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EURUSD & GOLD

  • #101
  • Nov 10, 2024 10:04am Nov 10, 2024 10:04am

  1. Monday: BoJ Summary of Opinions
  2. Tuesday: Germany inflation data, UK employment data
  3. Wednesday: US inflation data
  4. Thursday: US crude oil stockpiles & jobless claims data; Eurozone GDP, industrial production, employment data
  5. Friday: Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech, Japan GDP data, UK GDP data, China factory output & employment data, US trade data

  • #102
  • Nov 11, 2024 9:23pm Nov 11, 2024 9:23pm
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  • #103
  • Nov 11, 2024 10:07pm Nov 11, 2024 10:07pm
Why did the oil price go down and the 10-year bonds go up?
1. increasing sales of electric cars
2. countries massively recover trade deficits through excise taxes applied to fuels (the price at the pump has remained the same)
3. FED. changed the way of action regarding price stability
4. another reason?
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  • #104
  • Nov 11, 2024 10:25pm Nov 11, 2024 10:25pm
Oil prices have been falling due to a number of factors, including:

  1. Supply and demand
    The balance of supply and demand has shifted in favor of supply, which is a dynamic that typically lowers oil prices.
  2. Global demand
    Demand for oil has been weakening, in part due to slower growth rates in the developed world.
  3. China
    China is the world's second-largest oil consumer, and lower-than-expected trade data from the country has raised concerns about economic stagnation.
  4. Geopolitical risks
    Geopolitical tensions have added pressure on the demand outlook for oil. However, oil prices have also fallen when geopolitical risks have unwound, such as when Israel's retaliatory strikes on Iran spared Iran's oil and nuclear facilities.
  5. OPEC+
    The OPEC+ alliance has said it plans to release more oil into the market.
  6. U.S. dollar
    The appreciation of the U.S. dollar has contributed to the decline in oil prices.

  • #105
  • Nov 11, 2024 10:27pm Nov 11, 2024 10:27pm
The dollar index rose by 0.3 per cent to 105.3 as the greenback continued to strengthen, driven by the Trump Presidency.
  • #106
  • Nov 11, 2024 10:41pm Nov 11, 2024 10:41pm
And not to forget
Soon China and India will start to buy oil from Russia and Iran via pipeline in brics currency
  • #107
  • Nov 11, 2024 11:26pm Nov 11, 2024 11:26pm
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  • #108
  • Nov 12, 2024 8:54pm Nov 12, 2024 8:54pm
Why is europe buying LNG gas from USA at 4 times the cost from Russian LNG and how will this effect eurusd this winter
  • #109
  • Nov 13, 2024 2:28am Nov 13, 2024 2:28am
Quoting PatienceFx
Why is europe buying LNG gas from USA at 4 times the cost from Russian LNG and how will this effect eurusd this winter
Due to the economic sanctions imposed on Russia. Since then, the EU economy has fallen on its head. LNG is transported to Europe by Greek cargo boats. This is happening from March 2022. If only one side wins from a business, it will fail. Higher energy prices in the EU will mean less consumption of goods and services.

EUR will increase only on the weakness of the dollar which is installed again. Eurusd H4/H1 is changing the trend now.
  • #110
  • Nov 13, 2024 11:15pm Nov 13, 2024 11:15pm
The FOMC conferences changed the direction of the price.

However:

If the prices of services, rents and transport increase, the average hourly earnings remained about the same, where do they have money to support consumption? The answer can be only one of these graphs or they have two jobs many of them.

In one of the graphs there is a similarity with the 2008 crisis:number of cards issued versus the level of debt.
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  • #111
  • Nov 13, 2024 11:46pm Nov 13, 2024 11:46pm
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/int...atch-tool.html

https://in.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor
  • #112
  • Nov 14, 2024 12:39am Nov 14, 2024 12:39am
facts we know now

  1. trump 100 day plan for a strong usd
  2. eu buying LNG at 4 times cost, so domestic and EVERY industry will have higher costs so euro will be very weak

  • #113
  • Nov 14, 2024 3:25am Nov 14, 2024 3:25am
Quoting Gelubrin
The FOMC conferences changed the direction of the price. However: If the prices of services, rents and transport increase, the average hourly earnings remained about the same, where do they have money to support consumption? The answer can be only one of these graphs or they have two jobs many of them. In one of the graphs there is a similarity with the 2008 crisis:number of cards issued versus the level of debt. {image} {image} {image} {image} {image}
A good reading

https://search.app?link=https%3A%2F%...%2Fgs%2Fm2%2F4
  • #114
  • Nov 15, 2024 2:13pm Nov 15, 2024 2:13pm
Unemployment claims increase in the first report of the month and decrease in the next reports of the same month. I think this happens because the termination of employment usually starts on the first day of the following month.

Check on this economic indicator.
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  • #115
  • Nov 18, 2024 11:24am Nov 18, 2024 11:24am
The dollar remains strong. The manufacturing industry shows signs of recovering. Do you find another reason than the housing industry?
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  • #116
  • Nov 18, 2024 9:21pm Nov 18, 2024 9:21pm
I found gold easier than Euro USD
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  • #117
  • Nov 19, 2024 10:56pm Nov 19, 2024 10:56pm
check panic situation in europe as germany gdp data
  • #118
  • Nov 20, 2024 6:02am Nov 20, 2024 6:02am
Quoting PatienceFx
check panic situation in europe as germany gdp data
Europe does not mean only Germany. I don't see any panic if their GDP falls. The economy is not only going up. Many EU countries are looking to develop their own industries.
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  • #119
  • Nov 21, 2024 11:31pm Nov 21, 2024 11:31pm
solved my quest for a perfect gold trading strategy
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  • #120
  • Nov 22, 2024 12:44am Nov 22, 2024 12:44am
Quoting PatienceFx
solved my quest for a perfect gold trading strategy {image}
Buy when candles are all green?

It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
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