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Trading Made Simple

  • #150,701
  • Aug 11, 2025 12:43am Aug 11, 2025 12:43am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} Monday Aug 11 TMS 8 pairs Weekly {image} - you can pick 2 pairs from these 8 pairs and /... ...

and one pair from each of these groups:


EUR and GBP crosses,

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR GBP XXX Weekly AUg11 Lodon 5am 11-8-2025 12-52-50 pm.png Size: 58 KB

other JPY pairs,

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: JPY pairs Weekly Aug 11 LON 5am 11-8-2025 12-54-45 pm.png Size: 68 KB

one of these three,

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: COMMOD pairs 11-8-2025 1-41-48 pm.png Size: 26 KB




and any SGP pairs,

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SGD Aug11 Weekly London 5am 11-8-2025 12-59-13 pm.png Size: 54 KB





/...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,702
  • Aug 11, 2025 8:08pm Aug 11, 2025 8:08pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
AUDUSD Aug08 - preparation for next Week 33 Aug 11 to 17 {image} {image} ...
Today is RBA vs CPI

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FF Cal AUg12 ADU vs USD 12-8-2025 9-04-16 am.png Size: 16 KB



the Market Type conditions will not change,

AUDUSD is sideways and the WCC Week 31 has the control,

If you follow post#11, you will most likely make some money.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU Aug12 pre- RBA 12-8-2025 9-02-16 am.png Size: 41 KB


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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,703
  • Aug 11, 2025 8:27pm Aug 11, 2025 8:27pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} Today is RBA vs CPI {image} the Market Type conditions will not change, AUDUSD is sideways and the WCC Week 31 has the control, If you follow post#11, you will most likely make some money. {image} ...

Looking at all the AUD pairs ,

AUD is stronger.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD pairs pre-RBA 12-8-2025 9-24-32 am.png Size: 63 KB


> what moves the currency market ?

- one is the economy and its interest rates.

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,704
  • Aug 12, 2025 7:19am Aug 12, 2025 7:19am
US CPI data release

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FF Cal AUg12 ADU vs USD 12-8-2025 9-04-16 am.png Size: 16 KB

happening during this 4Hr candle

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD pairs Aug12 H412-8-2025 8-16-56 pm.png Size: 51 KB
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,705
  • Aug 12, 2025 11:23am Aug 12, 2025 11:23am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} Monday Aug 11 TMS 8 pairs Weekly {image} - you can pick 2 pairs from these 8 pairs and /... ...

Hi Emmanuel.

You always say that first step in trading new week is W1 charts analysis. I used your screenshot to ask if pairs i choose (see notes on picture) are good candidates for further investigation.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: TMS 8 pairs Weekly London 5am 11-8-2025 12-50-29 pm.png Size: 70 KB
  • #150,706
  • Aug 12, 2025 8:03pm Aug 12, 2025 8:03pm
Quoting iwan73
{quote} Hi Emmanuel. You always say that first step in trading new week is W1 charts analysis. I used your screenshot to ask if pairs i choose (see notes on picture) are good candidates for further investigation. {image}

Go back to the primary objective of trading the markets ... it is to make money.

Start with the Big Picture Planning of every pair. This will help us know which pairs have the potential to run into profits +12R to +15R. We "Cut-Losses-Short" and "Let Profits Run"
An example is in the OP'post #7612.

Weekly Top Down Analysis is to help us determine the Market Type conditions:
1) Trending
2) Sideways Wide Range
3) Sideways Narrow Range
Keep It Simple ... We use only three Market Types. There are systems that have 25 different market types example when we trade the stock markets.

TMS 5-Method will not work in Sideways Narrow Range market type because the 4H Swing will not run 3 to 8 candles.
When you can identify the Market Type 3), this is there is potential for change in 3) to either 1) or 2). This is when we will make more money by knowing the Market Type and wait for the 'breakout'.

On those Weekly charts you identified with IB, the previous candles are big candles. Are the candle WRB or WCC?
WCC helps us define the Market Type 1) or 2). Is this simple?
When there is a WCC, is the market quiet or volatile?
Current market conditions have been volatile, therefore trading the 4Hr with single entry and small stop loss will mostly end in losses.

Therefore we need to adapt the trading strategy to the market type conditions. This has been the advise of the OP since the beginning of his posts in Forex Factory.

It is not easy to trade the 10pm and 2am 4Hr candles and close all trades at 6am.

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,707
  • Aug 12, 2025 8:05pm Aug 12, 2025 8:05pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
US CPI data release {image} happening during this 4Hr candle {image}
Weaker CPI data means weaker USD...

but interest rates has its part to play too.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD pairs Aug12 after CPI 13-8-2025 8-25-57 am.png Size: 53 KB

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,708
  • Aug 12, 2025 11:30pm Aug 12, 2025 11:30pm
Can someone confirm the settings of the TDI indicator as originally used by Big E? TIA
  • #150,709
  • Aug 13, 2025 12:10am Aug 13, 2025 12:10am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} Go back to the primary objective of trading the markets ... it is to make money. Start with the Big Picture Planning of every pair. This will help us know which pairs have the potential to run into profits +12R to +15R. We "Cut-Losses-Short" and "Let Profits Run" An example is in the OP'post #7612. Weekly Top Down Analysis is to help us determine the Market Type conditions: 1) Trending 2) Sideways Wide Range 3) Sideways Narrow Range Keep It Simple ... We use only three...
Thanks for detailed answer.
On your screenshot there are 8 pairs with different market conditions. Which pairs would you choose as most interesting/ promising for trading.
  • #150,710
  • Aug 13, 2025 2:09am Aug 13, 2025 2:09am
Quoting iwan73
{quote} Thanks for detailed answer. On your screenshot there are 8 pairs with different market conditions. Which pairs would you choose as most interesting/ promising for trading.

