EURUSD only

Quoting Js3mwtRc

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On the Daily chart for me EURUSD should hold above 1.0200/58 fibo zone and Sep's high. If not then 1.0120 or 1.0008 are posible. I also watch the steep trendline and the upper side of the channel, a close below is bearish and a bounce at them should give a bullish signal. Also the 100 and 200 DMA's can offer some range trading if we don't take a close above/below. The upper trendline the blue arrow targets above 1.0481 is from the weekly chart I shared some post above. The pips that EU can travel the next week are 145 and a more riskier day to achieve...

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Quoting Js3mwtRc

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{quote} I post it because it makes the market risk averse and may cause volatility from traders who want to exit from posible changes on the statement and also I am sure many will want to jump in at signs of a pivot from the fed. The most importand FOMC will be at 14 Dec as you mention but this is far away for the week.

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Quoting Js3mwtRc

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{quote} Good day! EU closed below 1.0271 at the 1 hour chart (this could be a short signal) but the price stalled just above the rising channel the steep trendline and the 0.236% fibo (see chart on quote) so not trade here yet but waiting to see what it will bring later. The volatility for today has already traveled at the Asian session (66 pips) and its hard to imagine more drop because there is nothing that can move it significant at the calendar but I am sure it can rise inside the week. I want to see a bullish close at 1 hour above 1.0271 but...

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Quoting johncen

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{quote} hey mate but I have also noticed that usually Monday will travel one way without any retracement until late NY session. for now 15m downward tl remain holds but we are at a rising tl from 1h. Let see who wins the game. bull needs a close above 0270 now for sure

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Quoting nic9man

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{quote} Just wanted to point out the difference because obviously the FOMC is much more meaningful in terms of volatility creation than the protocoll of the last FOMC (FOMC minutes).

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Quoting Js3mwtRc

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{quote} yes we can scalp the 15 min yet!

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Quoting johncen

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{quote} I m still holding shorts from above 0400 but a bit chicken to add here while we are still around that 1h tl. Missed the chance to add @ 0300 while I have got a good signal

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Quoting mustafayucel

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Big picture with my eyes. {image} {image}

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Quoting Js3mwtRc

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{quote} Me too but another opportunity will come for sure!

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Quoting Js3mwtRc

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{quote} yes we can scalp the 15 min yet! {quote} I will look for the dot plot forecast that day because this will say where the termnal rate hike will be and that will be the volatility 'bomb' in my opinion. EU can travel over 200 pips in that day!

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Quoting nic9man

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{quote} Your right that the next dotplot has a massive potential for creating vol as it is most probably marked upwards, according to Powell, however, there will be no dotplot release for the November meeting. The dotplot is part of the projection materials and this is only published every second meeting. Next time should be 14th December. Also the projection materials is published directly with the interest rate decision, only the minutes will be published later. The Fed - Meeting...

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Quoting nic9man

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{image}

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Quoting Js3mwtRc

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The 15 min chart decision point changed to 1.0274!

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Quoting nic9man

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At which levels would you gals and guys see a major rebound? In my framework the 1.0170-1.02 area are the most significant region for confirmation of a medium-term bear trend. If this area gets crossed the next stop should be 0.9777 imho.

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Quoting nic9man

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At which levels would you gals and guys see a major rebound? In my framework the 1.0170-1.02 area are the most significant region for confirmation of a medium-term bear trend. If this area gets crossed the next stop should be 0.9777 imho.

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Quoting pedro319

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If retracement starts from here at 1.0437 we are looking at 150 pips down at least per daily chart. Risk should be 1/6 of that.

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Quoting pedro319

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Minimum target for this move down should be 100 pips lower from here at 1.0268. It doesn't mean it will end there but for now let's watch price action that should be slow and choppy towards the target.

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