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Trading Made Simple

  • #149,661
  • Apr 6, 2025 6:53pm Apr 6, 2025 6:53pm
Quoting tmostafa007
Hey Emmanuel, I know I’ve been asking you a lot of questions lately, and I hope I’m not bothering you —I really appreciate your time and support. I just have one more request. Could you please explain, with an example, how you do your top-down analysis and identify an entry? This part is still a bit unclear for me, and it would mean a lot if you could walk me through it. For example, let’s say you’re analyzing EURUSD—you start from the weekly, then move to daily, and finally take the trade on H4 or H1. What exactly are you looking...

Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} Go to this post #27200 and download those pdf. Take your time and study them. https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...31#post7068731 I will post EURUSD Big Picture Planning later. ... ...


EURUSD Big Picture as of New York Close Friday Apr04

Monthly Swing levels

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Big Picture MN Swing levels6-4-2025 3-34-10 pm.png Size: 22 KB



Weekly

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Big Picture Weekly Apr04 6-4-2025 3-38-26 pm.png Size: 20 KB



Daily

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Daily Big Picture Apr04 SnR 6-4-2025 3-41-17 pm.png Size: 24 KB

... more/-

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,662
  • Apr 6, 2025 7:06pm Apr 6, 2025 7:06pm
Quoting tmostafa007
Hey Emmanuel, I know I’ve been asking you a lot of questions lately, and I hope I’m not bothering you —I really appreciate your time and support. I just have one more request. Could you please explain, with an example, how you do your top-down analysis and identify an entry? This part is still a bit unclear for me, and it would mean a lot if you could walk me through it. For example, let’s say you’re analyzing EURUSD—you start from the weekly, then move to daily, and finally take the trade on H4 or H1. What exactly are you looking...
>>> what is your trading style?

- very short-term scalper
- short-term day-trader
- medium term 4H swing trader
- medium-long term Daily position trader


>>> which market session do you trade?


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FF market session SGT8am 7-4-2025 8-00-06 am.png Size: 5 KB

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,663
  • Apr 6, 2025 7:12pm Apr 6, 2025 7:12pm
Quoting tmostafa007
Hey Emmanuel, I know I’ve been asking you a lot of questions lately, and I hope I’m not bothering you —I really appreciate your time and support. I just have one more request. Could you please explain, with an example, how you do your top-down analysis and identify an entry? This part is still a bit unclear for me, and it would mean a lot if you could walk me through it. For example, let’s say you’re analyzing EURUSD—you start from the weekly, then move to daily, and finally take the trade on H4 or H1. What exactly are you looking...
IF you are the very-short-term trader, this may be for you.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr07 V19 m15 sell 7-4-2025 8-02-32 am.png Size: 41 KB

- it is quite simple,

- toppisch price action when Tokyo session opens
- breakout of the recent consolidation failed
- bearish engulfing outside bar candle

- market sentiments ... total chaos !
- anything can happen.

...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,664
  • Apr 6, 2025 7:30pm Apr 6, 2025 7:30pm
Quoting ENoris
{quote} Good Day Emmanuel, Reference my previous post I will be extremely thanful if you can explain these 1) How to identifying these market types -- Trending Market -- Sideways Wide Range -- Sideways Narrow Range My understanding is that if the price is inside the 5 EMA PAC channel, I should avoid trading that pair and wait for Heikin Ashi (HA) candles to close outside the PAC channel on the Weekly time frame before taking trades on the Daily. ///

Example EurUsd Week 15

Market Type determination after you have done your Big Picture Planning.

Next, your Weekly chart as detailed below:

Weekly candle High Low range,
look back to the last 52 weeks, 104 weeks, and most recent 5-weeks.
this week we are trading Market Type 2 i.e. Sideways Wide Range Market Type .
Last week' candle is the new WCC also a WRB ... the widest range candle of the 3 candles


Big E' TMS 5-Method will work well this week provided you catch the swing highs and the swing low at the right levels.

Weekly chart Big Picture

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU WRB WCC 7-4-2025 8-20-55 am.png Size: 22 KB



- we are trading in very chaotic market Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" effect.

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,665
  • Apr 7, 2025 12:22am Apr 7, 2025 12:22am
EU Apr07 4Hr Tokyo 2pm, London 6am, Pacific 10pm

- buy the 4Hr Inside Bar candle breakout in the direction of the Daily

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr04 4Hr V10 Tokyo 2pm 7-4-2025 1-18-48 pm.png Size: 39 KB


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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,666
  • Apr 7, 2025 1:55am Apr 7, 2025 1:55am
Quoting emmanuel7788
EU Apr07 4Hr Tokyo 2pm, London 6am, Pacific 10pm - buy the 4Hr Inside Bar candle breakout in the direction of the Daily {image} ...

