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The Swamp

Quoting gatorinla
6h just gave me a possible target 1.1039+. Sl 1.0867. I got a entry window using that target and the draw to 1.0874x. Its about 7.5 pips of risk. The 4h closes in 2 hs. Its bullish side is about 1.0822 close. If its below, chances for 1.0874x should increase a little. Its inside the 6h risk window.
edit.. need to use the close time level at 1.0863. It does widen the stop loss. But it also raises the 6h tp to 1.1046. 3.5 pips wider stop. 7 pip wider tp.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
Quoting gatorinla
possible gbp L 1.2248/slip. Light support 1.2226
2330 could be the smaller target. Its bounced to 2300 once already since entry. So hopefully you took some off to make it a risk free trade. Its hit the algo at 2248/slip. Its testing 1h support. It does need to start closing a h above 1.2348. Its in the slip area of a a 24h. (day and week)













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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
Anyone see a reason to buy the gbp ( day chart) 1.2248/slip? Since its the gbp lets say 1.2248/1.2173. That's about 75 pips of slip. But does anyone see a reason to buy this turd?
I dont. H LH. double top..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
Quoting gatorinla
The 4h closes in 2 hs. Its bullish side is about 1.0822 close. If its below, chances for 1.0874x should increase a little. Its inside the 6h risk window.
The 4h didnt get the bull side close. 1.0822.7. It may be a weak R. its support range about 1.0884.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I will leave a pending in that window 1.0875/1.0862. In case pa wants the last 10 pips to 0874x.
its not a bad idea.... if I get stopped on my longs Il see how price reacts there to accumulate

below 1.0850/35 will take some reassessment
Quoting gatorinla
Anyone see a reason to buy the gbp ( day chart) 1.2248/slip? Since its the gbp lets say 1.2248/1.2173. That's about 75 pips of slip. But does anyone see a reason to buy this turd? I dont. H LH. double top.. {image}
I have a level at 1.2208/1.2169

The thesis, as with the Fibre, is broad dollar weakness......
I got a 1h system still bullish, another bearish targeting 1.0728. Its like the gbp hitting a lower algo. It looks bearish as hell, at the time. But its where shit can change. I have to see what happens after 1.0875
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} its not a bad idea.... if I get stopped on my longs Il see how price reacts there to accumulate below 1.0850/35 will take some reassessment
1.0863 is just the s/o on a 6h long. There is a bunch here at 1.0860. Not to mention 1.0835. I dont want to get s/o, and it runs up a pip or 2 later. I decreased size, widened stop. I left one in the window incase. I plan to snow ball off smaller trades.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} I have a level at 1.2208/1.2169 The thesis, as with the Fibre, is broad dollar weakness......
To me the 4h and up are bullish. I had a algo at 2148. I thought soon after it would rise. The 1h and lower are bearish. The next supportive area i have is 2122..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1.0863 is just the s/o on a 6h long. There is a bunch here at 1.0860. Not to mention 1.0835. I dont want to get s/o, and it runs up a pip or 2 later. I decreased size, widened stop. I left one in the window incase. I plan to snow ball off smaller trades.
Yeah I pretty much always keep the stops tiny, Ill just re-enter a lot on momo

Trend is up. 1.0728/35 would be an absolute gift, especially if we get there fast...I dont wanna play in the middle though, too much that can go wrong

1.01018+ validated as a macro breakout level. It just so happens to be the middle of the March 2021 PA.... We are exactly where we were then a year later... I expect more volatility as extended days become the norm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Yeah I pretty much always keep the stops tiny, Ill just re-enter a lot on momo Trend is up. 1.0728/35 would be an absolute gift, especially if we get there fast...I dont wanna play in the middle though, too much that can go wrong 1.01018+ validated as a macro breakout level. It just so happens to be the middle of the March 2021 PA.... We are exactly where we were then a year later... I expect more volatility as extended days become the norm
If the close tomorrow is up here 1.0835+, above 1.0862+ I think that's stronger. There should be support in the 1.0835/62 range. Some in the 1.07/1.0862 range. Atm pa is above these. The Fed has raised since last Spring. The USD has got weaker the last 4-5 months with additional raises. After NFP, a close up here should cement 1.1186/slip. There is another at 1.2745 of = value. I dont want to talk about that one. There is 3 large ones 1.1189, 1.2745 and 0.77

The drop until the last 4-5 months had the fed to help a fall. Now if the fed is slowing a raise, or stopping raises. A drop may not have that high usd interest to help a fall.

