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Attachments: EURUSD only
Exit Attachments

EURUSD only

UPDATE
-==-
Thank goodness I didn't touch my stop

EURUSD M15
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Quoting pedro319
First sell 1.0698 will add more up to 1.0725. Stops above 1.0750, if price passes here it will change short term technicals. Target 1.0611. Taking half profit from longs from 1.0632.
Waiting for targets, before they come there is nothing to do.
I intend to buy at the bottom 1.0611-00 to ride larger retracement.
Good luck.
Fibonacci will make you rich
Total annihilation! and we will likely continue lower tomorrow.
When you see it, BET big.
Quoting Mitiblotch
Gearing towards a spike to 1.0740-50 and then a dump to my TP at 1.0620. Hehehehe... on a serious note I am a bit nonplussed by price. That low at 1.0631 was made by NY and Asia. London got no test of it yet. So I believe it isn't the low. However, price is now above the weekly pivot and that brings a lot of bullishness to the scene. Let's see how it goes. {image}
The precision of this prediction is simply awesome. Session flows and pivots are a great deal!
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/mitiblotch/mt5-10567385/9464692
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REDA_EL_HARAOUI
ELITE MOROCCO SNIPER All Time Return: 27.5%
Quoting Austyno
My lovely bears are getting ready for tomorrow's drop. Target for the week is 1.05782
Played out as anticipated. Target is still valid. Next point of selling is @ 1.07147
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
I dont think there is much downside left at this point. Its not a buy either.
When you see it, BET big.
  • Post #180,668
  • Quote
  • Edited Sep 21, 2023 9:05am Sep 20, 2023 10:46pm | Edited Sep 21, 2023 9:05am
https://www.tradingview.com/x/t6NSia5m

Euro at buy side for me. Lowest horizontal is march 16 price. It should atleast go to the top horizontal today.

For education purposes

.
Trading is gambling. So gamble responsibly.
EU dropped after a hawkish fed, now waiting for some more downside towards 1.0600/10 or 1.0590. Resistance is at 1.0645/55 and 1.0660/75.

Daily volatility (range) - 45 pips

Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims

1 hour
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Green pips
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
High chance to hit 1.057?
Fundamental provide Volume, Technical shows Direction
Quoting broketrader
Closed my shorts and entered new long trade #3 at 1.0698 The momentum is clearly on the side of the bulls right now, so I'm just going with them. The picture is not 100% clear to me and there is still the possibility of a new low but I take the risk. {image}
As I was fearing, it did exactly like last week, weak retracement before a new low.

Took my loss with -13% and reversed to short @ 1.0656

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Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication.
Long 0638 - 0650, Max TP 0708 and 0730
Quoting fxcontest
Long 0638 - 0650, Max TP 0708
Joining you on this quest
Looking at the Meeting Probabilites (Month over Month) the picure hasnt changed too dramatically. 2023 Outlook is still mainly a PAUSE. 2024 in the 2nd half has widenend assumptions on how many rate reductions today vs one month ago.
I guess what im trying to say is... if this picture were to stay like that then yesterdays very volatile movement would be an overanticipation of the FEDs words as the market clearly (not yet) feels that way.

Limitations of this assessment however is that i dont know to what extend yesterdays meeting already made the data of the meeting probabilities of today.

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Screenshot 25AUG2023

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Screenshot 21SEP2023

Source: CME FedWatch Tool - CME Group
Quoting Brainafk
Looking at the Meeting Probabilites (Month over Month) the picure hasnt changed too dramatically. 2023 Outlook is still mainly a PAUSE. 2024 in the 2nd half has widenend assumptions on how many rate reductions today vs one month ago. I guess what im trying to say is... if this picture were to stay like that then yesterdays very volatile movement would be an overanticipation of the FEDs words as the market clearly (not yet) feels that way. Limitations of this assessment however is that i dont know to what extend yesterdays meeting already made the...
Maybe it will not raise interest rates again and start cutting them at next summer EU may drop to 1.0500 or lower by then also. I will watch how the numbers evolve on the us news - calendar.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
#EURUSD / H1
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Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Maybe it will not raise interest rates again and start cutting them at next summer EU may drop to 1.0500 or lower by then also. I will watch how the numbers evolve on the us news - calendar.
They can still give hints regarding a rate hike, taking the situation with the price of fuel and lower demand for bonds into consideration, this is massive because of inflation and they will have to address it.
1.06 is a big level and is not going just like that, not without a proper bounce.
Fibonacci will make you rich
Quoting fxcontest
Long 0638 - 0650, Max TP 0708 and 0730

edited
Quoting pedro319
{quote} They can still give hints regarding a rate hike, taking the situation with the price of fuel and lower demand for bonds into consideration, this is massive because of inflation and they will have to address it. 1.06 is a big level and is not going just like that, not without a proper bounce.
Isnt't the FED mainly concerned about CORE inflation, hence ex Energy? Of course no one likes headline inflation but in the long run....
Quoting pedro319
{quote} They can still give hints regarding a rate hike, taking the situation with the price of fuel and lower demand for bonds into consideration, this is massive because of inflation and they will have to address it. 1.06 is a big level and is not going just like that, not without a proper bounce.
Waiting for it too, woke up this morning by looking at two days fall and I guess this massive move down needs some reorganization yet
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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