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USD/JPY Discussion

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  • Post #86,301
  • Quote
  • Nov 19, 2022 2:45am Nov 19, 2022 2:45am
  •  StoppedOut
  • | Joined Nov 2022 | Status: Member | 110 Posts
Quoting CityIndex
Disliked
{quote} You make a good point. From a technical perspective, looking across USD pairs suggests that the gains for most currencies against the greenback may have reached a limit for the time being. EUR/USD is finding resistance at its 200-day MA, cable looks to be consolidating around 1.1900, and of course, USD/JPY
Quote
Disliked
seems like it has once again found support around its 61.8% Fibonacci level
. All trading carries risk, but it will be interesting to see if USD now bounces higher, or if the pullback extends over the near-term.
Ignored
This. that support at the 61.8% level will will make the price rally hard. It can easily do 600 pips or more.The train is slowly leaving the station.
 
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  • Post #86,302
  • Quote
  • Nov 20, 2022 4:07pm Nov 20, 2022 4:07pm
  •  KeenPips
  • Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Member | 7,346 Posts
USDJPY price action on the daily time frame went sideways after a bearish charge towards the 138.300/136.910 horizontal support zone (green) seen on the weekly time frame. There was an increase in bullish price action towards the end of last week and, should bulls sustain their pressure in the market, we may see further northward move in the early part of this week. Besides, recent market imbalance in the 142.525/145.170 zone (magenta) may incentivize bulls.

I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP

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Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
 
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  • Post #86,303
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  • Nov 21, 2022 7:21am Nov 21, 2022 7:21am
  •  Ayax.TSS
  • Joined Apr 2019 | Status: Member | 2,395 Posts
#USDJPY / Weekly, Daily, H4 & H1
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  • Post #86,304
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  • Nov 23, 2022 12:19pm Nov 23, 2022 12:19pm
  •  ninner
  • Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Member | 1,046 Posts
NICE profir at target one .....but kept going ...oh well who knew...
 
 
  • Post #86,305
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  • Nov 27, 2022 4:07pm Nov 27, 2022 4:07pm
  •  KeenPips
  • Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Member | 7,346 Posts
Although USDJPY price action on the daily time frame is sideways, the order flow context and recent technical pattern favour further southward move as price action retests the 139.030/132.140 monthly demand zone (purple). However, the 137.380/135.370 horizontal support area (green) may present a strong bullish challenge to bearish drive.

I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP

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Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
 
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  • Post #86,306
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  • Nov 30, 2022 1:51am Nov 30, 2022 1:51am
  •  StoppedOut
  • | Joined Nov 2022 | Status: Member | 110 Posts
Look at the last 4 daily candles.The pair is clearly struggling to make new highs. So what should you do other than telling your mother about this good news? You should look for shorting opportunities !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
1
 
  • Post #86,307
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  • Nov 30, 2022 9:33am Nov 30, 2022 9:33am
  •  OBsayMkMoney
  • Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 1,715 Posts
Quoting StoppedOut
Disliked
Look at the last 4 daily candles.The pair is clearly struggling to make new highs. So what should you do other than telling your mother about this good news? You should look for shorting opportunities !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Ignored
Logic does not apply to USD/JPY. Only wild speculation.
When you feel like you HAVE to trade is when you least should!
 
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  • Post #86,308
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  • Dec 1, 2022 11:58pm Dec 1, 2022 11:58pm
  •  OBsayMkMoney
  • Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 1,715 Posts
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
Disliked
150.6 next stop. It will be blown though. Buying Oct... Selling Nov, then Buying Dec. if the retracement is done. Otherwise Jan.
Ignored

Long through FOMC. Possibly a dip tomorrow, but starting Sunday Bullish lean for me. Daily wave 4 to take out the recent highs. Going to plan. I said buy october, sell november and buy December. So far so good. If plan continues to roll out 157 target, and buying crypto when it hits 12000-8000 area. Trade safe
When you feel like you HAVE to trade is when you least should!
 
 
  • Post #86,309
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 5:20am Dec 2, 2022 5:20am
  •  StoppedOut
  • | Joined Nov 2022 | Status: Member | 110 Posts
thats 500+ pip dive in just a matter of days. wow. XXX/jpy pairs are really quite something of late.
 
 
  • Post #86,310
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 8:40am Dec 2, 2022 8:40am
  •  ForexGoose
  • Joined Dec 2021 | Status: hungry for pizza & burgers | 2,222 Posts | Online Now
rejection of 200 DMA after the NFP report?

could be a big bear trap
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans
 
 
  • Post #86,311
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 10:56am Dec 2, 2022 10:56am
  •  OBsayMkMoney
  • Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 1,715 Posts
Quoting ForexGoose
Disliked
rejection of 200 DMA after the NFP report? could be a big bear trap {image}
Ignored

We needed a wave 4 to the downside.. we got it. Now we take out the recent lows and then start our way up. IMO
When you feel like you HAVE to trade is when you least should!
 