This 1.0835 area may be a temp bottom.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} To me the 4h and up are bullish. I had a algo at 2148. I thought soon after it would rise. The 1h and lower are bearish. The next supportive area i have is 2122..
Cable zone is working. 2190 I had as a monthly(2208-2169 derived from it)
The funny thing is I barely have anything in the way until 2630....

If the dxy bearish thesis still holds weight. Price suggests the next inflection point is a hair under 100... That might be enough to push cable up there...

E/G has a confirmed breakout long.... Frankly I don't even have a long target nearby... .92xx really looks probable... UK really paying for brexit
Quoting gatorinla
Anyone see a reason to buy the gbp ( day chart) 1.2248/slip? Since its the gbp lets say 1.2248/1.2173. That's about 75 pips of slip. But does anyone see a reason to buy this turd? I dont. H LH. double top.. {image}
nope.

may look for basic shorts around 1.23/1.2318, it may have EU closer to 1.10...

1.2282/84 may provide an opp also.

somewhere between 1.0984/1.1004 for EU minus NFP, not worth it for me today... may be good for some without NFP

1.0888 holding on the long side

GU 1.2100 ish...

50/60 on EU could bring those numbers, GU 1.2318...
Quoting Don96
{quote} nope. may look for basic shorts around 1.23/1.2318, it may have EU closer to 1.10... 1.2282/84 may provide an opp also. somewhere between 1.0984/1.1004 for EU minus NFP, not worth it for me today... may be good for some without NFP 1.0888 holding on the long side GU 1.2100 ish... 50/60 on EU could bring those numbers, GU 1.2318...
517k? what did i miss?
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If the close tomorrow is up here 1.0835+, above 1.0862+ I think that's stronger. There should be support in the 1.0835/62 range. Some in the 1.07/1.0862 range. Atm pa is above these. The Fed has raised since last Spring. The USD has got weaker the last 4-5 months with additional raises. After NFP, a close up here should cement 1.1186/slip. There is another at 1.2745 of = value. I dont want to talk about that one. There is 3 large ones 1.1189, 1.2745 and 0.77 The drop until the last 4-5 months had the fed to help a fall. Now if the fed is...
Testing 1.0835 atm. If later its above 1.0888. It probably turned bullish. The dust is settling.
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Quoting Don96
{quote} 517k? what did i miss?
Going out on a limb and saying that's the last beat

Just too much loaded into that number
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Testing 1.0835 atm. If later its above 1.0888. It probably turned bullish. The dust is settling. {image}
At this level the dust could settle all day...
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} At this level the dust could settle all day...
Yeah, bulls win just by holding a close above 1.0835. Stronger above 1.0861 and later 1.0888. That captures large level, month close, and week level. Even if bears can take 1.0835. It has to follow through below 1.070
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Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah, bulls win just be holding a close above 1.0835. Stronger above 1.0861 and later 1.0888. That captures large level, month close, and week level. Even if bears can take 1.0835. It has to follow through below 1.070
I got stopped(obviously) on that earlier trade and havent gotten a trigger to re-enter yet.

My rules dont let me place any trades after noon on fridays. So if we dont get a setup then I close the laptop...

Still a 30% macro position at 1.0850(macro position is aggregate 0.9880 at the moment)... flat otherwise...

The number at 10am could take us back to the lows easily...
When the month closed above 1.07 and 1.0835. It made bulls tougher. Not that they cant bend, or break. The bears will have their shot to slam it down. The year didnt close above 1.0835. Pa may need to climb, so it can drop. I hope its will after 1.1186/slip.
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