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The Swamp

  • #124,521
  • Aug 28, 2025 9:18am Aug 28, 2025 9:18am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} No! 1665 and 1699 as a retrace to enter short. 1665 is already met and one could enter there. 1699 is another one if bounce.
After 1665 it dropped 90 pips.
1699 is probably coming. If it's bearish, I expect a significant drop after 1699 rejection. It may go higher and fail the setup.
It may fall before 1699. But there is a decent entry zone around there for who is looking for a short.
Let's see what happens...
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #124,522
  • Aug 28, 2025 9:20am Aug 28, 2025 9:20am
Quoting Gibraltor
Unfortunately, the books appear to have been cooked for at least the last 40 years, if not longer. For example in the US, starting in 1983, the CPI no longer includes the price of a home but instead uses "rental value". The excuse was that the CPI was not supposed to include investments. However, the consequence is huge as anyone that owns a rental home will tell you they do not buy homes as an investment to break even; rents are always higher than house payments. So we STILL have an investment included, but now at an inflated value, especially...
The money was stolen from savers starting 45/55 years ago. First the gold standard removal to pay for Vietnam/ among other causes (Europeans melting us gold coins) .. All rises in deficits cause inflation. We got a mother load in a deficit with the new tax bills deficit comng. That's without the tariffs adding more. We are headed back to sharecropper days were you shop at the company store (walmart. Amazon and such). And you live in company housing. Wall street is already buying up single family housing. Pricing new home buyers out. Its just a matter of time before Walmart or Amazon start buying those companies as well as food sources farmland and such. Mom and pops are a dying commodity. I see a Dollar General/Tractor supply popping up all over the area. Some bigger whale will buy them up too. Welcome to the good old days. Lose your job, and you get evicted. Its coming, the middle class pool is set to shrink. The us is kicking the Mexicans out. And is setting up a Mexico type standards for itself. Where you're either rich, or poor.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,523
  • Aug 28, 2025 9:53am Aug 28, 2025 9:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The money was stolen from savers starting 45/55 years ago. First the gold standard removal to pay for Vietnam/ among other causes (Europeans melting us gold coins) .. All rises in deficits cause inflation. We got a mother load in a deficit with the new tax bills deficit comng. That's without the tariffs adding more. We are headed back to sharecropper days were you shop at the company store (walmart. Amazon and such). And you live in company housing. Wall street is already buying up single family housing. Pricing new home buyers out. Its...
Coming to a reality near you. When you have a lot of money. You gotta put it some where. When you pay 0 taxes. That frees up more money. Inflation here makes Jeff richer
https://jacobin.com/2024/05/single-f...ls-wall-street
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,524
  • Aug 28, 2025 11:33am Aug 28, 2025 11:33am
EUR/USD Outlook – Friday Aug 29
Context:

  1. Tomorrow isn’t just Friday, it’s also Month-end and the unofficial close of summer (desks return next week).
  2. Daily & Monthly charts look solid bullish. Only the Weekly needs to close green.
  3. News flow is light in Europe (German/French/Italian data) with the main risk being US Core PCE @ 1:30pm London.

Bias:

  1. Hard to see a deep selloff into month-end.
  2. Only risk is a quick stop-hunt lower in Asia (towards 1.1650–1.1620 zone).
  3. After that, buyers likely step in, especially if US data isn’t strongly dollar-positive.

Targets:

  1. First key = 1.1717 / Weekly R1.
  2. Extension into month-end flows could see 1.1793 / Weekly R2 confluence.
  3. Expecting a bullish Friday close above 1.1720, with scope for a 100–120 pip push.

Plan:

  1. Watch Asia for liquidity sweep.
  2. Buy dips into 1.1650–1.1620.
  3. Hold for 1.1720 → 1.1790 into NY.

PowerZone Map (Confluence Bands)
Support Zones S3: 1.1450 – 1.1460 S2: 1.1538 – 1.1548 S1: 1.1615 – 1.1625 Resistance Zones R1: 1.1690 – 1.1700 R2: 1.1715 – 1.1725 R3: 1.1785 – 1.1795
Note: Once today’s close numbers are confirmed, I’ll update the PowerZones properly for Friday’s play.

