EURUSD only

Well done micro bulls !

Micro Bears, my few untriggered tight stop setups need a steady move to <0723 now

Sell stop 07288 07272 07263

Leaving with your tail between your legs

Have a great, warm, loving and fun and funny, beautiful weekend folks !

For some reason I married my longs... before she dumped me. And now she moved on and I'm....
Tuesday is another day, it was a 4% week...

Title: EUR/USD: Current Price Action Signals Impending Strong Sell Movement

Hello traders!

Today, I bring you crucial insights into the EUR/USD pair's present price action and the compelling indications of an impending strong sell movement. Brace yourselves as we dive into the current market scenario.

As of the latest update, the EUR/USD pair is trading at 1.07258. This price level serves as a critical reference point for our analysis, providing valuable context for the anticipated sell-off.

The recent price action has shown distinct bearish tendencies, bolstering the case for a prolonged downward trajectory. The pair's failure to breach key resistance levels, coupled with consistent lower highs and lower lows, signals the increasing dominance of sellers in the market.
Moreover, when we assess the RSI (Relative Strength Index) at this juncture, we observe it residing in the oversold territory, indicative of heightened selling pressure. This alignment of bearish price action and a bearish RSI further strengthens the argument for a strong sell movement in the near future.

Considering these factors, it's important to recognize potential catalysts influencing this expected downturn. Current market sentiment reflects concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainties. Concurrently, the US dollar has been gaining strength, buoyed by the Federal Reserve's hawkish monetary policy stance.

From a technical standpoint, let's identify critical support levels to monitor as the sell-off progresses. Should the EUR/USD pair continue on its anticipated trajectory, watch for significant levels such as 1.069 to potentially act as pivotal points for traders aiming to capitalize on the downward momentum.
However, as with any market analysis, it's crucial to exercise caution and implement robust risk management strategies. The forex market is subject to various influences and can be inherently unpredictable.

I encourage you to share your thoughts, observations, and trade ideas as we navigate this exciting period for the EUR/USD pair. Let's foster a vibrant community where we can exchange insights and support one another on our trading journeys.
Stay tuned for further updates and analysis as we closely monitor the EUR/USD pair's sell movement. Wishing you success in your trading endeavors!

Best regards,
CHILLCASHOUT

It was the bears that won this week but failed to close below 1.0712 support, the trend is bearish in a corrective manner but it may retrace up to 1.0830 (see chart) resistance for a bearish test or fail below 1.0700 to test the monthly S2 level (1.0660) or below 1.0636/1.0600.

End of month flows, interest rate hike expectations and debt ceiling negotiations will keep the volatility high with me expecting only 97 pips!

US Treasury Secretary Yellen: The US could default as early as June 5 without debt ceiling hike, previous date was June 1.

IMF sees the Fed funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5% until late 2024.

Also Eurozone Core CPI YoY Flash, US Initial Jobless Claims, US Nonfarm Payrolls & US Unemployment Rate are the most significant news releases on the economic calendar to watch.

Daily chart



Have a great rest of the weekend!

Happy weekend all! My wrap up for the week:

1h we are still within the downward channel, bear is in control no doubt. For Monday 0740 will be resistance level while 0700 remain be the support.



daily wise I am interesting to see how this tl support may work. And we may bounce back to 1.1150 area from here. Note we are now under 100d sma which is a bearish signal. Daily close as a doji might be hinting a reversal (at least for a short term), correction is near and I am targeting where 20d sma is and 38.2 fibo level from this drop which is around 0850 area.

"Biden and Republicans agreed to raise the national debt ceiling. US default averted.
The House of Representatives will vote on the documents on Wednesday, May 31st. Then the initiative must be approved by the Senate of the Congress, after which it is sent to Biden for signature."

What do you think about this? Is this good news for the euro?

since morning I am trying to see usdx situation , now time to get into it ! bounce exaggerated and reached the tl last week , may retest but likely a correction towards 102.60 levels to try bounce towards 105. 80 , above extreme unrealistic but ok even possible towards 107.65 if more turmoils continues . so will look for for breakout down towards 102.60 ! take care

Good evening, hope you're great. For tomorrow, I have 1.0735 as resistance, and 1.0700 as support;

Start of the week Asia session:
Pending Long 1.0720
SL: 1.0690
TP: 1.0810
will be probably 2-3 days

Short from 1.0724 targeting the lows to start with. 30 pips sl.

active

On D1 USDX we have a bearish pinbar and we at critical 23 fibo


On H1 we have beautifully aligned Fibo levels and a huge bearish wedge BUT we are above upper band of rising channel


On Eurusd H4 we also have Fibo levels and bullish wedge


On Eurusd M15 we have weekend's gap closed, but the price is still below 1.07300.


Final agreement to raise debt limit SHOULD cause risk-on temporary and relief bullish rally for EUR, but I would wait for the price to go above 1.073 to go long + remember that we have both Bank holiday, so I'm not sure if we could trust today's price action

0750 key level for today, will we test it before London open?

Waiting 0760 breaks up before start bull/correction for 0830/0844 for 0905, will target 0880 atleast then. Daily evening star at hand now to see if works!

Good week, the banks are closed today for holiday I expect ranging contitions, the vol is low and should stay low I expect 44 pips range the most and EU to drop at the lows, or visit the weekly pivot before a bearish test, anything can happen so watching the risk

1 hour chart


Have a great day ahead!