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  • #124,481
  • Aug 27, 2025 4:24am Aug 27, 2025 4:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Maybe..the 4h didnt take 1579.. so it may not be ready.
yea we may bounce from here
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,482
  • Aug 27, 2025 5:45am Aug 27, 2025 5:45am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea we may bounce from here
The Fed will be peaking here.. We may get a false sense here. GDP is priced in dollars. Inflation can raise GDP without raising production. If this number would turn out negative with inflation, that is a sign of less production. A slowing economy. Initially this could hurt the usd. Later absorbed it hurts the world. The usd could bounce back.
Take that with employment later. Slippage on employment with a tick down in GDP could be rough on the usd. We need to be cautious. It can rise and fall later. It has not taken 1556 or 1579/4h.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,483
  • Edited 6:24am Aug 27, 2025 6:03am | Edited 6:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The Fed will be peaking here.. We may get a false sense here. GDP is priced in dollars. Inflation can raise GDP without raising production. If this number would turn out negative with inflation, that is a sign of less production. A slowing economy. Initially this could hurt the usd. Later absorbed it hurts the world. The usd could bounce back. Take that with employment later. Slippage on employment with a tick down in GDP could be rough on the usd. We need to be cautious. It can rise and fall later. It has not taken 1556 or 1579/4h. {image}...
yes indeed, gdp and pce this week, nfp next week, and crazy man’s tweet, can change the markst in minutes!
we just have an hour closing below 1582. Let see if it brings 1556 this time as long as no random tweet

Update: daily s2 1573 still in the way and back above 1582 again. Yea maybe not yet. Wont be surprise if we back to the range

i still hoping to see 1556 and 1520. Will we get a new range ahead of monthly close and nfp next week?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,484
  • Aug 27, 2025 6:53am Aug 27, 2025 6:53am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yes indeed, gdp and pce this week, nfp next week, and crazy man’s tweet, can change the markst in minutes! we just have an hour closing below 1582. Let see if it brings 1556 this time as long as no random tweet Update: daily s2 1573 still in the way and back above 1582 again. Yea maybe not yet. Wont be surprise if we back to the range i still hoping to see 1556 and 1520. Will we get a new range ahead of monthly close and nfp next week?
in 1h we should see something. I know what my structure shows. I want to see the indicators inline. I have hopes that 1537 can hold it down. If it can't.. it may hit 1654 lc. If its to be bearish. It may have troubles much above 1600 st. tougher 1637. 1556 to me is probably a key area to hold either side. Its mostly teflon near so far. I have to plan on its chance of repealing pa.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,485
  • Aug 27, 2025 7:00am Aug 27, 2025 7:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} did you mean 1599 and 1565?
No! 1665 and 1699 as a retrace to enter short.
1665 is already met and one could enter there. 1699 is another one if bounce.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #124,486
  • Aug 27, 2025 7:04am Aug 27, 2025 7:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The Fed will be peaking here.. We may get a false sense here. GDP is priced in dollars. Inflation can raise GDP without raising production. If this number would turn out negative with inflation, that is a sign of less production. A slowing economy. Initially this could hurt the usd. Later absorbed it hurts the world. The usd could bounce back. Take that with employment later. Slippage on employment with a tick down in GDP could be rough on the usd. We need to be cautious. It can rise and fall later. It has not taken 1556 or 1579/4h. {image}...
Inflation raising GDP, while production slows. That can have a negative effect on the usd. If John Deer is producing less. The farmers are buying less John Deer. =Less farm production. Usually raises those prices for consumers. = more inflation.. The never ending inflation circle. The GDP can be misleading. But if it shrinks.. It has a sharper edge. The John Deer info looks like a drop in production. Its likely baked in. The future loss of ag products takes time. That inflation may still be coming. Giving a bullshit gdp number across all production. Even a good gdp number can be lying. Because its based on usd
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/22/john...d-layoffs.html
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,487
  • Aug 27, 2025 7:49am Aug 27, 2025 7:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} in 1h we should see something. I know what my structure shows. I want to see the indicators inline. I have hopes that 1537 can hold it down. If it can't.. it may hit 1654 lc. If its to be bearish. It may have troubles much above 1600 st. tougher 1637. 1556 to me is probably a key area to hold either side. Its mostly teflon near so far. I have to plan on its chance of repealing pa.
given how important 1556 is we should at least touch it even if bull is going to defend this area. For now still no touch.