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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,525
  • Aug 28, 2025 12:00pm Aug 28, 2025 12:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
I took a u-cad long.. 40 pip stop-40 pip tp. the pf has been 6X the last year on this setup {image} {image}
my ea close to being stopped
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,526
  • Aug 28, 2025 12:53pm Aug 28, 2025 12:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} my ea close to being stopped
dollar is so weak, no sign of reversal for now.
eu 1590 seems very far away now.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,527
  • Aug 28, 2025 1:06pm Aug 28, 2025 1:06pm
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} After 1665 it dropped 90 pips. 1699 is probably coming. If it's bearish, I expect a significant drop after 1699 rejection. It may go higher and fail the setup. It may fall before 1699. But there is a decent entry zone around there for who is looking for a short. Let's see what happens...
it was just inch away
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,528
  • Aug 28, 2025 2:43pm Aug 28, 2025 2:43pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} it was just inch away
Yeah... Missing 1699 atm by less than 2 pips. Maybe Asian job! H1 pinbar pointing the weakness.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #124,529
  • Edited 3:50pm Aug 28, 2025 3:19pm | Edited 3:50pm
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Yeah... Missing 1699 atm by less than 2 pips. Maybe Asian job! H1 pinbar pointing the weakness.
yea if we return to that level likely to go further north. But it does look like a breakout to the north to me while gbp above trendline

1667 can turn into a strong support for eu now
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,530
  • Edited 10:12pm Aug 28, 2025 9:21pm | Edited 10:12pm
Commander’s Market Log — EUR/USD (Aug 29, 2025)
Tri-Force View: Synthesized from GPT + Grok + Verified by Gemini
Close: 1.16826 (NY 5pm feed) | Weekly/Monthly Close: 1.16796
DeMark: Close > Open
Pivots
- Daily: P 1.1670 | R1 1.1710 | R2 1.1738 | R3 1.1779 | S1 1.1642 | S2 1.1601 | S3 1.1573
- Weekly: P 1.1681 | R1 1.1779 | R2 1.1841 | S1 1.1619 | S2 1.1521
- Monthly (July data): P 1.1548 | R1 1.1695 | R2 1.1977 | S1 1.1265 | S2 1.1119
---
Pivot Battle Strip
- Core Execution Zone: 1.1670 – 1.1681 (Daily + Weekly Pivots)
- Outer Guardrails: 1.1642 (Daily S1) – 1.1710 (Daily R1)
→ Expect whipsaws inside; conviction only on break & hold beyond.
---
Resistance PowerZones
1) 1.1695 – 1.1705 → intraday cap, round 1.1700
2) 1.1708 – 1.1716 → Daily R1 + DeMark cap
3) 1.1720 – 1.1730 → DeMark R2 (1.1724), front-run Daily R2 (1.1738)
4) 1.1736 – 1.1746 → Daily R2/DeMark R3 cluster
5) 1.1775 – 1.1785 → Weekly R1 / Daily R3 ceiling
(stretch: 1.1836–1.1846 Weekly R2)
Support PowerZones
1) 1.1652 – 1.1660 → DeMark S1 (1.1656), Asia sweep magnet
2) 1.1638 – 1.1646 → Daily S1 (1.1642)
3) 1.1614 – 1.1624 → Weekly S1 (1.1619)
4) 1.1596 – 1.1606 → Daily S2 (1.1601)
5) 1.1570 – 1.1578 → Daily S3 (1.1573)
(major base: 1.1543–1.1553 Monthly Pivot)
---
Triggers
- Bullish: Clear break >1.1716 → 1.1724 → 1.1738/1.1746 → 1.1779
- Bearish: Clean 15m close <1.1619 → 1.1601 → 1.1573 → 1.1548
- Asia/London watch: Likely dip probe into 1.165x. Reclaim of 1.1670–1.1681 = long setup.
---
Commander’s Note:
Bias leans bullish into month-end flows, but intraday path may involve stop-hunts down to 1.1650–1.1660.
Friday’s close above 1.1710 would save the Weekly candle; below 1.1642 leaves bulls vulnerable heading into September.
---
Tri-Force Verdict (Gemini’s Cross-Check):
- Pivots & DeMark math fully verified.
- Monthly = bullish channel intact; Weekly = strong trend; Daily = triangle battle.
- Key signal: Weekly close >1.1710 = bulls in control; close <1.1642 = warning shot.
- Support/Resistance PowerZones confirmed accurate and well-clustered.
Final Stamp: Your analysis is comprehensive, well-structured, and a solid trading plan into month-end.
---
Charts & Calculator (Google Drive)
— Tri-Force Command Centre: Commander + GPT × Grok × Gemini (support crew)
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,531
  • Aug 29, 2025 5:13am Aug 29, 2025 5:13am
First observation, the 12h closed below 1682. But its still above 1556, 1588. my 4h + indicators are bullish. The the latest month wk structure slipped into bearish, the day back to bullish. The quarter still bullish. The current low since the 12h close is 100 pips above 1556 to the pip
News in 2+hs. The last day of the month
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,532
  • Aug 29, 2025 5:22am Aug 29, 2025 5:22am
Katrina 20 year anniversary.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,533
  • Aug 29, 2025 7:26am Aug 29, 2025 7:26am
Quoting gatorinla
First observation, the 12h closed below 1682. But its still above 1556, 1588. my 4h + indicators are bullish. The the latest month wk structure slipped into bearish, the day back to bullish. The quarter still bullish. The current low since the 12h close is 100 pips above 1556 to the pip News in 2+hs. The last day of the month {image}
News in 5m. pa at 1659
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,534
  • Edited 7:47am Aug 29, 2025 7:34am | Edited 7:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} News in 5m. pa at 1659
no surprise, didnt move the market much….

