Update. The nearest rebalance actually played out this time to nearly 7R. easy 4R hit. Original OB's still in play. Hindsight eh? Next one.
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- #282
- Jun 22, 2025 4:17pm Jun 22, 2025 4:17pm
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,606 Posts
People trading the opening GAP, because it always closes, right? but the spread is bigger
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- #283
- Jun 22, 2025 10:34pm Jun 22, 2025 10:34pm
- Joined Jun 2018 | Status: An ordinary brother | 4,600 Posts
- #284
- Jun 23, 2025 12:31am Jun 23, 2025 12:31am
- Joined Jun 2018 | Status: An ordinary brother | 4,600 Posts
{quote} Thanks Ivan. Luckily, going long on USDCHF gives swap, so it is possible to leave it there and just chill. What makes it annoying is that one (me) is wondering about the missed opportunities because I don't want to go into another USD long position while I already have one.
Maybe it is a good moment to build a money management strategy for your account.
- #285
- Jun 23, 2025 2:54am Jun 23, 2025 2:54am
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,606 Posts
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
- #286
- Jun 23, 2025 3:04am Jun 23, 2025 3:04am
- Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Trader | 5,319 Posts
It never gets easier, you just get better
- #287
- Jun 23, 2025 7:43am Jun 23, 2025 7:43am
- Joined Jun 2018 | Status: An ordinary brother | 4,600 Posts
- #289
- Jul 27, 2025 6:35pm Jul 27, 2025 6:35pm
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,606 Posts
Other JPY charts like this, except USDJPY not playing nice!
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- #292
- Edited 3:45pm Aug 4, 2025 2:06pm | Edited 3:45pm
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,606 Posts
{quote} Hey, is there an active CHF/JPY trading Forum/Threads?
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- #293
- Aug 10, 2025 1:37pm Aug 10, 2025 1:37pm
- Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Trader | 2,917 Posts
{quote} Yes, this is it, you found it, what have you got, damn, the JPY so strong!
- #294
- Aug 14, 2025 1:17am Aug 14, 2025 1:17am
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,606 Posts
{quote} you found it ERUBUS....you found it....you found it!!!
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{quote} Crazy strong JPY again today {image}
thank you for your inputs. I'm not an English native speaker so forgive my mistakes. Also my knowledge of the matter is very far from your, so please be patient.
I see a daily area support for Chf/Jpy at about 181,40 Chf.
I hope to see this a reverse point also for Usd/Jpy to heal my wrong move. Sorry for the basic chart and short timeframe.
- #299
- Nov 14, 2025 5:26pm Nov 14, 2025 5:26pm
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,606 Posts
missed the entry wasnt paying attention looking very clean, might get in if we get a high re test maybe - what do u guys think on the chf could be gap closing time
The Swiss Franc’s strength this week was driven by sticky inflation expectations, safe‑haven demand, and trade policy developments.
Key Fundamentals Behind CHF Strength- Inflation Outlook:
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) signaled that inflation is expected to rise slightly in the coming quarters. This dampened speculation about a return to negative interest rates, keeping CHF yields relatively attractive SWI swissinfo.ch. - Policy Signals:
SNB Vice President Antoine Martin’s comments reassured markets that sub‑zero rates are unlikely in the near term. Money markets now assign less than a 30% probability of negative rates over the next year, down from about 64% a month ago SWI swissinfo.ch. - Trade Developments:
Reports that Switzerland is close to securing reduced tariffs (15% vs. the current 39%) on exports to the US boosted confidence in Swiss trade prospects, adding fundamental support to CHF SWI swissinfo.ch TRADING ECONOMICS. - Safe‑Haven Demand:
Global equity markets retreated late in the week, prompting investors to shift capital into the Swiss Franc. Hedge funds increased long positions against the euro and yen, reinforcing CHF’s safe‑haven role SWI swissinfo.ch. - Seasonal Factors:
December is historically one of the strongest months for CHF, and positioning ahead of year‑end may have amplified flows SWI swissinfo.ch.
Market Impact
- EUR/CHF: The franc climbed to its strongest level since January 2015, around 0.9186 per euro SWI swissinfo.ch.
- USD/CHF: Spot rates fell toward 0.79, reflecting broad CHF strength against the dollar TRADING ECONOMICS.
- CHF/JPY: The pair remained elevated near 194, showing CHF resilience even against another safe‑haven currency TRADING ECONOMICS.
Trading Takeaway
For breakout systems like the ones you’re running, CHF’s fundamentals this week highlight two things:
- Safe‑haven flows can override technical setups. Even if ranges look tight, geopolitical or inflation headlines can trigger outsized moves.
- Policy tone matters. The SNB’s stance against negative rates gave CHF a floor, making breakouts more directional and less prone to whipsaws.
In summary: CHF strength this week was anchored in sticky inflation expectations, SNB policy signals, reduced US tariffs, and safe‑haven demand during equity weakness.
Sources: SWI swissinfo.ch TRADING ECONOMICS
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- #300
- Nov 14, 2025 5:33pm Nov 14, 2025 5:33pm
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,606 Posts
On the technical side of things, 4-hour signal is forming, RSI was way over-extended
Signal formed on 1-hour, but anything can happen next week due to fundamentals
Trade Responsibly
Signal formed on 1-hour, but anything can happen next week due to fundamentals
Trade Responsibly
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.