i might be wrong and 1573 does the job for now. But 1556 should be seen.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,488
  • Aug 27, 2025 8:40am Aug 27, 2025 8:40am
Quoting johncen
{quote} given how important 1556 is we should at least touch it even if bull is going to defend this area. For now still no touch. i might be wrong and 1573 does the job for now. But 1556 should be seen.
Maybe after the attraction toward 1654 gives up. 1616/19 has some R too. That could keep it from 1637.. But later in Asia, it may try again..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,489
  • Aug 27, 2025 9:02am Aug 27, 2025 9:02am
this last h since its above 1588. I would expect a rise. But 1654 is a long way in 1h. It should have troubles 1616/19 or 1637. If its going to reach 1654, it will just run things over. If its struggling, it may be tired
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,490
  • Aug 27, 2025 9:03am Aug 27, 2025 9:03am
Quoting gatorinla
this last h since its above 1588. I would expect a rise. But 1654 is a long way in 1h. It should have troubles 1616/19 or 1637.
yea that last h puts bear to bed for now should test 1619
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,491
  • Edited 9:31am Aug 27, 2025 9:20am | Edited 9:31am
Quoting gatorinla
this last h since its above 1588. I would expect a rise. But 1654 is a long way in 1h. It should have troubles 1616/19 or 1637. If its going to reach 1654, it will just run things over. If its struggling, it may be tired
seems lack of momemtum after the hourly close…

last 30 mins candle: eurusd down back below 1590, but usdjpy and usdchf also down
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,492
  • Aug 27, 2025 9:32am Aug 27, 2025 9:32am
If this current h closes below 1588.. The chance to rise lessons.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,493
  • Aug 27, 2025 9:34am Aug 27, 2025 9:34am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea that last h puts bear to bed for now should test 1619
this current one has a little more weight being a 6h
1637 lost some importance now
It struggled and is now back below 1588.. That's a likely reject for bulls lc..It was too far I thought. Later in Asia they may hit something closer to 1619.. Before coming back. just to hit some stops
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,494
  • Aug 27, 2025 9:41am Aug 27, 2025 9:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this current one has a little more weight being a 6h 1637 lost some importance now It struggled and is now back below 1588.. That's a likely reject for bulls lc..It was too far I thought. Later in Asia they may hit something closer to 1619.. Before coming back. just to hit some stops
yea last h might be a fake move. Closing a scalp long here -10. Waiting for hourly close
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,495
  • Aug 27, 2025 10:07am Aug 27, 2025 10:07am
the 6h was above 1588. So it can rise. There can be R at 1616/19
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,496
  • Aug 27, 2025 11:50am Aug 27, 2025 11:50am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea last h might be a fake move. Closing a scalp long here -10. Waiting for hourly close
bad decision, got the wrong signal.
1620 didnt stop and bull appearing strong at the moment testing 1637 level. Downward trendline looks like broken

would not be a good sign if bear unable to defend this area
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,497
  • Aug 27, 2025 12:53pm Aug 27, 2025 12:53pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} bad decision, got the wrong signal. 1620 didnt stop and bull appearing strong at the moment testing 1637 level. Downward trendline looks like broken would not be a good sign if bear unable to defend this area
News is coming in the morning. After the 6h closed above 1588. I figured it would rise some. I dont think too far past 1691 (40/60 ish pips). I usually look for weakness after a 40 pip rise. Its a little above the 40 now
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,498
  • Edited 7:42pm Aug 27, 2025 1:00pm | Edited 7:42pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} bad decision, got the wrong signal. 1620 didnt stop and bull appearing strong at the moment testing 1637 level. Downward trendline looks like broken would not be a good sign if bear unable to defend this area
News coming in the morning. After the 6h closed above 1588. I figured it would rise some. I dont think too far past 1591 (40/60 ish pips). I usually look for weakness after a 40 pip rise. Its a little above the 40 now
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,499
  • Aug 27, 2025 2:20pm Aug 27, 2025 2:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} News is coming in the morning. After the 6h closed above 1588. I figured it would rise some. I dont think too far past 1691 (40/60 ish pips). I usually look for weakness after a 40 pip rise. Its a little above the 40 now
1591 you mean Gator?

yea i was watching usdx for signal and was hoping a spike above 98.8 and eu to maybe touching 1556 or near for a buy hence i was holding on buying near 1573.

but really there was no news to push the price below 1582 so yea back to the range. Now i will see daily close and what happen next.

2 days left and we will start seeing red news which may change the market
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,500
  • Aug 27, 2025 7:05pm Aug 27, 2025 7:05pm
I took a u-cad long.. 40 pip stop-40 pip tp. the pf has been 6X the last year on this setup
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