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The Swamp

  • #106,561
  • Feb 3, 2023 9:03am Feb 3, 2023 9:03am
ISM better than expected. Good employment, good ISM..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,562
  • Feb 3, 2023 9:15am Feb 3, 2023 9:15am
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} I got stopped(obviously) on that earlier trade and havent gotten a trigger to re-enter yet. My rules dont let me place any trades after noon on fridays. So if we dont get a setup then I close the laptop... Still a 30% macro position at 1.0850(macro position is aggregate 0.9880 at the moment)... flat otherwise... The number at 10am could take us back to the lows easily...
took the long @ 1.0810 SL 1.0799 TG 1.1336

Filled manually....

If I get stopped Ill try a breakout short
  • #106,563
  • Feb 3, 2023 9:20am Feb 3, 2023 9:20am
back above 0835.. not by accident
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,564
  • Feb 3, 2023 9:25am Feb 3, 2023 9:25am
my 1 m is bullish.. 3 min with a close above 0858
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,565
  • Feb 3, 2023 9:28am Feb 3, 2023 9:28am
Quoting gatorinla
my 1 m is bullish.. 3 min with a close above 0858
3 min bullish. 5m needs 0872 closed above.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,566
  • Feb 3, 2023 9:31am Feb 3, 2023 9:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 3 min bullish. 5m needs 0872 closed above.
3 m stop at 0847. tp 0878
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,567
  • Feb 3, 2023 9:34am Feb 3, 2023 9:34am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}3 m stop at 0847

could start a snowball long...
  • #106,568
  • Feb 3, 2023 9:38am Feb 3, 2023 9:38am
I'm not trading a 3 m.. but it would look like this if i did. just using it to see if pa is acting bullish in steps.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,569
  • Feb 3, 2023 9:48am Feb 3, 2023 9:48am
Quoting gatorinla
I'm not trading a 3 m.. but it would look like this if i did. just using it to see if pa is acting bullish in steps. {image}
The fix should be meaningful here... regardless of PA I am not touching my earlier long until we are over 0955...
  • #106,570
  • Feb 3, 2023 10:03am Feb 3, 2023 10:03am
Quoting gatorinla
I'm not trading a 3 m.. but it would look like this if i did. just using it to see if pa is acting bullish in steps. {image}
3m would have been s/o.. But stops had a chance to be moved to b.e. The 5m r was not broken enough.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,571
  • Feb 3, 2023 10:05am Feb 3, 2023 10:05am
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} The fix should be meaningful here... regardless of PA I am not touching my earlier long until we are over 0955...
the same here, I turned on a snowball ea. Its out of my hands now
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,572
  • Feb 3, 2023 10:21am Feb 3, 2023 10:21am
tug of war. Good news for bears. Bulls have strong support.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,573
  • Feb 3, 2023 10:29am Feb 3, 2023 10:29am
Quoting gatorinla
tug of war. Good news for bears. Bulls have strong support.
Fridays.... Itll take something special for the bears to break this uptrend....
  • #106,574
  • Feb 3, 2023 12:06pm Feb 3, 2023 12:06pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Fridays.... Itll take something special for the bears to break this uptrend....
Looking for consensus. I have one 6h 8h and 12h that's bearish already. i have another 6h that will be bearish, if today closes below 1.0813. Needless to say the lower time frames are bearish on these 2. I have a third that the 6h remains bullish till 1.0635. It is a late one. Forth another late one will turn sometime below 1.07. They are late, but good filters. Even so there is a lot of real-estate before to test them. Pa is below 1.0835. Bulls were unable to get a 3 minute run. price looks to test the spent algo at 1.0805.5
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,575
  • Feb 3, 2023 12:15pm Feb 3, 2023 12:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Looking for consensus. I have one 6h 8h and 12h that's bearish already. i have another 6h that will be bearish, if today closes below 1.0813. Needless to say the lower time frames are bearish on these 2. I have a third that the 6h remains bullish till 1.0635. It is a late one. Forth another late one will turn sometime below 1.07. They are late, but good filters. Even so there is a lot of real-estate before to test them. Pa is below 1.0835. Bulls were unable to get a 3 minute run. price looks to test the spent algo at 1.0805.5
Yep, there is goes...

I won't take that breakout trade south of 1.0799 due to the time of week... I'll just take the stop and hold core positions
  • #106,576
  • Feb 3, 2023 2:42pm Feb 3, 2023 2:42pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Yep, there is goes... I won't take that breakout trade south of 1.0799 due to the time of week... I'll just take the stop and hold core positions
I had those late trades +4. All of my trades went + 4 after 6 pips. All but the last one of the snowball. It never went up the 6. I took a 30 pip hit on it. Cot is late for some reason.
https://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmelf.htm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,577
  • Feb 3, 2023 2:46pm Feb 3, 2023 2:46pm
Quoting gatorinla
I'm not trading a 3 m.. but it would look like this if i did. just using it to see if pa is acting bullish in steps. {image}
I think i will use this in the future. It seemed to foretell bulls being weak. Even as it was rising off support.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,578
  • Feb 3, 2023 2:50pm Feb 3, 2023 2:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I had those late trades +4. All of my trades went + 4 after 6 pips. All but the last one of the snowball. It never went up the 6. I took a 30 pip hit on it. Cot is late for some reason. https://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmelf.htm

Dxy showing strong short covering strength the past 2 day top tick closes with extended ranges.
I have 103.88 as major quarterly.... Sure seems like it wants to get there...
  • #106,579
  • Feb 3, 2023 2:51pm Feb 3, 2023 2:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I think i will use this in the future. It seemed to foretell bulls being weak. Even as it was rising off support.
When the 3 min broke down is gave up over 80pips. Off a 3 min failure. That's an impressive signal.
  • #106,580
  • Feb 3, 2023 4:24pm Feb 3, 2023 4:24pm
Am feeling so bad and down today...I had euro shorts after fomc at 1.0950 and 1.0972.. it went all the way to 1.1034 during asia session... I booked loss at 1.1000 thinking it wil support and go to 1.11 or 1.12 during ecb
Booked loss as scared loss will be more if jumps and wipe account ..

Now today I see cost came on Thursday US session and today would have been bumper profit .it's at 1.0794 almost 200 pip profit

ALWAYS this happens in euro when I book loss position comes in cost next day andmore profit later

But if I hold position with loss.it jumps more to a bigger loss

Why it happens
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