Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles | Page 569 | Forex Factory

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Attachments: Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles
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Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

  • #11,361
  • Oct 8, 2023 5:21am Oct 8, 2023 5:21am
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  • #11,362
  • Oct 8, 2023 5:43am Oct 8, 2023 5:43am
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  • #11,363
  • Oct 8, 2023 6:03am Oct 8, 2023 6:03am
In the present case, as long as the next daily Price value, (next Monday) is ABOVE 26.525 , (estimated) CMA 16 will be Up
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  • #11,364
  • Oct 8, 2023 7:27am Oct 8, 2023 7:27am
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  • #11,365
  • Oct 8, 2023 7:28am Oct 8, 2023 7:28am
This has to be confirmed

If CMA 32 is ABOVE CMA 16 we are Trending Up
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  • #11,366
  • Oct 8, 2023 7:42am Oct 8, 2023 7:42am
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  • #11,367
  • Oct 8, 2023 7:53am Oct 8, 2023 7:53am
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  • #11,368
  • Edited 4:57am Oct 9, 2023 4:04am | Edited 4:57am
US 100 1 H
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  • #11,369
  • Oct 9, 2023 5:01am Oct 9, 2023 5:01am
NQ 1 H
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  • #11,370
  • Oct 9, 2023 5:09am Oct 9, 2023 5:09am
NQ 1 H

Follow Up
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  • #11,371
  • Oct 9, 2023 11:06am Oct 9, 2023 11:06am
BTCUSD 1 mn
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  • #11,372
  • Oct 9, 2023 11:10am Oct 9, 2023 11:10am
CL 5 mn
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  • #11,373
  • Oct 10, 2023 2:04am Oct 10, 2023 2:04am
DAX m1:
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Stick to the plan!
  • #11,374
  • Oct 13, 2023 11:44am Oct 13, 2023 11:44am
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  • #11,375
  • Oct 13, 2023 12:01pm Oct 13, 2023 12:01pm
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  • #11,376
  • Oct 16, 2023 2:23am Oct 16, 2023 2:23am
DAX M1 :
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Stick to the plan!
  • #11,377
  • Oct 16, 2023 2:37am Oct 16, 2023 2:37am
Alain, Klausi,

Had a query for you. If MA 64 current value is INR 4553 and expected MA 64 value is INR 4555. Does it mean that expected movement in price is INR 2 ? Or is there a multiplier effect depending on the MA being considered ?
I tried mathematical reasoning as follows:

Let the current price total over 64 values be X. So if current MA 64 is at INR 4553, then X/64= 4553 So X = 4553*64= 291392. Time between the 2 points (actual and projected focal is lets say 15 candles of 15 min each).
Now projected MA 64 is 4555. So the projected price total is Y. So Y/64= 4555, hence Y = 4555 *64 = 291520
So difference between the 2 is INR 291520-291392= 128. So expected change in price is 128/64= INR 2 OR 128/ 15= 8.5 taking time into account ?
The INR 2 doesnt seem intuitive since the price move is too small. But requesting your help in understanding.
  • #11,378
  • Oct 16, 2023 2:57am Oct 16, 2023 2:57am
Quoting aptx
Alain, Klausi, Had a query for you. If MA 64 current value is INR 4553 and expected MA 64 value is INR 4555. Does it mean that expected movement in price is INR 2 ? Or is there a multiplier effect depending on the MA being considered ? I tried mathematical reasoning as follows: Let the current price total over 64 values be X. So if current MA 64 is at INR 4553, then X/64= 4553 So X = 4553*64= 291392. Time between the 2 points (actual and projected focal is lets say 15 candles of 15 min each). Now projected MA 64 is 4555. So the projected price total...
Hi aptx, this is definitly something Alain could answer better.
Stick to the plan!
  • #11,379
  • Oct 16, 2023 4:41am Oct 16, 2023 4:41am
US 100 1 H
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  • #11,380
  • Oct 16, 2023 4:55am Oct 16, 2023 4:55am
Quoting aptx
Alain, Klausi, Had a query for you. If MA 64 current value is INR 4553 and expected MA 64 value is INR 4555. Does it mean that expected movement in price is INR 2 ? Or is there a multiplier effect depending on the MA being considered ? I tried mathematical reasoning as follows: Let the current price total over 64 values be X. So if current MA 64 is at INR 4553, then X/64= 4553 So X = 4553*64= 291392. Time between the 2 points (actual and projected focal is lets say 15 candles of 15 min each). Now projected MA 64 is 4555. So the projected price total...
aptx thanks a lot for claryfying this point and this mechanism which improves our understanding of CMA's behavior

If you want that CMA 64 be UP from 2 points (pips , $, INR whatever)

we need that PRICE will be UP from 2 x 64 = 128 points (pips, $, INR etc)
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