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EURUSD only

  • #209,461
  • May 24, 2025 12:30am May 24, 2025 12:30am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
My final H1 chart for the day and week... I hope it provides food for thoughts... Enjoy your weekends folks and hopefully we meet again after market opening... Peace out... {image}
I love the elegance of the simplicity of how you plot your lines on the EURUSD chart.
Absolute elegance.
  • #209,462
  • May 24, 2025 1:12am May 24, 2025 1:12am
Quoting sachasky
who is for sale?
I am, come Monday.
  • #209,463
  • May 24, 2025 3:04am May 24, 2025 3:04am
Quoting Aigjoe
{quote} I love the elegance of the simplicity of how you plot your lines on the EURUSD chart. Absolute elegance.
Thank you brother... That's your kindness speaking...

Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #209,464
  • May 24, 2025 7:13am May 24, 2025 7:13am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Meanwhile, on H1... Still bullish.. Nothing changed... While candles open above 1.1325 (nearest support), I keep buying dips with the expectation that candles will soon begin to open above 1.1348... If not, it will already hint with a candle close below 1.1325... {image}
I missed that 1.1325 had held , just noticed it while analysing where I went wrong, luckily I didn’t sell but I should have been buying…
  • #209,465
  • May 25, 2025 3:30am May 25, 2025 3:30am
* I see 1.1358 - 1.1336 -1.1327 as a strong resiatance. I wouldn't be surprise if we see a bearish engulfing on monday.
*1.1327 is monthly open
*We might see 20 & 50 sma cross in coming days.
*Bulls could retest 1.1437 - 1.1475
*I think probability of bearish monthly candle close to 1.117 is high.
*Possible ABC
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  • #209,466
  • May 25, 2025 5:00am May 25, 2025 5:00am
MY back testing
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #209,467
  • May 25, 2025 5:28am May 25, 2025 5:28am
Quoting aayushjaiswa
MY back testing {image}
do you know to explain chart?
  • #209,468
  • May 25, 2025 5:33am May 25, 2025 5:33am
m4, down


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #209,469
  • May 25, 2025 5:42am May 25, 2025 5:42am
Quoting mortgagee
{quote} do you know to explain chart?
do you know no SCM
Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #209,470
  • May 25, 2025 6:11am May 25, 2025 6:11am
Quoting Traderview
* I see 1.1358 - 1.1336 -1.1327 as a strong resiatance. I wouldn't be surprise if we see a bearish engulfing on monday. *1.1327 is monthly open *We might see 20 & 50 sma cross in coming days. *Bulls could retest 1.1437 - 1.1475 *I think probability of bearish monthly candle close to 1.117 is high. *Possible ABC {image} {image}
I have the gut-feeling that a monthly bearish candle is not in the cards. The trend is too strong and look... all the mess around. Consider - the elephant in the room is Japan. (Yes Ata, I will not elaborate further) Trump needs a weak dollar to also sell all his made in US products in the world. We have to be realistic - of course it's legit - look what all the export kings are doing (China, Japan, Germany etc.) And... to be honest, it's not that long ago when we had DYX 80. It all started with the Saudi "War on Oil Shale Drillers".

And voila... there we have it. Deutsche Bank economist Peter Hooper just is describing in his last report a potential way (for Trump) to eliminate 80-90% of the trade deficit. Simply.... by depreciating the USD by 40% (from the current heights). That would mean an DXY back to the 2012/14 area -> 77 to 80. And what was the EUR at that time? -> 1.40xx. So, it looks Trump is aiming to reverse the USD appreciation that was triggered by the "Saudi Oil war" in 2014.

Also, the chart is hinting at it. In the monthly timeframe the Bollinger Band has never been as narrow (~600pips) over the last 25 years as it was last year. The sharp drop at the yearend seems to be just the prelude of the big jump to at least 1.20+-?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Of course, it will not go straight up in one move but be aware I feel a Superbowl match is coming -> Bond vigilantes vs. Currency manipulators.
The times of sleepy moves will be over. Excitement and volatility guaranteed
I wish I would have noticed that trend a bit earlier...
  • #209,471
  • May 25, 2025 9:19am May 25, 2025 9:19am
Quoting aayushjaiswa
{quote} do you know no SCM
what is scm
  • #209,472
  • May 25, 2025 10:37am May 25, 2025 10:37am
  •  jmmn
  • | Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Learning while making money... | 647 Posts
Quoting Traderview
{quote} It was holding. I expect a retest to 1.13 by monday.
Thank you, Traderview...
  • #209,473
  • May 25, 2025 12:07pm May 25, 2025 12:07pm
Quoting Ultras
{quote} Not quite as expected, the fake push was there to 1.1375 and then about 80 pips drop but now bulls are testing the resistance again. Watching for now .. 3H chart {image}
Updated 3H chart. Bullish trend is in tact and there are two strong resistance areas you can see on the chart to be broken before they can challenge the peak @ 1.15730 area
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  • #209,474
  • May 26, 2025 2:22am May 26, 2025 2:22am
Buy 1398 - 1400, for 25 - 40 pips
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #209,475
  • May 26, 2025 3:09am May 26, 2025 3:09am
Quoting fxcontest
Buy 1398 - 1400, for 25 - 40 pips
Cutloss 1391, Sell 1392 - 89
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #209,476
  • May 26, 2025 3:23am May 26, 2025 3:23am
[quote=mortgagee;15256537]{quote} what is scm[/
ON nothing
Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #209,477
  • May 26, 2025 3:24am May 26, 2025 3:24am
im looking for entry in 15m
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #209,478
  • May 26, 2025 4:16am May 26, 2025 4:16am
Meanwhile, on H1...

  1. I am marking ~1.1361 area as nearest support... Bears are trying to retest it...
  2. No breakout yet but I still will rinse and repeat buying dips as long as H1 candles open above nearest support...

Happy new trading week folks

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #209,479
  • May 26, 2025 4:31am May 26, 2025 4:31am
Quoting vinesh1
We are simply retesting the break that occurred May 8th. Now, there is a double top sort of May 6th and May8th so we may stretch to that. Will add more to the shorts if it reaches there. There is also a double top sort of at 1.42 Break and close above the 1.36-1.38 will take us to test of new highs.
target almost met. Still a chance to sweep highs. consolidation and traps for the rest of the week.
  • #209,480
  • May 26, 2025 4:36am May 26, 2025 4:36am
Morning all, I have a short position from 1.141 since mid Asian sesh managed by trailing now.
Lots of buy orders but not for another 50ish pips, if they don't take in the next 24hours they will expire.
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while the objective is profit, the job description is risk management
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