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Attachments: Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles
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Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

  • #14,201
  • Dec 9, 2024 3:04pm Dec 9, 2024 3:04pm
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  • #14,202
  • Dec 9, 2024 3:07pm Dec 9, 2024 3:07pm
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  • #14,203
  • Dec 9, 2024 3:37pm Dec 9, 2024 3:37pm
observe at which level the Downtrend has almost closed
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  • #14,204
  • Dec 9, 2024 3:39pm Dec 9, 2024 3:39pm
check with my post yesterday - 100.000 - 6.250 = 93.750

that is Parisboy magic
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  • #14,205
  • Dec 9, 2024 4:18pm Dec 9, 2024 4:18pm
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  • #14,206
  • Edited 5:13pm Dec 9, 2024 4:22pm | Edited 5:13pm
Quoting OAPDave
https://youtu.be/_fh6a44-Alk?t=15 some interesting numbers
an imitator?
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  • #14,207
  • Dec 10, 2024 2:40am Dec 10, 2024 2:40am
DAX m1:
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Stick to the plan!
  • #14,208
  • Edited 12:10pm Dec 10, 2024 5:23am | Edited 12:10pm
CCurv explained
Quoting blueRocket
Maybe {image} Or Not... {image} Slow bullish {image} Very slow... But bullish {image} ----/ OK {image} Wedge & Down & Bullish Rebound on MidLine {image} ---- {image}
Edit:
The high volatility prevented me from continuing with the presentation.
Priority to trading.
-----/ edit
Heure française
BTCUSD_20241210_1855
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Big sales and contained price.
I hope that "contained" is not a Barbarism
  • #14,209
  • Dec 10, 2024 7:16am Dec 10, 2024 7:16am
Hello Parisboy

On the DJ Cash in UTQ ( quarter ) : I used 0 because the DJ low was around 200 so not a meaningful difference.

But I wonder whether using 5000 as the bottom scale would be more meaningful ( ie over the last 30 years roughly )

What do you think ?
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  • #14,210
  • Dec 10, 2024 8:02am Dec 10, 2024 8:02am
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  • #14,211
  • Dec 10, 2024 8:10am Dec 10, 2024 8:10am
Quoting mobydik
Hello Parisboy On the DJ Cash in UTQ ( quarter ) : I used 0 because the DJ low was around 200 so not a meaningful difference. But I wonder whether using 5000 as the bottom scale would be more meaningful ( ie over the last 30 years roughly ) What do you think ? {image} {image} {image}

hi Moby

try 5.000 : 55.000
  • #14,212
  • Dec 10, 2024 8:24am Dec 10, 2024 8:24am
Voilà ...
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  • #14,213
  • Dec 10, 2024 8:47am Dec 10, 2024 8:47am
NQ m1:
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Stick to the plan!
  • #14,214
  • Dec 10, 2024 1:22pm Dec 10, 2024 1:22pm
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  • #14,215
  • Dec 10, 2024 1:31pm Dec 10, 2024 1:31pm
CLOSED lONG POSITION
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  • #14,216
  • Edited 2:20am Dec 11, 2024 1:50am | Edited 2:20am
BTCEUR_(1mn)_20241211_0844
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BTCEUR_(1mn)_20241211_0855
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BTCEUR_(1mn)_20241211_0916
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  • #14,217
  • Dec 11, 2024 4:53am Dec 11, 2024 4:53am
Hi Alain, Terry,

I was reading an article by Millard in which he makes the following comment:
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Basically he says that price/ channel will continue to rise till the lower boundary of the channel catches up with the high made by the upper boundary of the channel.
Is this correct ?
  • #14,218
  • Edited 5:33am Dec 11, 2024 5:16am | Edited 5:33am
Quoting aptx
Hi Alain, Terry, I was reading an article by Millard in which he makes the following comment: {image} {image} Basically he says that price/ channel will continue to rise till the lower boundary of the channel catches up with the high made by the upper boundary of the channel. Is this correct ?
Practically speaking, what he's saying is that going long from the bottom boundary of a falling channel is risky because the upper boundary may be reached before you've had any real gain in the price. Vice versa for going short from the top boundary of a rising channel.

In other words, to increase your chances of making a profit, go long from the bottom of rising channels & go short from the top of falling channels.
  • #14,219
  • Dec 11, 2024 5:33am Dec 11, 2024 5:33am
Thats true but he seems to be hinting that if you are at point B1 in the diagram where B2 is the upper boundary, rest assured that the lower boundary will move from B1 to S1. Next if you are at S1 rest assured that the point will move from S1 to S4 to catch up with point S2.
My question is that shouldnt lower boundary at S4 move to the same level as S3 - using the same logic ? And if yes then how will this spiral end ?
  • #14,220
  • Dec 11, 2024 5:39am Dec 11, 2024 5:39am
Quoting aptx
Thats true but he seems to be hinting that if you are at point B1 in the diagram where B2 is the upper boundary, rest assured that the lower boundary will move from B1 to S1. Next if you are at S1 rest assured that the point will move from S1 to S4 to catch up with point S2. My question is that shouldnt lower boundary at S4 move to the same level as S3 - using the same logic ? And if yes then how will this spiral end ?
Sorry, but I don't read it that way. His use of the phrase "when we know the channel will rise long enough" confuses the issue. I don't think we can ever know a channel will rise for long enough, of course it's more likely if a major channel boundary has not yet been reached but at that point we are making an educated guess of the major and minor channel boundaries.
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