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  • #197,081
  • May 17, 2024 11:24am May 17, 2024 11:24am
Quoting BobaFett74
I'll be honest, I'm seeing to much misdirection. I'm thinking we are going to double top and drop like a dead bird to shake out the bulls the way the bears were mislead this week.
Misdirection is the name of the game they play.
  • #197,082
  • May 17, 2024 11:49am May 17, 2024 11:49am
Quoting SmallGains
{quote} Misdirection is the name of the game they play.
Truth.
  • #197,083
  • May 17, 2024 12:15pm May 17, 2024 12:15pm
Price climb quickly but falling takes long time. It's clear that sentiment is bullish. Daily candle changed to reversal candle.
  • #197,084
  • May 17, 2024 12:29pm May 17, 2024 12:29pm
Reposting my H4 chart from yesterday..

As I said: It would be nice if bears can protect the circle rim... That way, soon price could come back to retest 1.0831 area and maybe also deeper lows... No rush though! Step by step!
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #197,085
  • May 17, 2024 12:45pm May 17, 2024 12:45pm
I think this bull wave is related to high volume
option expiries
This usually has bear effect if big players don’t re-order and remove automatically

seems some players knew those high volume option expiries replace or even will execute
  • #197,086
  • May 17, 2024 1:12pm May 17, 2024 1:12pm
I think we will see a retest of the 1.077 region at some point. June 6th we have the refinancing rate of the EU. I expect that they will drop interest rates slightly. I don't mind holding short until then, these are amazing prices regardless.
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  • #197,087
  • May 17, 2024 1:15pm May 17, 2024 1:15pm
Daily looks like an hammer in the formation. We may test the highs again next week Monday before a run down. lets see.
  • #197,088
  • May 17, 2024 2:37pm May 17, 2024 2:37pm
We have a ton of imbalance to fill. It will get filled eventually
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  • #197,089
  • May 17, 2024 3:33pm May 17, 2024 3:33pm
Quoting Walz
Price climb quickly but falling takes long time. It's clear that sentiment is bullish. Daily candle changed to reversal candle.
I would normally say that you are spot on. However price action hasn't matched the rate and volume of the buyers and sellers. That's the number one indicator of a divergence forming, whether it shows on trading platforms or not. The market was largely overbought this week in conditions that weren't met in order for that to happen. It will only be a matter of time and the market will shake itself out. Regardless, I'm ready for more upward movement, or the sharp decline that is looming.
  • #197,090
  • May 17, 2024 3:55pm May 17, 2024 3:55pm
Hope you all have a good weekend. I believe it’s probably going down from here.
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ex nihilo
  • #197,091
  • May 17, 2024 8:43pm May 17, 2024 8:43pm
Quoting Oc6oph
Hope you all have a good weekend. I believe it’s probably going down from here. {image}
The Bulls are always slow and steady, but it may just be my perspective. When the Bears hit, they hit hard! Kinda Scary.

Have a safe and wonderful weekend everyone.
  • #197,092
  • May 18, 2024 2:02am May 18, 2024 2:02am
EUR/USD pair witnessed a substantial advance this week, climbing from 1.0766 to a high of 1.0895. This bullish momentum can be attributed to the lackluster news that failed to bolster the US Dollar, resulting in the fifth consecutive weekly close in positive territory.

Looking forward, the pair is expected to consolidate before attempting a breakthrough above the key resistance zone at 1.0895-1.0900. A successful breach of this zone would open the door for a further rally towards the next significant levels at 1.0942 and 1.0960.

On the flip side, if the EUR/USD fails to surpass the resistance zone/s, a drop towards support levels below 1.0832 could ensue. Key levels to watch in this scenario would be 1.0800 or even lower - see my daily chart for more.

Weekly volatility (range) 78 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0875 (EU885m), 1.0850 (EU859.2m) source: financialjuice.com

Daily
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Have a great rest of the weekend!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #197,093
  • May 18, 2024 2:24am May 18, 2024 2:24am
Have a great weekend, EURUSD only family!
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Stop Procrastinating
  • #197,094
  • May 18, 2024 2:49am May 18, 2024 2:49am
I expect a reversal from this level or 103.80.
I have indicated my two possible thoughts with colored lines.
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Swing Trader
  • #197,095
  • May 18, 2024 4:48am May 18, 2024 4:48am
Monday D1 Outlook

  1. With current picture in mind, I am noticing that bears struggle to stop bulls and now bulls keep pushing towards the yellow resistance area.
  2. However, nothing for sure yet. A successful bullish breakout would still require a climb out from circle and also from ~1.0885/97 area roughly.
  3. For Monday, depending on market opening we first must watch 1.0871 area. As long as intraday candles open below it there will be selling pressure.
  4. For bears, the story gets serious once a drop below the red area happens. If bears can force price back below the broken trendline, even better.
  5. Long story short: For now, we are at a decision level where bulls keep trying. Let's see if they will succeed or not.

Happy weekend to all

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #197,096
  • May 18, 2024 10:44am May 18, 2024 10:44am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Monday D1 Outlook With current picture in mind, I am noticing that bears struggle to stop bulls and now bulls keep pushing towards the yellow resistance area. However, nothing for sure yet. A successful bullish breakout would still require a climb out from circle and also from ~1.0885/97 area roughly. For Monday, depending on market opening we first must watch 1.0871 area. As long as intraday candles open below it there will be selling pressure. For bears, the story gets serious once a drop below the red area happens. If bears can force price back...
That’s a really tight range. By late Monday we might have an answer, unless it just starts consolidating.
  • #197,097
  • May 18, 2024 1:31pm May 18, 2024 1:31pm
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TECHNICALLY I BELIEVE THAT THE EURUSD IS STILL GOING TO BE BULLLISH
  • #197,098
  • May 19, 2024 3:20am May 19, 2024 3:20am
Quoting funzodundee
The longer I trade, the more convinced I am that blatantly obvious technical set ups are just that...a set up for the powerful to take retail out. Any zero sum game should be entered with caution. Retail will allways be the food for fat cats. No idea where EU is going next......but unfortunately, the big banks do.
you should read the market correctly and make YOUR own decision, never rely on what others think, if they are wrong it's going to be YOUR fault for following them.

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cheers,
"the public is not yet ready for it" W.D. GANN
  • #197,099
  • May 19, 2024 4:05am May 19, 2024 4:05am
4h shooting star bearish?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #197,100
  • May 19, 2024 4:11am May 19, 2024 4:11am
Quoting gatorinla
4h shooting star bearish? {image}
What about now on a 12h engulfed, with day doji? Just a different perspective.
She bounced off 0835.
That larger chart is 1 year candles.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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