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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #90,281
  • Jun 4, 2025 1:43am Jun 4, 2025 1:43am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} {image} {image}
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  • #90,282
  • Jun 4, 2025 2:08am Jun 4, 2025 2:08am
great descent....now...attention: rebound or breakout?
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  • #90,283
  • Edited 11:53am Jun 4, 2025 2:10am | Edited 11:53am
Yen
weak or strong across the board ?
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  • #90,284
  • Jun 4, 2025 2:48am Jun 4, 2025 2:48am
Quoting carbonmimeti
great descent....now...attention: rebound or breakout? {image}
rebound in progress.......
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  • #90,285
  • Jun 4, 2025 2:53am Jun 4, 2025 2:53am
on chart H1 sma 21 = sma 252 on 5min chart....
the rebound was expected....time = 72 bars from the previous minimum = 6 hours
  • #90,286
  • Jun 4, 2025 2:58am Jun 4, 2025 2:58am
Quoting carbonmimeti
on chart H1 sma 21 = sma 252 on 5min chart.... the rebound was expected....time = 72 bars from the previous minimum = 6 hours
here it is:
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  • #90,287
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:14am Jun 4, 2025 3:14am
same chart of post n 90285...the vertex of the small square determined the stop of the rebound... incredible!
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  • #90,288
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:18am Jun 4, 2025 3:18am
now the matter gets complicated: it has to close a half daily and daily cycle... it absolutely has to break today's top otherwise it collapses
  • #90,289
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:24am Jun 4, 2025 3:24am
here it is 1 day cycle and the next one
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  • #90,290
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:29am Jun 4, 2025 3:29am
[quote=OAPDave;15266139]{quote} My I ask Why 252 and not 288 ? ps my view update plus an experiment ? {image} {image}[/quot


empirical evidence
  • #90,291
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:31am Jun 4, 2025 3:31am
Quoting OAPDave
Yen weak or strong across the board ? {image} {image}
My view
Yen starts to weaken. UJ may up to 153 this month
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  • #90,292
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:42am Jun 4, 2025 3:42am
[quote=carbonmimeti;15266157]
Quoting OAPDave
{quote} My I ask Why 252 and not 288 ? ps my view update plus an experiment ? {image} {image}[/quot empirical evidence
Top stuff my friend
Thank you
  • #90,293
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:45am Jun 4, 2025 3:45am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} My view Yen starts to weaken. UJ may up to 153 this month{image}
Sorry but just cannot follow your Trend Lines
so Discretionary, just cannot make head nor tails of them
  • #90,294
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:48am Jun 4, 2025 3:48am
Quoting carbonmimeti
here it is 1 day cycle and the next one {image}
Light Bulb moment
need to give this some thought, a lot of thought

ps Update (another)
poor range atm ?
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  • #90,295
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:58am Jun 4, 2025 3:58am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} My view Yen starts to weaken. UJ may up to 153 this month{image}
I think you are right BUT on one condition: USDJPY must break the top of May 29th....count how many days have passed from the low of April 27th to yesterday's low
  • #90,296
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:59am Jun 4, 2025 3:59am
Quoting OAPDave
{quote} Sorry but just cannot follow your Trend Lines so Discretionary, just cannot make head nor tails of them
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  • #90,297
  • Jun 4, 2025 3:59am Jun 4, 2025 3:59am
actual situatio on USDJPY 5 min chart:
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  • #90,298
  • Jun 4, 2025 4:10am Jun 4, 2025 4:10am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} My view Yen starts to weaken. UJ may up to 153 this month{image}

USDJPY daily chart:
fibo retracemets from TOP and fibo expansions from low...your price of 153 is = 70.7 ret + FE 127.3 ...zoom on my image please
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  • #90,299
  • Jun 4, 2025 4:23am Jun 4, 2025 4:23am
Quoting OAPDave
{quote} Light Bulb moment need to give this some thought, a lot of thought ps Update (another) poor range atm ? {image}
How long is a daily cycle on forex?? 24 hours?? too easy
  • #90,300
  • Jun 4, 2025 4:56am Jun 4, 2025 4:56am
As I have explained many times
I have a problem with a Sunday Bar
So bar count as left me a little confused
never mind summer winter time etc
Hence I have zoned in more at Price action around certain zones / levels
Even my MML have to contend with this (problem)
But done okish with
MY OWN Way
taking all things into account

ps
Here is my
256 128 64 32
yes Basic I know
but gives me clues when to drill down looking to take a trade with better R/R
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