Overall, market sentiments is weaker USD.

With the Weekly WCC is simple and you know where have to can cut-loss if you pick the wrong pair.

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,711
  • Aug 13, 2025 3:08am Aug 13, 2025 3:08am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} On those Weekly charts you identified with IB, the previous candles are big candles. Are the candle WRB or WCC? ..
How to tell the difference between WRB and WCC?
  • #150,712
  • Aug 13, 2025 4:01am Aug 13, 2025 4:01am
Quoting iwan73
{quote} How to tell the difference between WRB and WCC?
That's easy.

WCC is Weekly Control Candle therefore applies to Weekly chart candles/bars only. A WCC need not be q WRB.

WRB is Wide Range Bar and applicable to all timeframes charts. A WRB on weekly does not mean it is a WCC.

Next, we have the Master Candle, also apply to all timeframes charts.
A MC can be a WCC.

Examples:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GI Weekly WRB WCC MC 13-8-2025 5-02-49 pm.png Size: 29 KB




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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,713
  • Aug 13, 2025 8:41am Aug 13, 2025 8:41am
Reply to PM question on EURJPY at New York Open

I cannot attach chart in PM reply.

Below is EJ Aug 13 at New York 9:30am now

Selling is risky at this 4Hr as there is no major news that suggest buying Yen now.

Euro remain stronger.

Daily and Weekly do not support selling now.

Remember TMS_EVO_IX is to trade when there is potential for "Let Profit Run" and we target +9R to +12R.


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPY Aug13 New York session 13-8-2025 9-36-23 pm.png Size: 42 KB
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,714
  • Aug 14, 2025 3:31am Aug 14, 2025 3:31am
Thursday August 14

- US PPI

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FF Cal Aug 14 and 15 14-8-2025 4-27-22 pm.png Size: 27 KB


London 9am

- major data release late today

- trade only the established swing / trend but handle the volatility at data release.

- follow your own rules based on your own experience in posts #261 and #647

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD Aug14 Daily London 9am PPI 14-8-2025 4-25-29 pm.png Size: 57 KB


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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,715
  • Aug 14, 2025 5:21am Aug 14, 2025 5:21am
Quoting iwan73
{quote} Thanks for detailed answer. On your screenshot there are 8 pairs with different market conditions. Which pairs would you choose as most interesting/ promising for trading.

IF you had done your WTDA, you would have spotted the WCC in these GBP pairs.

This week we have the breakout which was supported by the economic data release this week.

GBP Pairs Aug 14 Weekly update London 11am

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBP pairs breakout AUg 14 14-8-2025 6-14-48 pm.png Size: 57 KB


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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,716
  • Aug 14, 2025 10:14am Aug 14, 2025 10:14am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} do you mean this buy at 3320? that's a valid COWABUNGA trade @17:00 , BUT I was ......, {image} ...
eheheh many thanks
  • #150,717
  • Aug 15, 2025 2:36am Aug 15, 2025 2:36am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 66 KB
  • #150,718
  • Aug 16, 2025 8:41am Aug 16, 2025 8:41am
Quoting emmanuel7788
Trading against the H4 GU M15 Jan 30 ***LIVE*** - the TMS basic setup post #261 - PA True REVERSAL - prior PA vs Stoch divregebce - Stoch signal %K cross %D {image} > this current 4Hr close will determine the next 4-hour trade window ...
indicator name pls or can you share the indicator
Forex is high risk, if you don't know how to trade do not trade at all
  • #150,719
  • Aug 18, 2025 12:11am Aug 18, 2025 12:11am
Monday August 18 London 6am

- should be another good week to trade

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FF Cal Week 34 Aug 18 to 24 18-8-2025 1-07-02 pm.png Size: 39 KB


USD majors at this hour

- obvious easy decision

- but how will you deal with the FO and LO ?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD pairs Aug18 H1 London 6am 18-8-2025 1-05-04 pm.png Size: 53 KB

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #150,720
  • Aug 18, 2025 5:07am Aug 18, 2025 5:07am
Quoting emmanuel7788
Monday August 18 London 6am - should be another good week to trade {image} USD majors at this hour - obvious easy decision - but how will you deal with the FO and LO ? {image} ...

Monday August 18 London 11am

USD Majors
- trade only when the 4Hr/Daily/Weekly are in synergy

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD pairs Aug 18 London 11am 18-8-2025 6-00-30 pm.png Size: 55 KB



/...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
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