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EURUSD only

Quoting nic9man
{quote} Next FOMC is on 14th Dec, Wed just the protocoll of the last FOMC.
I post it because it makes the market risk averse and may cause volatility from traders who want to exit from posible changes on the statement and also I am sure many will want to jump in at signs of a pivot from the fed.

The most importand FOMC will be at 14 Dec as you mention but this is far away for the week.
Feels right this time!
And my chart now,

next level 0260 but would aim for 0200.

we can continue to short as long as this steep downward tl holds
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
pa smaller tf , watching
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Not understand?never follow my analyses!
Buy Grid 1.0226 - 1.0231
Meanwhile, on M30...

  1. After some choppy times now we are enjoying a nice bear trend..
  2. I am marking 1.0275 as nearest resistance..
  3. No signs of bulls yet!

Happy new trading week to all

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Be a seer, not a looker!
Quoting Js3mwtRc
On the Daily chart for me EURUSD should hold above 1.0200/58 fibo zone and Sep's high. If not then 1.0120 or 1.0008 are posible. I also watch the steep trendline and the upper side of the channel, a close below is bearish and a bounce at them should give a bullish signal. Also the 100 and 200 DMA's can offer some range trading if we don't take a close above/below. The upper trendline the blue arrow targets above 1.0481 is from the weekly chart I shared some post above. The pips that EU can travel the next week are 145 and a more riskier day to achieve...
Good day! EU closed below 1.0271 at the 1 hour chart (this could be a short signal) but the price stalled just above the rising channel the steep trendline and the 0.236% fibo (see chart on quote) so not trade here yet but waiting to see what it will bring later.

The volatility for today has already traveled at the Asian session (66 pips) and its hard to imagine more drop because there is nothing that can move it significant at the calendar but I am sure it can rise inside the week.

I want to see a bullish close at 1 hour above 1.0271 but I also watch at the 15 min chart the 1.0288 decision point.

The bears can target 1.0200 first.

Good luck!

15 min chart

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Feels right this time!
The 15 min chart decision point changed to 1.0274!
Feels right this time!
Big picture with my eyes.
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traders helps traders
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I post it because it makes the market risk averse and may cause volatility from traders who want to exit from posible changes on the statement and also I am sure many will want to jump in at signs of a pivot from the fed. The most importand FOMC will be at 14 Dec as you mention but this is far away for the week.
Just wanted to point out the difference because obviously the FOMC is much more meaningful in terms of volatility creation than the protocoll of the last FOMC (FOMC minutes).
Another day, another dollar.
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Good day! EU closed below 1.0271 at the 1 hour chart (this could be a short signal) but the price stalled just above the rising channel the steep trendline and the 0.236% fibo (see chart on quote) so not trade here yet but waiting to see what it will bring later. The volatility for today has already traveled at the Asian session (66 pips) and its hard to imagine more drop because there is nothing that can move it significant at the calendar but I am sure it can rise inside the week. I want to see a bullish close at 1 hour above 1.0271 but...
hey mate but I have also noticed that usually Monday will travel one way without any retracement until late NY session.
for now 15m downward tl remain holds but we are at a rising tl from 1h. Let see who wins the game.

bull needs a close above 0270 now for sure
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
Quoting johncen
{quote} hey mate but I have also noticed that usually Monday will travel one way without any retracement until late NY session. for now 15m downward tl remain holds but we are at a rising tl from 1h. Let see who wins the game. bull needs a close above 0270 now for sure
yes we can scalp the 15 min yet!

Quoting nic9man
{quote} Just wanted to point out the difference because obviously the FOMC is much more meaningful in terms of volatility creation than the protocoll of the last FOMC (FOMC minutes).
I will look for the dot plot forecast that day because this will say where the termnal rate hike will be and that will be the volatility 'bomb' in my opinion. EU can travel over 200 pips in that day!
Feels right this time!
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} yes we can scalp the 15 min yet!
I m still holding shorts from above 0400 but a bit chicken to add here while we are still around that 1h tl. Missed the chance to add @ 0300 while I have got a good signal
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
Quoting johncen
{quote} I m still holding shorts from above 0400 but a bit chicken to add here while we are still around that 1h tl. Missed the chance to add @ 0300 while I have got a good signal
Me too but another opportunity will come for sure!
Feels right this time!
Quoting mustafayucel
Big picture with my eyes. {image} {image}
In supply demand terms I like the USDX bounce more. EU had some more space buts its weaker!
Feels right this time!
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Me too but another opportunity will come for sure!
Yup i stay sidelined and wait for signals

updste: welldone bear

and update again, closing another half of short here @ 0235.
may look for scalping long opportunity if there is a signal
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} yes we can scalp the 15 min yet! {quote} I will look for the dot plot forecast that day because this will say where the termnal rate hike will be and that will be the volatility 'bomb' in my opinion. EU can travel over 200 pips in that day!
Your right that the next dotplot has a massive potential for creating vol as it is most probably marked upwards, according to Powell, however, there will be no dotplot release for the November meeting. The dotplot is part of the projection materials and this is only published every second meeting. Next time should be 14th December. Also the projection materials is published directly with the interest rate decision, only the minutes will be published later.

The Fed - Meeting calendars and information (federalreserve.gov)
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Another day, another dollar.
Quoting nic9man
{quote} Your right that the next dotplot has a massive potential for creating vol as it is most probably marked upwards, according to Powell, however, there will be no dotplot release for the November meeting. The dotplot is part of the projection materials and this is only published every second meeting. Next time should be 14th December. Also the projection materials is published directly with the interest rate decision, only the minutes will be published later. The Fed - Meeting...
Thats right! The bears have the upper hand this week. The latest FOMC signaled a slowdown in rates and I wait for 0.50% from 0.75% at the Dec meeting.
Feels right this time!
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Another day, another dollar.
Quoting nic9man
{image}
In simple terms retailers are buying and institutions are selling
PaRaM
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The 15 min chart decision point changed to 1.0274!
I am watching the 1.0246 first decision point now. 1.0274 is more significant but its another one level to watch later if it comes.
Feels right this time!
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