The HEMc Trading System

Here is my thought on CADJPY Looks interesting for coming days.

It looks like it wants to make an M pattern, since stoch is up on Daily.
We also have Divergence on 4hr and to me weekly R1 looks reasonable to me 35 pips around..


Good Day traders

Let's continue .....This was the time when I was focused on entries; now I'm focused on exits. The info here is worth considering; it covers the entries from my perspective to a great extent. I'll try to drop more entries from Heiken A$hi and MACD (HEMc) perspective on this one.

GJ if the pair doesn't have a solid divergence, it's a failed setup. Without a divergence, you are most likely to be trapped in any time frame.

Okay that's why I've started saying/typing GREEN$ a lot lately, I had forgotten it means GREEN PIP$

It helps to identify a zone, a continuation in the duplicate direction, with entries like lower highs and higher lows. The most accurate divergence happens around the fib. .0786 level (Swing zones), look for the 200 or 800 levels

There is only one direction at a time, no buyers or sellers

Hi Imega,

How do you monitor so many pairs and manage multiple trades.

You could have asked V he knows better but since you asked IMEGA, I had to break my years of slumber but we both believe everything is for a reason turns out I found two test TE from March I have made it public but I have no idea what exactly I was upto, or where these two accounts are. It looks good and weird both.

coming to your question, you will need tools and plugins. It’s easier than you think but difficult to explain. I’ve tried my best on Just Trades, everything there should be more than enough to get started. Good Luck !

It's simple and free dude, come up with something more complicated something like,

Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) under Risk-Neutral Measure

Governs the continuous-time random evolution of FX spot rates under a risk-adjusted (martingale) probability space:
Mixes stochastic calculus, interest rate parity, and probability measure transformations.
dSt=(rd−rf)St dt+σ(St,t)St dWtQdS_t = (r_d - r_f)S_t\,dt + \sigma(S_t,t)S_t\,dW_t^{\mathbb{Q}}dSt=(rd−rf)Stdt+σ(St,t)StdWtQ

Fractional Brownian Motion (fBm)
A non-Markovian stochastic process with long-term memory (Hurst exponent H≠0.5H \neq 0.5H=0.5).
Breaks standard assumptions of independence, making volatility modeling highly nontrivial.

Hawkes Self-Exciting Point Process
Models clustering of FX trades or price jumps where each event increases the probability of future events:
λ(t)=μ+∑ti<tαe−β(t−ti)\lambda(t) = \mu + \sum_{t_i < t} \alpha e^{-\beta(t-t_i)}λ(t)=μ+∑ti<tαe−β(t−ti).
Used in high-frequency FX microstructure modeling.

Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR)
Multi-country econometric model capturing cross-border macroeconomic spillovers and dynamic linkages between FX, yields, and growth rates.
Dimensions can exceed hundreds of variables, requiring blockwise decomposition and Bayesian shrinkage.

Variational Autoencoder (VAE) for FX Latent Dynamics
Deep probabilistic model that compresses multivariate currency data into a continuous latent manifold.
Balances reconstruction loss and Kullback–Leibler divergence between true and approximate posteriors.

Entropy Pooling (Bayesian Stress Testing Framework)
Adjusts market-implied probability distributions with scenario constraints by minimizing relative entropy.
Used to reweight simulation paths under subjective or stress conditions.

Stochastic Volatility Model (Heston / SABR)
Describes FX volatility as a random process itself:
dσt2=κ(θ−σt2)dt+ξσtdWtσd\sigma_t^2 = \kappa(\theta - \sigma_t^2)dt + \xi \sigma_t dW_t^\sigmadσt2=κ(θ−σt2)dt+ξσtdWtσ.
Leads to complex closed-form solutions only under specific correlation structures.

Rough Bergomi Model (Rough Volatility Theory)
A “rough” stochastic volatility model using fractional Brownian motion with H < 0.5 to capture volatility’s roughness.
Non-Markovian, non-semimartingale, and computationally intensive to simulate.

Lévy Process with Jump-Diffusion Component
Extends standard diffusion models by incorporating jumps (Poisson + heavy-tailed distributions):
dSt=μStdt+σStdWt+StdJtdS_t = \mu S_t dt + \sigma S_t dW_t + S_t dJ_tdSt=μStdt+σStdWt+StdJt.
Used for FX options and tail-risk-sensitive hedging.

Co-Jump Detection in Multivariate FX Processes
Statistical testing framework to detect simultaneous discontinuities across multiple currency pairs.
Requires high-frequency asymptotic theory and nonparametric estimation of jump components.


I might get interested !

In my current setup, I am using two terminals, one is standard, the other is ECN (low spread), but templates and profiles are almost identical. It's a workspace, you know how things get crazy during necessary hours, when the heartbeat skips a beat. Sometimes the terminal hangs during those crucial hours, I'll be working on it till the later part as well.

I took inspiration from an aeroplane. Our workspace has to be like a cockpit. I often make changes to many templates, so when it gets a lot, I move them to another folder, and it's better to keep 5 to 6 templates serving some purpose of their own for faster switching, like Risk management to begin with, a dedicated D 4hr 1 hr and 15min template. On bigger templates, look for minor things and on a smaller timeframe, look for more significant things.

And layout is essential for me, try what you feel best working with, I use three on the left, one on the right. Adding a border remover would be helpful as well.

Sometimes it's really strange, a bee was buzzing in my head a lot lately. Your question made me log in to this ID, and I found two TE attached from feb, and all of a sudden, I started feeling light, like wait a second, yes, this is what I meant. I never thought I would push things this far emotionally, and all of a sudden, I feel calm.

Thanks, and pardon me for my weird mood.

I have a few questions to ask you as well.

1. Hypothetically, what's you'r wildest expectation from trading, no one's judging.
2. What does the word repainting mean to you? How do you see it? Would you call stotch and MACD repainting?
3. Honestly, what's your expectation from a $10k account? Say you will achieve it consistently, you would want to settle?
4. Are you using a PC or a phone/tablet? Based on your work schedule, how much time would you prefer if your real expectation could be met?
5. What leverage are you comfortable with, and how much risk with an Investment of $10k can you always be comfortable with?

Anyone is welcome to answer these questions.
Thanks

Rest in Peace, MAN!

3 Terminals. One is on the server.

On the market watch, you can sort it like this; that's the best sync I've found, best for myself. I'm trying a different variation, though, if I feel something better than this. I'll update.