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  • #180,661
  • Sep 20, 2023 1:08pm Sep 20, 2023 1:08pm
Total annihilation! and we will likely continue lower tomorrow.
When you see it, BET big.
  • #180,662
  • Sep 20, 2023 1:14pm Sep 20, 2023 1:14pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
Gearing towards a spike to 1.0740-50 and then a dump to my TP at 1.0620. Hehehehe... on a serious note I am a bit nonplussed by price. That low at 1.0631 was made by NY and Asia. London got no test of it yet. So I believe it isn't the low. However, price is now above the weekly pivot and that brings a lot of bullishness to the scene. Let's see how it goes. {image}
The precision of this prediction is simply awesome. Session flows and pivots are a great deal!
  • #180,663
  • Sep 20, 2023 1:22pm Sep 20, 2023 1:22pm
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REDA_EL_HARAOUI
ELITE MOROCCO SNIPER All Time Return: 27.5%
  • #180,664
  • Sep 20, 2023 2:38pm Sep 20, 2023 2:38pm
Quoting Austyno
My lovely bears are getting ready for tomorrow's drop. Target for the week is 1.05782
Played out as anticipated. Target is still valid. Next point of selling is @ 1.07147
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #180,665
  • Sep 20, 2023 6:53pm Sep 20, 2023 6:53pm
I dont think there is much downside left at this point. Its not a buy either.
When you see it, BET big.
  • #180,666
  • Edited Sep 21, 2023 6:05am Sep 20, 2023 7:46pm | Edited Sep 21, 2023 6:05am
https://www.tradingview.com/x/t6NSia5m

Euro at buy side for me. Lowest horizontal is march 16 price. It should atleast go to the top horizontal today.

For education purposes

.
Trading is gambling. So gamble responsibly.
  • #180,667
  • Sep 20, 2023 8:59pm Sep 20, 2023 8:59pm
EU dropped after a hawkish fed, now waiting for some more downside towards 1.0600/10 or 1.0590. Resistance is at 1.0645/55 and 1.0660/75.

Daily volatility (range) - 45 pips

Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims

1 hour
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Green pips
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #180,668
  • Sep 20, 2023 10:03pm Sep 20, 2023 10:03pm
High chance to hit 1.057?
Fundamental provide Volume, Technical shows Direction
  • #180,669
  • Sep 20, 2023 11:22pm Sep 20, 2023 11:22pm
Quoting broketrader
Closed my shorts and entered new long trade #3 at 1.0698 The momentum is clearly on the side of the bulls right now, so I'm just going with them. The picture is not 100% clear to me and there is still the possibility of a new low but I take the risk. {image}
As I was fearing, it did exactly like last week, weak retracement before a new low.

Took my loss with -13% and reversed to short @ 1.0656

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Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication.
  • #180,670
  • Edited 1:24am Sep 21, 2023 12:14am | Edited 1:24am
Long 0638 - 0650, Max TP 0708 and 0730
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #180,671
  • Sep 21, 2023 12:16am Sep 21, 2023 12:16am
Quoting fxcontest
Long 0638 - 0650, Max TP 0708
Joining you on this quest
  • #180,672
  • Sep 21, 2023 12:33am Sep 21, 2023 12:33am
Looking at the Meeting Probabilites (Month over Month) the picure hasnt changed too dramatically. 2023 Outlook is still mainly a PAUSE. 2024 in the 2nd half has widenend assumptions on how many rate reductions today vs one month ago.
I guess what im trying to say is... if this picture were to stay like that then yesterdays very volatile movement would be an overanticipation of the FEDs words as the market clearly (not yet) feels that way.

Limitations of this assessment however is that i dont know to what extend yesterdays meeting already made the data of the meeting probabilities of today.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Screenshot 25AUG2023

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Screenshot 21SEP2023

Source: CME FedWatch Tool - CME Group
Don't follow my trades. Challenge my Analysis!
  • #180,673
  • Sep 21, 2023 1:09am Sep 21, 2023 1:09am
Quoting Brainafk
Looking at the Meeting Probabilites (Month over Month) the picure hasnt changed too dramatically. 2023 Outlook is still mainly a PAUSE. 2024 in the 2nd half has widenend assumptions on how many rate reductions today vs one month ago. I guess what im trying to say is... if this picture were to stay like that then yesterdays very volatile movement would be an overanticipation of the FEDs words as the market clearly (not yet) feels that way. Limitations of this assessment however is that i dont know to what extend yesterdays meeting already made the...
Maybe it will not raise interest rates again and start cutting them at next summer EU may drop to 1.0500 or lower by then also. I will watch how the numbers evolve on the us news - calendar.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #180,674
  • Sep 21, 2023 1:16am Sep 21, 2023 1:16am
#EURUSD / H1
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  • #180,675
  • Sep 21, 2023 1:20am Sep 21, 2023 1:20am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Maybe it will not raise interest rates again and start cutting them at next summer EU may drop to 1.0500 or lower by then also. I will watch how the numbers evolve on the us news - calendar.
They can still give hints regarding a rate hike, taking the situation with the price of fuel and lower demand for bonds into consideration, this is massive because of inflation and they will have to address it.
1.06 is a big level and is not going just like that, not without a proper bounce.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #180,676
  • Sep 21, 2023 1:24am Sep 21, 2023 1:24am
Quoting fxcontest
Long 0638 - 0650, Max TP 0708 and 0730

edited
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #180,677
  • Sep 21, 2023 1:25am Sep 21, 2023 1:25am
Quoting pedro319
{quote} They can still give hints regarding a rate hike, taking the situation with the price of fuel and lower demand for bonds into consideration, this is massive because of inflation and they will have to address it. 1.06 is a big level and is not going just like that, not without a proper bounce.
Isnt't the FED mainly concerned about CORE inflation, hence ex Energy? Of course no one likes headline inflation but in the long run....
Don't follow my trades. Challenge my Analysis!
  • #180,678
  • Sep 21, 2023 1:30am Sep 21, 2023 1:30am
Quoting pedro319
{quote} They can still give hints regarding a rate hike, taking the situation with the price of fuel and lower demand for bonds into consideration, this is massive because of inflation and they will have to address it. 1.06 is a big level and is not going just like that, not without a proper bounce.
Waiting for it too, woke up this morning by looking at two days fall and I guess this massive move down needs some reorganization yet
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #180,679
  • Edited 2:04am Sep 21, 2023 1:35am | Edited 2:04am
Quoting Brainafk
{quote} Isnt't the FED mainly concerned about CORE inflation, hence ex Energy? Of course no one likes headline inflation but in the long run....
You would be right if core inflation wasn't itself a problem along with contraction in consumer spending.
(contraction in consumer spending is desired when raising rates but ideally core inflation follows, which isn't the case).
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #180,680
  • Sep 21, 2023 1:43am Sep 21, 2023 1:43am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
EU dropped after a hawkish fed, now waiting for some more downside towards 1.0600/10 or 1.0590. Resistance is at 1.0645/55 and 1.0660/75. Daily volatility (range) - 45 pips Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims 1 hour {image} Green pips
Looks like it found sellers on the daily top again, going for a second drop in a day? You know the way
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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