We are still 100 pips above 1559 will be above adr for us to get there unless we have some news to push us there
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,535
  • Aug 29, 2025 8:01am Aug 29, 2025 8:01am
Quoting johncen
{quote} no surprise, didnt move the market much….
yeah, I guess if it cant make 1670 again. The 12h did close below 1682, so 1675/76 has some r too now. That could mean something. Its just likely to get back to 1670/75
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,536
  • Aug 29, 2025 9:42am Aug 29, 2025 9:42am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Yeah... Missing 1699 atm by less than 2 pips. Maybe Asian job! H1 pinbar pointing the weakness.
Let's see if 1699 be rejected...
Above 1712 nothing is bearish to me.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #124,537
  • Aug 29, 2025 9:44am Aug 29, 2025 9:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}yeah, I guess if it cant make 1670 again. The 12h did close below 1682, so 1675/76 has some r too now. That could mean something. Its just likely to get back to 1670/75
bear is so dead. If no surprise likely to be a solid green candle on monthly tf and another doji with long tail on weekly tf.

not good for bear
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,538
  • Aug 29, 2025 9:46am Aug 29, 2025 9:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}yeah, I guess if it cant make 1670 again. The 12h did close below 1682, so 1675/76 has some r too now. That could mean something. Its just likely to get back to 1670/75
I assumed it would make 1670 again. After 1670?? no assumptions. It does look bullish. Maybe a little less bullish below 1675
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,539
  • Aug 29, 2025 9:51am Aug 29, 2025 9:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I assumed it would make 1670 again. After 1670?? no assumptions. It does look bullish. Maybe a little less bullish below 1675 {image}
we need to see a strong rejection by the bear maybe closing the current h and next h back below 1682 or 1667 better. Otherwise bear is likely to fail
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,540
  • Aug 29, 2025 10:05am Aug 29, 2025 10:05am
Quoting Avir
Commander’s Market Log — EUR/USD (Aug 29, 2025) Tri-Force View: Synthesized from GPT + Grok + Verified by Gemini Close: 1.16826 (NY 5pm feed) | Weekly/Monthly Close: 1.16796 DeMark: Close > Open Pivots - Daily: P 1.1670 | R1 1.1710 | R2 1.1738 | R3 1.1779 | S1 1.1642 | S2 1.1601 | S3 1.1573 - Weekly: P 1.1681 | R1 1.1779 | R2 1.1841 | S1 1.1619 | S2 1.1521 - Monthly (July data): P 1.1548 | R1 1.1695 | R2 1.1977 | S1 1.1265 | S2 1.1119 --- Pivot Battle Strip - Core Execution Zone: 1.1670 – 1.1681 (Daily + Weekly Pivots) - Outer Guardrails:...
Commander’s Market Log – EUR/USD Update (Aug 29, 2025 – NY Session)
Price action respected the 1.165x support cluster (Daily S1 / DeMark S1) with precision.
My long position survived; hedge at 1.1642 not triggered.
Current move: Bulls pushed through 1.1700, eyeing 1.1736 (Daily R2 / DeMark R2) as 1st TP.
If momentum holds into the close, stretch levels 1.1746 → 1.1775 remain valid.
Key Zones in Play:
1.1652–1.1660 = defended, intraday base.
1.1708–1.1716 = cracked.
1.1736–1.1746 = target zone.
Commander’s Note: Analysis halfway complete; NY bulls have the wheel now. Watching for confirmation into 1.1736.
Stay disciplined — stops belong outside the battle strip.
– Tri-Force Command Centre
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
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