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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #91,601
  • Oct 30, 2025 2:52am Oct 30, 2025 2:52am
Quoting StillDreamer
{quote} I don't see any reason yet to short UJ technically or fundamentally. Some consolidation is possible but going down to 150.xx looks quite unlikely to me. Things looks positive for further up in next days. {image} {image} {image}
I think she's a new trader. I really would take her targets, with a grain of salt. Thank you for being kind.
Be kind and trade safe Y'all!
  • #91,602
  • Oct 30, 2025 2:52am Oct 30, 2025 2:52am
Given below Weekly charts, further up movement at USD index and further down movement at EurUsd looks quite possible.

FED rate cut is realized and FED was quite neutral about Dec rate cut. Even there will be another cut at Dec, probably it will be last one for a while. Also, note that US10y yields has increased after FED decision and press conference.

Another thing, US-China tariff tension seems to be de-escalated. It was one of the reason for running away from Usd and pumping up of EU and GU. Now, waiting some up correction at USD index is quite reasonable.

All looks UJ bullish to me.
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  • #91,603
  • Oct 30, 2025 2:56am Oct 30, 2025 2:56am
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  • #91,604
  • Oct 30, 2025 3:29am Oct 30, 2025 3:29am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} {image}
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  • #91,605
  • Oct 30, 2025 3:58am Oct 30, 2025 3:58am
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  • #91,606
  • Oct 30, 2025 7:27am Oct 30, 2025 7:27am
Quoting Bloodwish
https://youtu.be/YnDweQFcU2c
Target hit
  • #91,607
  • Oct 30, 2025 7:49am Oct 30, 2025 7:49am
Price has broken through supply. Signs of divergence are playing out, which means we could potentially see a pullback to test the breached supply zone for support. If it holds, then I believe price could go to 155. Keep in mind that it is headed for another major supply zone.

Can it go to 150? It's possible. But I am not seeing anything at the moment suggesting sellers have enough fuel to take it there. But things could change. Time will tell.

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Learn from your mistakes and march on.
  • #91,608
  • Oct 30, 2025 7:49am Oct 30, 2025 7:49am
Easy money to made on the way up! Ride that mug !
  • #91,609
  • Oct 30, 2025 8:46am Oct 30, 2025 8:46am
USDJPY 1H
side of the square= resistance
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  • #91,610
  • Oct 30, 2025 8:50am Oct 30, 2025 8:50am
Next week UJ down to fill the gap
  • #91,611
  • Oct 30, 2025 8:56am Oct 30, 2025 8:56am
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  • #91,612
  • Oct 30, 2025 9:09am Oct 30, 2025 9:09am
UJ: down 153,79-153,47-153,07
  • #91,613
  • Oct 30, 2025 9:18am Oct 30, 2025 9:18am
Quoting ThaoAnh
Next week UJ down to fill the gap
USDJPY weekly chart
You know I've always appreciated your charts....but now we have to be careful...it could rise to that Fibonacci confluence that is 100% of ABC and 88.6%
the top could be next week since it is the seventh from the low....As always, we have to make predictions and then observe what the market tells us...
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  • #91,614
  • Oct 30, 2025 9:22am Oct 30, 2025 9:22am
Quoting ThaoAnh
UJ: down 153,79-153,47-153,07
on all TFs I use the simple average at 15 and 21 and these are my targets...when the elastic is too tight then it returns to a quiet state!
  • #91,615
  • Oct 30, 2025 9:39am Oct 30, 2025 9:39am
Quoting carbonmimeti
{quote} USDJPY weekly chart You know I've always appreciated your charts....but now we have to be careful...it could rise to that Fibonacci confluence that is 100% of ABC and 88.6% the top could be next week since it is the seventh from the low....As always, we have to make predictions and then observe what the market tells us... {image}
Yes Sir.
Thanks Sir.
  • #91,616
  • Oct 30, 2025 9:41am Oct 30, 2025 9:41am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{image}
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  • #91,617
  • Edited 12:51pm Oct 30, 2025 12:32pm | Edited 12:51pm
Somehow, I made $5 selling this dumpster fire, but I really want to see some more of that buy action! Y'all trade safe!

Free garden hose water for everybody!!!
Be kind and trade safe Y'all!
  • #91,618
  • Oct 30, 2025 4:55pm Oct 30, 2025 4:55pm
Quoting carbonmimeti
{quote} on all TFs I use the simple average at 15 and 21 and these are my targets...when the elastic is too tight then it returns to a quiet state!
I love to hear how others decide on their profit targets, etc. Would you feel comfortable explaining more? From what you said is this correct...lets say you're on the H1 using the SMA 15 & 21 (SMA1521) and are in a long trade, I'm assuming price is underneath the SMA1521? Am I correct your profit target is when price hits one of the SMA1521 lines? Or maybe you sell half at the SMA21 then the remaining SMA15? Or maybe you trail your stoploss at the SMA21? So many ways to skin a cat (just in the profit taking part). Often I feel overwhelmed by the so many different ways to handle these things.
  • #91,619
  • Oct 30, 2025 5:02pm Oct 30, 2025 5:02pm
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  • #91,620
  • Oct 30, 2025 8:24pm Oct 30, 2025 8:24pm
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