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  • Post #161,501
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 10:39am Nov 18, 2022 10:39am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,541 Posts
Friday = All day fakey-day
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: 13.2%
 
2
  • Post #161,502
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 10:47am Nov 18, 2022 10:47am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,996 Posts
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Disliked
Higher and lower volatility scenarios. {image} Watch! These trendlines diverge in time and price may stay inside the range without having a break.
Ignored


Closed inside the first lower trendline (with grey) and now is bouncing. I will not be surprised if it hits the upper side now as there is much volume to achieve it but first it must pass 1.0386/96. Patience, up or down the volatility target is 72 pips for today - 2 more pips!
Feels right this time!
 
1
  • Post #161,503
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  • Nov 18, 2022 10:50am Nov 18, 2022 10:50am
  •  buddha-
  • | Joined Feb 2019 | Status: Member | 1,301 Posts
️ good weekend all
 
2
  • Post #161,504
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  • Nov 18, 2022 10:52am Nov 18, 2022 10:52am
  •  pgidia
  • Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Still Learning | 868 Posts
Why not directly move to Monday

Friday is just to blow small account
PaRaM
 
 
  • Post #161,505
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  • Nov 18, 2022 11:08am Nov 18, 2022 11:08am
  •  zippo22
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 309 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
Friday = All day fakey-day
Ignored
Yeah, the day was crap.... but will the engulfing candle in the 1h DXY chart give us a hint for that what lies ahead? --> EUR up?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: USDOLLARH1-18Nov.png
Size: 10 KB
 
1
  • Post #161,506
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  • Nov 18, 2022 11:13am Nov 18, 2022 11:13am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,996 Posts
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Disliked
This is next at Friday: United States Existing Home Sales {image} https://tradingeconomics.com/united-...ing-home-sales Bulls should capitalise to the fact that the trend is down and the consensus is forecasting more drop. Only the strong resistance at 1.0477 can hold the bulls until then but also profit taking and demand at lower prices may make EU drop below 1.0300 - 1.0272 to around 1.0200. Anything else unexpected is out of the bullish scenario.
Ignored
The bounce happened at this new, I am sure that the bears closed positions just because of that. Also the uptrend is still healthy and bulls may have their chance to move price above 1.0411 and test the high at 1.0477.

Better than the expected but failed down and its keeping the downward trend > Existing Home Sales real 4.43M forecast 4.41M previous 4.71M
Feels right this time!
 
 
  • Post #161,507
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  • Nov 18, 2022 11:17am Nov 18, 2022 11:17am
  •  Xrin-Night
  • | Joined Oct 2022 | Status: Member | 23 Posts
Quoting zippo22
Disliked
{quote} Yeah, the day was crap.... but will the engulfing candle in the 1h DXY chart give us a hint for that what lies ahead? --> EUR up? {image}
Ignored
Price might go down a bit but it is trending up.
 
 
  • Post #161,508
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 11:20am Nov 18, 2022 11:20am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,541 Posts
Disgusting priceaction but I follow system.. Selling here at 1.0370..Stop: 15 pips.. target: 1.0350-ish...
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: 13.2%
 
3
  • Post #161,509
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  • Nov 18, 2022 11:24am Nov 18, 2022 11:24am
  •  shay14
  • | Joined Mar 2014 | Status: Member | 707 Posts
lool what a week

so up and down, stil holdin to my short from 1.03800
 
 
  • Post #161,510
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 11:26am Nov 18, 2022 11:26am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,541 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
Disgusting priceaction but I follow system.. Selling here at 1.0370..Stop: 15 pips.. target: 1.0350-ish...
Ignored
Moving stop to break even... Zero risk
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: 13.2%
 
1
  • Post #161,511
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 11:27am Nov 18, 2022 11:27am
  •  pgidia
  • Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Still Learning | 868 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
Disgusting priceaction but I follow system.. Selling here at 1.0370..Stop: 15 pips.. target: 1.0350-ish...
Ignored
Finally happy Friday for you
PaRaM
 
 
  • Post #161,512
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 11:28am Nov 18, 2022 11:28am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,541 Posts
Quoting pgidia
Disliked
{quote} Finally happy Friday for you
Ignored
Yeah, I hope so brother.. Nothing for sure yet.. Let's see..

Best wishes
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: 13.2%
 
1
  • Post #161,513
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 11:37am Nov 18, 2022 11:37am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,541 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
Disgusting priceaction but I follow system.. Selling here at 1.0370..Stop: 15 pips.. target: 1.0350-ish...
Ignored
Screw it.. Closed order manually here at 1.0355 with +15 pips... I don't want to end this day empty handed..

Calling it a day folks.. Trade safe and hopefully we meet again next week.. Peace Out..
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: 13.2%
 
6
  • Post #161,514
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 12:05pm Nov 18, 2022 12:05pm
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,996 Posts
It is a bearish scenario but first I watch for a break outside the range - fundamentals and technicals favor bearish positions, but the uptrend can extend up to 1.0616 and 1.0788.

Weekly chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: screenshot.png
Size: 21 KB
Feels right this time!
 
2
  • Post #161,515
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 12:07pm Nov 18, 2022 12:07pm
  •  SiamonSings
  • | Joined Jul 2020 | Status: Member | 182 Posts
Quoting SiamonSings
Disliked
{quote} Took [email protected] for +35 pips. I see a bullish flag formation but at the same time not expecting a breakout today. Expecting one more leg down before that happens. May take the below trade: Buy [email protected], TP: open SL: Break of 1.02550 {image}
Ignored
Took a small short at this leg down. Targeting 1.03100 area. GO GO GO.
 
 
  • Post #161,516
  • Quote
  • Edited 12:37pm Nov 18, 2022 12:16pm | Edited 12:37pm
  •  fxcontest
  • Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Member | 572 Posts
My TP of Short 1.0298 and 1.0282

H1 must be close below 1.0330
 
2
  • Post #161,517
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 3:23pm Nov 18, 2022 3:23pm
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
Retail longs now above 44%, up 5% from earlier today and 14% from the lows. 50 pips down and it rises above 50% and then you know what to do
Another day, another dollar.
 
3
  • Post #161,518
  • Quote
  • Edited 4:23pm Nov 18, 2022 4:13pm | Edited 4:23pm
  •  johncen
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 4,023 Posts
Happy weekend all!

We remain at support atm but if the week close like this it is looking bearish next week. I may get what I want which is 0200. Which may extend to 0098
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
2
  • Post #161,519
  • Quote
  • Nov 18, 2022 11:44pm Nov 18, 2022 11:44pm
  •  Xrin-Night
  • | Joined Oct 2022 | Status: Member | 23 Posts
Yes, seems like it is.
 
 
  • Post #161,520
  • Quote
  • Nov 19, 2022 6:23am Nov 19, 2022 6:23am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,996 Posts
On the Daily chart for me EURUSD should hold above 1.0200/58 fibo zone and Sep's high. If not then 1.0120 or 1.0008 are posible. I also watch the steep trendline and the upper side of the channel, a close below is bearish and a bounce at them should give a bullish signal. Also the 100 and 200 DMA's can offer some range trading if we don't take a close above/below. The upper trendline the blue arrow targets above 1.0481 is from the weekly chart I shared some post above.

The pips that EU can travel the next week are 145 and a more riskier day to achieve or and break this range is Wednesday where EU/US Manufacturing PMI's, US core durable orders & FOMC all happen together in a day!

See Daily chart:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: screenshot.png
Size: 30 KB



Have a great weekend!
Feels right this time!
 
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