Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

Courtesy of Martin Armstrong

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/a...ween-now-2032/

Sinewave

SPX

Mirror Image

Yes, a very clear one!

it is obvious visually that the 5 Legs Up Move is not of the same degree as the 5 Legs Down Move.

Can you say why ?

Please can you post wave analysis of Gold?

Thanks.

Is it because the Down move belongs to the higher cycle?
Edit:

I understand partially. I understand that the left down move is a different degree, order than the right. Namely the 256 Cycle. But got a question.

Is it a rule that the amplitude of the PA is always halfed to the next lower cycle ( in this case 128) after completing half a dominant cyclemove?


I cant thank you enough, this stuff is a real eyeopener to me. Actually im reading "Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis".

DAX m1:

Quoting Klausi

Disliked

I understand partially. I understand that the left down move is a different degree, order than the right. Namely the 256 Cycle. But got a question. Is it a rule that the amplitude of the PA is always halfed to the next lower cycle ( in this case 128) after completing half a dominant cyclemove? I cant thank you enough, this stuff is a real eyeopener to me. Actually im reading "Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis".

Ignored

Klausi thanks for your interest.

I should say : Yes it is (statistically) a "rule - due to the construction of the Sinewave - but this has to be modulated by the additional effect of the Underlying Trend which according to Hurst (and) Dewey ) contributes to 75 % of Price Action.

In terms of using the Envelopes, the downtrend starts from the peak of the 400 Envelope to the bottom of the 200 Envelope, back up to the 200 Envelope peak, and all the way back down to the 400 Envelope bottom.

The uptrend starts at the 400 Envelope bottom, and then jumps into the 200 Envelope area and continues to stay there.

Though I do feel as if I am missing something still.

@54m44r In fact we can simply apply some Hurst principles :
Harmonicity - the Focal Points by construction use a Harmonic of 2 - 16/32, 16/32/64, 16/32/64/128 etc
- Proportionality : the Amplitude of the respective Sinewaves they determine is proportional to their length parameter

The 2 main usage of the Envelopes is

- First to reveal graphically the Trend ( the CenterLine of each Envelope)
By Construction the CMA 256 is the Half-Span of CMA 512. In Daily it reveals a 2 Year trend

Second : the Envelopes reveal the Cyclical Fluctuations of Price around the Trend(s).

Price Movement is the Sum of the Cyclical Fluctuations (23%) + The Underlying Trend (75%).
Consequently our main objective is to determine the Underlying Trend which has 3 Times more influence on Price than the Cyclical fluctuations.
Seems Logical and Rational ! All that is basic Hurst (observational analysis)