 
  • Post #86,312
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  • Dec 2, 2022 12:01pm Dec 2, 2022 12:01pm
  •  ForexGoose
  • Joined Dec 2021 | Status: hungry for pizza & burgers | 2,222 Posts | Online Now
Quoting ForexGoose
Disliked
rejection of 200 DMA after the NFP report? could be a big bear trap {image}
Ignored
i will sell it next week if it closes below the 200 DMA today
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans
 
 
  • Post #86,313
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  • Dec 2, 2022 5:40pm Dec 2, 2022 5:40pm
  •  ninner
  • Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Member | 1,046 Posts
Quoting ForexGoose
Disliked
{quote} i will sell it next week if it closes below the 200 DMA today
Ignored
I am already short 300 lots in 3 tronches!!! Up 90 pips altogether!!!!
 
1
  • Post #86,314
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 10:39pm Dec 2, 2022 10:39pm
  •  ninner
  • Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Member | 1,046 Posts
it appears usdjpy is going after the august lows now!!
 
 
  • Post #86,315
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  • Dec 3, 2022 4:18am Dec 3, 2022 4:18am
  •  ChiForex
  • Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 1,035 Posts
Quoting ChiForex
Disliked
This is a long term sell and forget level. Reminds me of 80 level with lots of BOJ interventions at that time and see where we are today Only idiots of speculators buy at current price levels!
Ignored
A reminder for who didn't understand at the moment price was hovering 149-150, get it that you never go wrong on long term
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
 
 
  • Post #86,316
  • Quote
  • Dec 4, 2022 2:35pm Dec 4, 2022 2:35pm
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 4,722 Posts
Dear USDJPY mates,

Hope you are all well. I have been waiting for long potential to happen again

I have a first buy stop 135.60, anticipating the 12H inverted hammer break out with the help of significant support. Note that it is also Friday's first 12H high AND, remember my 135.6 long many weeks ago which had done well AND half way from the recent lower low and my next buy stop 137.6, which would bring price right back into November levels + remember the extremely significant 29th of August move!

Many coincidences = pattern

2nd Chart is zoomed out to show that, not only is this a typical uptrend retracement, but also to remind myself what can happen when such levels are broken with enough sustained volatility (momentum)! Last time it was hit head on, it marked the reversal. So if price ever breaks below it, I will definitely be looking to short it AFTER any decent resistance under it, so after resistance formed <134...

Wishing to all fellow traders reading this an amazing trading week !!!!!

Quick updates of my live shares:
Quoting mtako
Disliked
...12H pullback. buy stop 129.8
Ignored
Quoting mtako
Disliked
...In high quality 12H based trend/momentum/ripe volatility at last(that could blow up in my face!), am attacking the significant highs of the 15th&16th of June = Buy Stop 135.60...
Ignored
Quoting mtako
Disliked
{quote} {quote}...15min volatility growth in high&tight momentum breaking the bear candle setup! Buy stop 137.70...
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Quoting mtako
Disliked
{quote} {quote} {quote}First dynamic TP for my second usdjpy adventure of the year is near enough to announce : 150.50, and will change, especially if not hit by Thursday. My 2 other positions' stops are trailing closely now, around 145 and 142. Notice the one target in the highs, while the others are trailing. Notice the awful drawdown! Potential...
Ignored
Quoting mtako
Disliked
{quote}{quote}{quote}{quote}My shared 137.7 long was closed today +1280 pips...
Ignored
Quoting mtako
Disliked
{quote}dynamic SL now at 147.77, securing +55
Ignored
+977+1240
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If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
 
  • Post #86,317
  • Quote
  • Dec 4, 2022 3:57pm Dec 4, 2022 3:57pm
  •  KeenPips
  • Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Member | 7,346 Posts
USDJPY price action on the daily time frame is bearish. However, it is experiencing bullish challenge as it tackles the 135.900/132.300 horizontal support zone (green) seen on the weekly time frame. Although we may still see further southward move, a bullish pullback is imminent.

I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP

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Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
 
 
  • Post #86,318
  • Quote
  • Dec 4, 2022 10:45pm Dec 4, 2022 10:45pm
  •  Alkhine
  • | Joined Nov 2022 | Status: Member | 17 Posts
In the daily period, apparently the third rising wave of the senior level (3) has ended and as part of that wave 5 has been created in (3). In the 4-hour time frame, a downward corrective movement in the form of the fourth wave (4) has started to grow, in a way that wave A in (4) continues to be created. In the period of 1 hour, apparently, the fifth wave of the junior level, i.e. v, grows in A, and wave (iii) is created in v from within it. If the proposed assumptions are correct, the pair index will continue its downward movement to the levels of 127.32 to 133.16. In this scenario, the level of 139.90 is very important. The failure of this level will cause the pair to continue its upward movement towards the levels of 143.75 to 145.74.
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  • Post #86,319
  • Quote
  • Dec 5, 2022 12:29am Dec 5, 2022 12:29am
  •  ninner
  • Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Member | 1,046 Posts
Observe the obvious its going lower.
 
 
  • Post #86,320
  • Quote
  • Dec 5, 2022 7:49am Dec 5, 2022 7:49am
  •  svtnick
  • | Joined Apr 2006 | Status: Member | 133 Posts
I have a definite short bias .. BUT the 200 DMA is resistance for the moment. Lets see what type of bounce we get to short again.

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