of the time, I can't pick a trade to save my life, so I learned to always start small 0.01, if the trade goes against me and "never comes back", I've only forfeited a couple of dollars. If it goes my direction and I have a target, I start stacking, but I look to be out of that trade, as soon as it hits my target. I hope this helps.
That's a cool way to reduce risk, kindof like a probing trade at first? What do you look for as confirmation to stack? I read best loser wins and that's what the author was talking about, stack/addon to your winners.
  • #91,671
  • Nov 4, 2025 7:19pm Nov 4, 2025 7:19pm
Quoting sqzr
{quote}What do you look for as confirmation to stack?
Profit, it is my conformation that I was right about the trend, and if I was right about the trend direction, I'll probably be right about the target.

There is a mathematical way to add to your position. Say that I have a 0.01 sell position, and it has moved to $5 in profit, I can add another 0.01 sell position, and set the stoploss at $2.50, then move the stoploss of the first position to $2.50 in profit. Now I'm using the markets money to trade, and I have already locked in $2.50 profit. If that second position moves to $5 profit, just rinse and repeat.

Mathematically... LOL! If everything is lined up in a strong trend, and my target is not far away. I get crazy with the cheese-wiz, and just start smashing that buy button. You probably better just follow the rules, I'm retarded sometimes.
Be kind and trade safe Y'all!
  • #91,672
  • Nov 4, 2025 7:23pm Nov 4, 2025 7:23pm
Quoting FloridaMan
{quote} Profit, it is my conformation that I was right about the trend, and if I was right about the trend direction, I'll probably be right about the target. There is a mathematical way to add to your position. Say that I have a 0.01 sell position, and it has moved to $5 in profit, I can add another 0.01 sell position, and set the stoploss at $2.50, then move the stoploss of the first position to $2.50 in profit. Now I'm using the markets money to trade, and I have already locked in $2.50 profit. If that second position moves to $5 profit, just...
Thanks for explaining, that is a great way to capture UJ's big swings with little risk.
  • #91,673
  • Nov 4, 2025 7:46pm Nov 4, 2025 7:46pm
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} {image} {image}
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  • #91,674
  • Nov 4, 2025 7:49pm Nov 4, 2025 7:49pm
Quoting yevhen99
{quote} Hi I can see you have a sell position do you mind me asking you what is your target ? thanks
Wait to see reaction 153,85-153,95 zone
  • #91,675
  • Nov 4, 2025 8:25pm Nov 4, 2025 8:25pm
Quoting ThaoAnh
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  • #91,676
  • Nov 4, 2025 8:54pm Nov 4, 2025 8:54pm
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} {image}
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  • #91,677
  • Nov 5, 2025 12:02am Nov 5, 2025 12:02am
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  • #91,678
  • Nov 5, 2025 12:36am Nov 5, 2025 12:36am
Quoting carbonmimeti
week n 7 from the previous low.....4H chart....situation with the expansion of the diagonal of the first blue-sided square {image}
from post 91659...4H chart update...rebound in progress
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  • #91,679
  • Nov 5, 2025 12:37am Nov 5, 2025 12:37am
1H chart with angular trendlines
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  • #91,680
  • Nov 5, 2025 1:27am Nov 5, 2025 1:27am
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