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EURUSD only

  • #214,981
  • Edited 6:11am Sep 11, 2025 5:10am | Edited 6:11am
Are we looking at a 'Spring' refersal pattern in M15 / H1; price dipped briefly below 1.6818.
Or bears too strong at the moment?
  • #214,982
  • Sep 11, 2025 5:13am Sep 11, 2025 5:13am
No buying while H1 candles open below 1.1692...

*Bull flag channel is also not broken yet!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H1.png Size: 23 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #214,983
  • Sep 11, 2025 5:23am Sep 11, 2025 5:23am
It will go up but I always wait a long time. If the price reaches 1.1661, I will buy.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #214,984
  • Sep 11, 2025 5:39am Sep 11, 2025 5:39am
On a day like today, we might as well look at the clouds and predict what will come out...
The long-time support line should hold until 13:30
15mins earlier ECB rates...

September 11th — CPI SCENARIOS + FED IMPACT (Short Summary)

HIGHER than expected CPI (e.g. Core CPI m/m +0.4%)
EUR/USD drops toward 1.1650–1.1600
Probability SELL 85%
→ FED likely to delay cuts or talk hawkish again

IN LINE with expectations (e.g. Core CPI m/m +0.3%)
EUR/USD may chop between 1.1670–1.1720
Probability SELL 65%
→ FED stays neutral, no major change

LOWER than expected CPI (e.g. Core CPI m/m +0.2%)
EUR/USD rises toward 1.1740–1.1780
Probability BUY 70%
→ FED may turn dovish, rate cuts expected sooner
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 39 KB
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #214,985
  • Sep 11, 2025 5:54am Sep 11, 2025 5:54am
Added purchase order at 1.1668
"No pain no gain"
  • #214,986
  • Sep 11, 2025 6:35am Sep 11, 2025 6:35am
Closed order +30 pips banked,
I will wait for the news to enter again
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #214,987
  • Sep 11, 2025 6:44am Sep 11, 2025 6:44am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_20250911-084151.png Size: 7 KB

"No pain no gain"
  • #214,988
  • Sep 11, 2025 6:46am Sep 11, 2025 6:46am
Quoting JBRolim
{image}
I hope you right Bru?

I am sitting out, No more news for me,
My ass is still blue from the 100 + pip loss last month.

I am sure there will be a trade after the news.
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #214,989
  • Sep 11, 2025 6:48am Sep 11, 2025 6:48am
Quoting JBRolim
{image}
You trade the fundamental right bro ?
Rising and falling like waves in the ocean
  • #214,990
  • Sep 11, 2025 6:50am Sep 11, 2025 6:50am
Quoting philbon2025
{quote} Hi, a strong shake following US figures or something else?
Following the US figures, the news may be bad and the price may continue to fall. Yesterday there was a bull trap.
  • #214,991
  • Sep 11, 2025 6:57am Sep 11, 2025 6:57am
Just opened the charts, glass of coffee next to me, took a sip and nearly spilled it looking at the 5m TF . Anyway, CPI today, took a loss yesterday, coming in strong today looking for some longs. I have marked out an area around 1.16650 and 1.16550. If price presents the keys for me to go long, so be it. And hoping for price to come around and sweep the high from yesterday at 1.17323 by the end of the day! Good luck to everyone today!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot 2025-09-11 145758.png Size: 12 KB
  • #214,992
  • Sep 11, 2025 6:59am Sep 11, 2025 6:59am
Quoting DeJaBlue
{quote} I hope you right Bru? I am sitting out, No more news for me, My ass is still blue from the 100 + pip loss last month. I am sure there will be a trade after the news.
  • #214,993
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:04am Sep 11, 2025 7:04am
Based on h4
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 26 KB
Swing Trader
  • #214,994
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:05am Sep 11, 2025 7:05am
Quoting mustafayucel
Based on h4 {image}
This right here would make my month! Lets see how it goes.
  • #214,995
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:13am Sep 11, 2025 7:13am
Expect EU to continue selling after the news
  • #214,996
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:17am Sep 11, 2025 7:17am
Quoting Yogi88
{quote} You trade the fundamental right bro ?
No, I use the lines a lot, as you can see in previous posts. There are many configurations that adapt and I use, including: square, triangle, and circle... but lately I've been traveling and I don't know when I'll use my laptop again... so when I travel, I have to improvise using the phone app... which gives me two inputs: one at 50% fib and one below the fib fan's touch.
"No pain no gain"
  • #214,997
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:18am Sep 11, 2025 7:18am
When both PPI numbers we surprising in the same direction, most of the times CPI did so as well. Usually CPI is published first and PPI after. This week is one of the rare occasions, where it is the other way around.

Both PPI numbers suprised on the down side. Likelihood that CPI surprises to the other side is 16%. Therefore there is an 84% chance, that CPI will surprise on the downside as well or will come in as expected.
  • #214,998
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:19am Sep 11, 2025 7:19am
Quoting adrielt
Got stopped out overnight as price just whipsawed around yesterday, Im still thinking it will hit 1.16749 area before it goes long, gonna wait for london open before placing any trades, my bias is overall long so I think a dip down during london into 1.16749-1.16616 area, could possibly do a small sweep of asian highs before going down, and then an expansion move up during london/ny overlap and cpi tmrw morning, if news is bad for usd then it would probably hit 1.17889. This is what im thinking right now thought id just type it all out for fun and...
Took long enough but my targets finally hit, now I will wait for cpi and see if my long is happening today or not
  • #214,999
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:19am Sep 11, 2025 7:19am
Pending Buy
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD#M30 1109.png Size: 5 KB
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #215,000
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:21am Sep 11, 2025 7:21am
Quoting Songo3000
{quote} I've old short at 1.1671 so... Go Bears Go
Ha! Closed at 1.1665 Let’s wait for US data now.
Songo
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