EU Apr04 Frankfurt Open UPDATE:

- 1Hr pulled back

- now we wait for London to open,

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr07 FO wait for LO 7-4-2025 2-53-35 pm.png Size: 43 KB


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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,667
  • Apr 7, 2025 2:10am Apr 7, 2025 2:10am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} EU Apr04 Frankfurt Open UPDATE: - 1Hr pulled back - now we wait for London to open, {image} ...

EU Apr07 1Hr London Open

- Frankfurt Open 1Hr closed pull-back, TDI hook over

- London Open bullish

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr07 FO closed hook-back 7-4-2025 3-07-04 pm.png Size: 43 KB



M5 London Open

TMS_V19 buy conditions

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr07 LO m5 BUY 7-4-2025 3-07-51 pm.png Size: 41 KB


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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,668
  • Apr 7, 2025 9:03am Apr 7, 2025 9:03am
GU trade taken this morning, just under 1:5R when it couldn't seem to get to my tp. I had moved my stop to 1:1R but decided to take it out rather than wait for a retrace maybe back up to it.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDM15-07-04(2).png Size: 44 KB
  • #149,669
  • Apr 7, 2025 2:00pm Apr 7, 2025 2:00pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} EU Apr07 1Hr London Open - Frankfurt Open 1Hr closed pull-back, TDI hook over - London Open bullish {image} M5 London Open TMS_V19 buy conditions {image} ...
what a chaotic market today... every hour is something happening ...

good for TMS_V19 M5 scalping when you have to time to trade,

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr07 M5 V19 8-4-2025 2-57-19 am.png Size: 45 KB



Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr07 trades closed_20250407-210413.png Size: 144 KB
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,670
  • Apr 7, 2025 2:02pm Apr 7, 2025 2:02pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} EU Apr07 1Hr London Open - Frankfurt Open 1Hr closed pull-back, TDI hook over - London Open bullish {image} M5 London Open TMS_V19 buy conditions {image} ...
Thanks emmanuel for your support

Yesterday, when the market opened, I took a sell trade on EURUSD using a demo account, and it's still playing out. I'm trading on the 1H timeframe—what do you think? Was it a good decision?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #149,671
  • Apr 7, 2025 2:12pm Apr 7, 2025 2:12pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} what a chaotic market today... every hour is something happening ... good for TMS_V19 M5 scalping when you have to time to trade, {image} {image}
Emmanuel bro,

Could you please explain the TMS_v19 EA to me—specifically what the colors mean and what the ideal signals are for both buy and sell setups?
I’m a bit confused about the meaning of the blue , red, green and yellow colors, and I haven’t been able to find a detailed explanation of the exact entry conditions anywhere.
  • #149,672
  • Apr 7, 2025 8:24pm Apr 7, 2025 8:24pm
Quoting tmostafa007
{quote} Thanks emmanuel for your support Yesterday, when the market opened, I took a sell trade on EURUSD using a demo account, and it's still playing out. I'm trading on the 1H timeframe—what do you think? Was it a good decision? {image}
why do you trade the Sunday New York 5pm open?

post #1930 below

Quoting eelfranz
I hear a lot of grumbling about Sunday trades... I don't trade Sundays because who needs the aggrivation... not me...
IF you want to trade, then wait for the Tokyo session to open. Trade only AU, AJ and UJ. Just these three pairs and you will find plenty of trades during the first two 4hour periods trade window.

...

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,673
  • Apr 7, 2025 8:28pm Apr 7, 2025 8:28pm
Quoting tmostafa007
{quote} Emmanuel bro, Could you please explain the TMS_v19 EA to me—specifically what the colors mean and what the ideal signals are for both buy and sell setups? I’m a bit confused about the meaning of the blue , red, green and yellow colors, and I haven’t been able to find a detailed explanation of the exact entry conditions anywhere.
TMS_V19 EA

you need to be specific when you ask questions.

which of the colour are you referring to?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr08 Daily V19 8-4-2025 9-26-33 am.png Size: 45 KB




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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,674
  • Apr 7, 2025 11:55pm Apr 7, 2025 11:55pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} TMS_V19 EA you need to be specific when you ask questions. which of the colour are you referring to? {image} ...
EU Apr08 H1 Tokyo 13:55pm

- check the price action bounce when this H1 closes.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr08 H1 check the bounce 8-4-2025 12-53-26 pm.png Size: 43 KB


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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,675
  • Apr 8, 2025 12:06am Apr 8, 2025 12:06am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} EU Apr08 H1 Tokyo 13:55pm - check the price action bounce when this H1 closes. {image}

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr08 H1 check the bounce 8-4-2025 12-53-26 pm.png Size: 43 KB


...


