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Aussie Pairs

  • #381
  • Jun 5, 2007 10:16pm Jun 5, 2007 10:16pm
Quoting Scrat
short @ 0.8420. another short is eagerly waiting @ 0.8486, although it might not be necessary.
i just hope this doesn't turn into another u-cad, but this time going up.

May i ask why you believe this? Specifically @ 0.8486?
  • #382
  • Jun 5, 2007 10:22pm Jun 5, 2007 10:22pm
You go short? at 0.8420? I think better long
  • #383
  • Jun 5, 2007 10:29pm Jun 5, 2007 10:29pm
i guessed.

Quoting Blackinc
May i ask why you believe this? Specifically @ 0.8486?
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #384
  • Jun 5, 2007 10:31pm Jun 5, 2007 10:31pm
I seldom get good retracements off the auds, not sure if it's the low volatility or if they are just trendy bastards. But they rank #2 for the currency I'm most often wrong with, when trying retracments.
  • #385
  • Jun 5, 2007 10:43pm Jun 5, 2007 10:43pm
Quoting Scrat
i guessed.
Can't argue with logic
  • #386
  • Jun 5, 2007 10:45pm Jun 5, 2007 10:45pm
same for me. #1 is u-cad.

Quoting shadeslay
I seldom get good retracements off the auds, not sure if it's the low volatility or if they are just trendy bastards. But they rank #2 for the currency I'm most often wrong with, when trying retracments.
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #387
  • Jun 5, 2007 10:46pm Jun 5, 2007 10:46pm
are you using vegas for h4? you should give it a try.
or just plot a 55 SMA on your h4 chart, with levels at 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233... sounds familiar?

Quoting Blackinc
Can't argue with logic
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #388
  • Jun 5, 2007 10:56pm Jun 5, 2007 10:56pm
Quoting bravado
sl=8438.
change sl=8465.
BAM BAM BOOM! -bravado
  • #389
  • Jun 5, 2007 11:10pm Jun 5, 2007 11:10pm
Quoting Scrat
are you using vegas for h4? you should give it a try.
or just plot a 55 SMA on your h4 chart, with levels at 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233... sounds familiar?

No i'm not using vegas, i've had a look before but it didn't tickle my fancy.

I can understand where you're coming from though, thanks.
  • #390
  • Jun 5, 2007 11:17pm Jun 5, 2007 11:17pm
ok... i'm using an average based on a non-linear regression (parabolic, most of the times) and when price is at 2 standard deviations away from this average, i open a trade. usually it's right on one of those vegas levels (or very close).
you can use daily fibs as well. in this case, 0.8449 is another choice i'm thinking about.

Quoting Blackinc
No i'm not using vegas, i've had a look before but it didn't tickle my fancy.

I can understand where you're coming from though, thanks.
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #391
  • Jun 5, 2007 11:23pm Jun 5, 2007 11:23pm
Quoting Scrat
ok... i'm using an average based on a non-linear regression (parabolic, most of the times) and when price is at 2 standard deviations away from this average, i open a trade. usually it's right on one of those vegas levels (or very close).
you can use daily fibs as well. in this case, 0.8449 is another choice i'm thinking about.
Yea i remember slightly, like channels around the price and you line up signals based on the price touching the channel border and lining up with a Fib line say?

I suppose this is looking for short term trades with profits taken intraday?
  • #392
  • Jun 5, 2007 11:31pm Jun 5, 2007 11:31pm
something like that, right.
and depends on what you mean by short term, i use h4 charts and sometimes keep my trades for a couple of days.

Quoting Blackinc
Yea i remember slightly, like channels around the price and you line up signals based on the price touching the channel border and lining up with a Fib line say?

I suppose this is looking for short term trades with profits taken intraday?
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #393
  • Jun 5, 2007 11:39pm Jun 5, 2007 11:39pm
Quoting Scrat
something like that, right.
and depends on what you mean by short term, i use h4 charts and sometimes keep my trades for a couple of days.
Yep no worries, i suppose i'm looking at what the AUD is going to do on a longer time frame, and you're looking at what its going to do intraday, retracements, dips and so forth.

So originally i thought you were picking the absolute top and i wondered why that price..

Thanks for the quick responses
  • #394
  • Jun 6, 2007 12:07am Jun 6, 2007 12:07am
Quoting Blackinc
Yep no worries, i suppose i'm looking at what the AUD is going to do on a longer time frame, and you're looking at what its going to do intraday, retracements, dips and so forth.

So originally i thought you were picking the absolute top and i wondered why that price..

Thanks for the quick responses


Long term.. ? In 3 months, 6months and 12 months I believe it to be below what it is now..
  • #395
  • Jun 6, 2007 1:04am Jun 6, 2007 1:04am
Quoting dimmi
Long term.. ? In 3 months, 6months and 12 months I believe it to be below what it is now..
Not quite that long, more like weeks
  • #396
  • Jun 6, 2007 2:39am Jun 6, 2007 2:39am
Quoting Scrat
short @ 0.8420. another short is eagerly waiting @ 0.8486, although it might not be necessary.
i just hope this doesn't turn into another u-cad, but this time going up.
And I'm currently long from 0.8373 for a third long on AUDUSD within the last 4 trading days

Trading feels sooooo much easier if you got WITH the strong striding trending moves.
Trust price. Know yourself.
  • #397
  • Jun 6, 2007 9:34am Jun 6, 2007 9:34am
moved sl=8450.
BAM BAM BOOM! -bravado
  • #398
  • Jun 6, 2007 10:59am Jun 6, 2007 10:59am
audusd currently tasting 8400 support.

will be holding my short longer. short @ 8430, 8416, 8404.
BAM BAM BOOM! -bravado
  • #399
  • Jun 6, 2007 11:05am Jun 6, 2007 11:05am
nzd rate statement in 5 hours.
aud employment in 9.5 hours.
BAM BAM BOOM! -bravado
  • #400
  • Jun 6, 2007 11:05am Jun 6, 2007 11:05am
NZD/USD also looking a bit tired. Two shooting stars on the daily chart. After tonights interest rate decision is announced, I would like to see what the RBNZ says about future hikes. If they aren't to hawkish, we could possibly see another down run
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