Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

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Opened Long Position

Closed Long Position

Just playing around, but we know price action can exit a move in a reverse pattern to how it entered the move (cycle pattern going in gets reversed on the way out).

BTCUSD_20241208_051713

BTCUSD_(15mn)_20241208_052718

BTCUSD_20241208_053243

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Bonne journée à tous

When a full cma crosses its half magnitude cma you'll often get a direction change or a sudden surge in price.

The greater the magnitude of the full cma the greater the price change is likely to be.

Note :- we have about 5 days before the pink cma64 crosses the blue cma32, perhaps signalling the end of the current bitcoin consolidation. After that it's a 32 day wait for the white cma128 to cross the pink cma64. That should trigger a bigger move.

Go back and test these for yourself. The end of the downward consolidation in early September was triggered by the orange cma512 crossing the aqua cma256

BCUSD_20241208_1034

Return to the Basics

as duly noted by Terry in his above message

in 5 days (5 bars) CMA 64 (blue) will intersect Price and CMA 32 (red) at the same place (price)

This intersection of 2 CMA's with Price will generate a Focal Point FP2

This Focal Point FP2, by construction, is located at the MIDDLE of the Upmove.
This will allow us to calculate wit.h good precision in which zone Price will end its Upmove.
Then at this very moment CMA 32 (red) will make its own TOP.
And Price will be 16 bars away from CMA 32 Top and 32 bars away from the Focal Point FP2

Above facts mean that :

as Price has not yet generated a sharp Top, Price will enter in a Pause / Hesistation / Congestion Price Zone with several CMA's 32, 64 possibly 128 making successively and distantly their Tops.

This fact being the consequence of the generation of a FP2 and potentiallly of a FP3 and even a FP4.

Logically the Congestion Zone would be +/- 6.250 around the SRL 100.000 (8/8 of the Fractal of Price 0-100.000)

6.250 being 2/8 of 25.000 = 2/8 of 125.000-100.000

opened short position

closed short position

DAX m5 out by TS:

opened short position

closed short position