EU Apr08 Tokyo 2pm, London 6am , Pacific 10pm

- you can decide based on your own experience and how much you have digested this thread Trading Made Simple.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr08 H1 bounce 4.6 slope 2.8 8-4-2025 1-01-16 pm.png Size: 43 KB

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,676
  • Apr 8, 2025 1:47am Apr 8, 2025 1:47am
Post #647
[quote=eelfranz;4581540]Your safest trades will always be when green crosses red and you enter on candle 1 or 2... odds are in your favor. Why? Because I'm expecting 3-8 candles... which is average... With bounce trades the odds are lower for your success... but it still works.
When wanting to enter a TDI trade...
take a moment first to observe basic 4x things... like:

  1. How close am I to the previous high or lo
  2. Am I in an uptrend or downtrend.. short & long term...
  3. Am I in or close to a consolidation area
  4. Are the previous candles small...
  5. Look at the candles on the last reversal... big, little, what
  6. How does the momentum look right now (12-2, 4-6)
  7. Does Stoch's confirm the TDI signal

Most do not understand this post #647 and what they see on their trading charts,

EU Apr08 H4 Pacific 10PM

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr08 H4 Pacific 10pm 4Hr 8-4-2025 1-07-13 pm.png Size: 42 KB



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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,677
  • Apr 8, 2025 7:25pm Apr 8, 2025 7:25pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
Post #647
Quoting eelfranz
Your safest trades will always be when green crosses red and you enter on candle 1 or 2... odds are in your favor. Why? Because I'm expecting 3-8 candles... which is average... With bounce trades the odds are lower for your success... but it still works. When wanting to enter a TDI trade... take a moment first to observe basic 4x things... like: How close am I to the previous high or lo Am I in an uptrend or downtrend.. short & long term...
...

Trading Made Simple *Do Not Trade TDI when market in consolidation ... Master Candle*

Simple rule !

4Hr Master Candle below

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr09 H4 MC breaking 9-4-2025 7-53-15 am.png Size: 42 KB



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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,678
  • Apr 8, 2025 7:31pm Apr 8, 2025 7:31pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} what a chaotic market today... every hour is something happening ... good for TMS_V19 M5 scalping when you have to time to trade, {image} {image}
Quoting eelfranz
Good Morning all you fabulous traders.... I started trading full lots last year... tiring of $1 a pip. Takes the same amount of work... why not get paid for it? Often shooting for $500-$1,000 PER EVENING. iT'S NOT UNCOMMON TO FIND 3-6 TRADE SET UPS PER EVENING. Sometimes I would set the TP to 20 pips. 3-6 pairs hitting 20 pips... a few losers maybe... made for a handsome profit. If I put all of my eggs in one basket... it was hit or miss.... I trade both ways with success...

EU trades closed Apr08

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr08 trades closed 20250409-040212.png Size: 52 KB


today target BRN 1.1000


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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,679
  • Apr 8, 2025 7:40pm Apr 8, 2025 7:40pm
RBNZ Cash Rate

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FF Cal RBNZ Cash Rate 9-4-2025 8-37-03 am.png Size: 11 KB

NZD pairs Weekly Apr09

- the Weekly market type will not change with this Cash Rate

- day traders and short-term traders must handle the volatility

post#11

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZD pairs Apr09 RBNZ 9-4-2025 8-36-39 am.png Size: 55 KB

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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #149,680
  • Apr 8, 2025 7:57pm Apr 8, 2025 7:57pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote}{quote} Trading Made Simple *Do Not Trade TDI when market in consolidation ... Master Candle* Simple rule ! 4Hr Master Candle below {image} ...
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} {quote} EU trades closed Apr08 {image} today target BRN 1.1000 ...

EU Apr09 Tokyo 9am

- this 4Hr and the next 4Hr

- IF you chase after this 4Hr breakout, you need to have a Money Management strategy in your Trade Plan

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Apr09 4Hr V19 Tokyo0854am 9-4-2025 8-54-08 am.png Size: 41 KB


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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
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